Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Norrkoping v IK Oddevold

Início: 2026-09-13 12:59 UTC

Final: IFK Norrkoping 0–0 IK Oddevold

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Previsão 57.76%1.73odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -1.76%
Kelly -4.35%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.70%57.84%57.87%61.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.451.581.601.6868.97%63.47%62.50%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IK Oddevold (Visitante)

Previsão 19.60%5.10odd justa
EV +7.81%
Vantagem +1.42%
Kelly +1.74%
Crescimento +0.136%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.09%19.52%19.52%21.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.764.755.5023.81%21.01%21.05%18.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.63%4.42odd justa
EV -2.67%
Vantagem -0.621%
Kelly -0.809%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.47%22.64%22.61%24.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.024.004.3026.67%24.86%25.00%23.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IFK Norrkoping (Local): 57.76%; IK Oddevold (Visitante): 19.60%; Empate: 22.63%. Para IK Oddevold (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.10. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +7.81%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -11.04%E -7.17%K -20.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV +7.81%E +1.42%K +1.74%G +0.136%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.67%E -0.621%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 12:31
Svenska Spel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -11.04%E -7.17%K -20.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV +7.81%E +1.42%K +1.74%G +0.136%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.67%E -0.621%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -11.04%E -7.17%K -20.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV +7.81%E +1.42%K +1.74%G +0.136%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.67%E -0.621%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 12:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.04%EV -11.04%E -7.17%K -20.45%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.09%EV +7.81%E +1.42%K +1.74%G +0.136%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.67%E -0.621%K -0.809%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 12:31
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.59%EV -6.42%E -3.97%K -10.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.25%EV +1.93%E +0.371%K +0.460%G +0.009%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.15%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-13 12:25
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -13.36%E -8.90%K -26.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV +1.93%E +0.371%K +0.460%G +0.009%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 12:30
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -13.36%E -8.90%K -26.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV +1.93%E +0.371%K +0.460%G +0.009%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 12:31
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -13.36%E -8.90%K -26.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV +1.93%E +0.371%K +0.460%G +0.009%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 12:31
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -13.36%E -8.90%K -26.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV +1.93%E +0.371%K +0.460%G +0.009%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 12:30
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -13.36%E -8.90%K -26.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV +1.93%E +0.371%K +0.460%G +0.009%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 12:31
betPARX🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.45%EV -13.36%E -8.90%K -26.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.44%EV +1.93%E +0.371%K +0.460%G +0.009%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 12:31
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.40%EV -15.09%E -10.26%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.41%EV -0.029%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-13 12:31
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.34%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -1.99%E -0.398%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.35%EV -16.24%E -11.20%K -36.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -1.99%E -0.398%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.15%EV -10.59%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-13 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.35%EV -16.24%E -11.20%K -36.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -1.99%E -0.398%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.15%EV -10.59%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-13 12:30
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.08%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.40%EV -3.75%E -0.764%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.52%EV -4.25%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 12:51
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.29%EV -8.16%E -5.13%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.11%EV -4.93%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 12:54
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.42%E -3.97%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.93%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 12:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 12:55
BetAnything🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 12:55
BetUS🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.09%EV -5.27%E -3.21%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.51%EV -5.91%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 12:55
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.77%EV -2.96%E -1.76%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 19.64%EV -6.50%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.59%EV -13.76%E -3.61%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 12:45
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.89%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 12:55
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.89%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.20%E -1.76%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -10.47%E -6.75%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -6.89%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 12:50
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.55%EV -8.16%E -5.13%K -13.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.87%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -2.67%E -0.621%K -0.809%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 12:51
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -6.42%E -3.97%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -7.87%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.59%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 12:52
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.34%EV -12.20%E -8.03%K -23.46%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -7.87%E -1.67%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -4.93%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 12:45
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.07%EV -6.42%E -3.97%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -9.83%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -8.33%E -2.06%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 12:41
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.07%EV -6.42%E -3.97%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.10%EV -9.83%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -8.33%E -2.06%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 12:45
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.69%EV -9.83%E -2.14%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 12:50
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -11.79%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 12:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -6.42%E -3.97%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -11.79%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -15.12%E -4.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 12:55
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -7.58%E -4.74%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.79%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -12.86%E -3.34%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 12:41
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -11.79%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 12:46
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -11.79%E -2.62%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 12:45
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -6.42%E -3.97%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -13.75%E -3.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 12:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -13.75%E -3.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -15.12%E -4.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -13.75%E -3.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -15.12%E -4.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.70%EV -7.00%E -4.35%K -11.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -13.75%E -3.13%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -15.12%E -4.03%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 12:55
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.58%E -4.74%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -15.12%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -10.59%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-13 12:55
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.65%EV -9.31%E -5.93%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.54%EV -15.12%E -3.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.81%EV -11.72%E -3.01%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 12:45
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -11.04%E -7.17%K -20.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -15.71%E -3.65%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -11.72%E -3.01%K -4.04%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-13 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -7.58%E -4.74%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -17.67%E -4.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.72%E -3.01%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 12:55
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -7.58%E -4.74%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -17.67%E -4.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.72%E -3.01%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 12:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -7.58%E -4.74%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -17.67%E -4.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.72%E -3.01%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 12:55
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.83%EV -7.58%E -4.74%K -12.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.27%EV -17.67%E -4.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -11.72%E -3.01%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 12:55
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.93%EV -10.47%E -6.75%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.01%EV -17.67%E -4.21%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.06%EV -9.46%E -2.37%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 12:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92%1.4%2026-09-13 12:41
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92%1.4%2026-09-13 12:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92%1.4%2026-09-13 12:55
Matchbook◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.73%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.92%1.4%2026-09-13 12:55