La escuela de los momios

IFK Norrkoping v Norrby IF

Inicio: 2026-06-28 13:02 UTC

Final: IFK Norrkoping 0–1 Norrby IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Predicción 63.60%1.57momio equitativo
EV -3.96%
Ventaja -2.63%
Kelly -7.77%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.31%63.85%63.58%67.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.421.441.5174.63%70.43%69.44%66.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Norrby IF (Visitante)

Predicción 15.25%6.56momio equitativo
EV +8.30%
Ventaja +1.17%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.113%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.32%15.11%15.38%16.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.166.127.1018.18%16.25%16.35%14.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.15%4.73momio equitativo
EV +1.50%
Ventaja +0.313%
Kelly +0.395%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.41%21.04%21.04%22.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.384.404.8026.67%22.81%22.73%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.66%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.41%EV +8.30%E +1.17%K +1.36%G +0.113%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%EV -3.78%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-28 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +6.78%E +0.968%K +1.13%G +0.077%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.395%G +0.006%6.5%2026-06-28 12:59
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV +6.78%E +0.968%K +1.13%G +0.077%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV +1.50%E +0.313%K +0.395%G +0.006%6.5%2026-06-28 12:59
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 66.91%EV -12.87%E -9.39%K -34.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.58%EV +2.96%E +0.439%K +0.516%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.50%EV -0.613%E -0.130%K -0.166%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 12:59
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -13.50%E -9.93%K -37.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV +2.96%E +0.439%K +0.516%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -0.613%E -0.130%K -0.166%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 12:59
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -13.50%E -9.93%K -37.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV +2.96%E +0.439%K +0.516%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -0.613%E -0.130%K -0.166%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 12:59
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -13.50%E -9.93%K -37.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV +2.96%E +0.439%K +0.516%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -0.613%E -0.130%K -0.166%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 12:47
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -13.50%E -9.93%K -37.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV +2.96%E +0.439%K +0.516%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -0.613%E -0.130%K -0.166%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 12:59
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 67.08%EV -13.50%E -9.93%K -37.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.51%EV +2.96%E +0.439%K +0.516%G +0.015%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.41%EV -0.613%E -0.130%K -0.166%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 12:59
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.12%EV -14.78%E -11.03%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.32%EV +2.96%E +0.439%K +0.516%G +0.015%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-28 12:59
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.04%EV -3.96%E -2.63%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.56I 15.24%NM 14.51%EV +0.067%E +0.010%K +0.012%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.45%EV -10.34%E -2.44%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-28 12:59
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -0.849%E -0.131%K -0.154%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV +0.445%E +0.094%K +0.119%G +0.001%7.9%2026-06-28 13:00
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -12.23%E -8.86%K -32.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -0.849%E -0.131%K -0.154%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 13:00
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -12.23%E -8.86%K -32.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -0.849%E -0.131%K -0.154%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -12.23%E -8.86%K -32.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -0.849%E -0.131%K -0.154%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 13:00
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -12.23%E -8.86%K -32.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -0.849%E -0.131%K -0.154%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 13:00
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 63.30%EV -6.51%E -4.43%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.54%EV -2.37%E -0.371%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -11.19%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 63.30%EV -6.51%E -4.43%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.54%EV -2.37%E -0.371%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -11.19%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 12:59
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 63.30%EV -6.51%E -4.43%K -13.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.54%EV -2.37%E -0.371%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -11.19%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-28 12:59
LeoVegas1.34I 74.63%NM 66.35%EV -14.78%E -11.03%K -43.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.89%EV -2.37%E -0.371%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.76%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-28 13:00
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.92%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.40%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.43%EV -3.90%E -0.619%K -0.736%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -6.96%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-28 13:00
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -4.66%E -0.746%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-28 12:58
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 65.84%EV -12.87%E -9.39%K -34.78%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.55%EV -5.42%E -0.875%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-28 12:59
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.95%EV -7.14%E -4.89%K -15.53%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.11%EV -5.73%E -0.927%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.94%EV -5.69%E -1.28%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-28 12:59
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.62%EV -5.87%E -3.97%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.32%EV -7.71%E -1.27%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -11.19%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 12:59
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 62.70%EV -5.24%E -3.51%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -8.48%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 13:00
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -5.87%E -3.97%K -12.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -8.48%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -11.19%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-28 12:59
FanDuel1.42I 70.42%NM 64.71%EV -9.69%E -6.82%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.48%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 12:59
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.42%E -5.84%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.48%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -6.96%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 12:59
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -8.42%E -5.84%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -8.48%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -6.96%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-28 12:59
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.34%EV -8.42%E -5.84%K -19.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -8.48%E -1.41%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.46%EV -10.13%E -2.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-28 12:59
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 63.60%EV -6.51%E -4.43%K -13.85%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.85%EV -10.00%E -1.70%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.55%EV -3.78%E -0.832%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-28 12:59
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -8.42%E -5.84%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -11.53%E -1.99%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-28 12:59
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.87%E -3.97%K -12.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -12.29%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 12:59
BetMGM1.44I 69.44%NM 63.68%EV -8.42%E -5.84%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -12.29%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-28 12:59
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.27%EV -7.78%E -5.37%K -17.29%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.70%EV -12.29%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -13.30%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-28 12:59
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.40%EV -9.69%E -6.82%K -23.07%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -12.29%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-28 12:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -8.42%E -5.84%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -12.29%E -2.14%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%11.8%2026-06-28 12:59
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.42%E -5.84%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -16.10%E -2.93%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.44%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-28 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.42%E -5.84%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -16.10%E -2.93%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.44%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-28 13:00
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.42%E -5.84%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -16.10%E -2.93%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.19%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-28 12:58
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -8.42%E -5.84%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -16.10%E -2.93%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.19%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-28 13:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -8.42%E -5.84%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -16.10%E -2.93%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -17.53%E -4.49%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-28 13:00
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -8.42%E -5.84%K -19.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -16.10%E -2.93%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -17.53%E -4.49%K -6.04%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-28 13:00
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -16.10%E -2.93%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -11.19%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-28 12:59
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -16.10%E -2.93%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -11.19%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-28 12:59
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.65%EV -13.50%E -9.93%K -37.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -16.10%E -2.93%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -11.19%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%15.5%2026-06-28 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.43%EV -10.96%E -7.83%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.64%EV -16.10%E -2.93%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.93%EV -20.70%E -5.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%16.3%2026-06-28 12:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.21%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.90%0.5%2026-06-28 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.61%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.82%0.9%2026-06-28 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.04%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-06-28 13:00
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 65.23%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%5.0%2026-06-28 13:00