La escuela de los momios

IFK Norrkoping v Östers IF

Inicio: 2026-05-25 17:05 UTC

Final: IFK Norrkoping 2–0 Östers IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Predicción 55.66%1.80momio equitativo
EV -4.82%
Ventaja -2.82%
Kelly -6.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.85%55.81%55.55%58.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.641.651.7164.52%60.97%60.61%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Östers IF (Visitante)

Predicción 21.74%4.60momio equitativo
EV +2.18%
Ventaja +0.463%
Kelly +0.588%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.97%21.72%21.83%23.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.314.304.7026.67%23.18%23.26%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.60%4.43momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -0.658%
Kelly -0.857%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.05%22.47%22.62%24.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.014.004.3029.41%24.94%25.00%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.16%E -4.94%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV +2.18%E +0.463%K +0.588%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.16%E -4.94%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV +2.18%E +0.463%K +0.588%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 16:30
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.16%E -4.94%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV +2.18%E +0.463%K +0.588%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 16:30
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -8.16%E -4.94%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV +2.18%E +0.463%K +0.588%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 16:30
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -10.38%E -6.45%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 16:30
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -10.38%E -6.45%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 16:30
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -10.38%E -6.45%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 16:30
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -10.38%E -6.45%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 16:30
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -10.38%E -6.45%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 16:30
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -10.38%E -6.45%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 16:30
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -10.38%E -6.45%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 16:30
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -10.38%E -6.45%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV +0.001%E +0.000%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 16:30
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.01%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.38%EV -0.216%E -0.047%K -0.060%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.62%EV -10.51%E -2.65%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 17:00
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.27%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.09%EV -1.96%E -0.434%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 17:00
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 56.96%EV -10.94%E -6.84%K -18.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -2.17%E -0.483%K -0.621%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-25 16:29
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.11%EV -12.05%E -7.63%K -20.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -2.17%E -0.483%K -0.621%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -10.74%E -2.72%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-25 16:30
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.26%EV -8.16%E -4.94%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -4.35%E -0.988%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 16:48
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.17%EV -10.38%E -6.45%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -4.35%E -0.988%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -13.72%E -8.85%K -24.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -4.35%E -0.988%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -2.83%E -0.658%K -0.857%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-25 16:40
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.55%EV -4.82%E -2.82%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.84%EV -5.43%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 16:30
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -5.93%E -3.51%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 16:50
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 16:50
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 55.25%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 16:50
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 55.52%EV -7.60%E -4.58%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 17:00
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%EV -8.71%E -5.31%K -13.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%EV -6.52%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-25 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -5.37%E -3.16%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.61%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 16:40
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.55%EV -6.49%E -3.86%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.61%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.22%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 16:40
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.55%EV -6.49%E -3.86%K -9.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -7.61%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -6.22%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 16:40
Marathon Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.55%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -7.61%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -8.16%E -4.94%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.56%EV -7.61%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 16:40
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.66%EV -9.83%E -6.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.22%EV -7.61%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-25 16:40
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -8.16%E -4.94%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 16:48
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -8.16%E -4.94%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 16:40
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.83%E -6.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-25 16:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.83%E -6.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -8.69%E -2.07%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-25 16:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -8.16%E -4.94%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -10.87%E -2.65%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -13.00%E -3.38%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 16:50
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.39%EV -8.16%E -4.94%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-25 16:30
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -14.13%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-25 16:50
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -14.13%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-25 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -14.13%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-25 16:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -7.04%E -4.22%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -14.13%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-25 16:50
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -9.83%E -6.07%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-25 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.38%E -6.45%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-25 16:30
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.09%EV -10.38%E -6.45%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.17%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-25 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.93%EV -12.61%E -8.03%K -22.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.17%EV -13.04%E -3.26%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.90%EV -23.17%E -6.81%K -9.65%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-25 16:40
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.07%EV -12.61%E -8.03%K -22.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -15.22%E -3.90%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.75%EV -14.13%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-25 16:40
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 54.74%EV -10.94%E -6.84%K -18.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -18.48%E -4.93%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-25 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-05-25 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-05-25 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 56.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-05-25 16:50
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 56.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-05-25 16:50