La escuela de los momios

Helsingborgs IF v Landskrona BoIS

Inicio: 2026-06-11 17:00 UTC

Final: Helsingborgs IF 0–3 Landskrona BoIS

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Predicción 34.68%2.88momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -0.904%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.97%34.88%34.64%37.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.612.602.8140.82%38.33%38.46%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Landskrona BoIS (Visitante)

Predicción 37.98%2.63momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.486%
Kelly -0.789%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.20%37.77%38.03%39.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.452.422.6043.48%40.89%41.24%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.34%3.66momio equitativo
EV -4.31%
Ventaja -1.23%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.68%27.34%27.33%29.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.343.403.5034.72%29.95%29.41%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.25%EV -2.54%E -0.904%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.10%EV -9.24%E -3.87%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -7.59%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-11 16:49
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.71%EV -3.58%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -8.10%E -3.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-11 16:19
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.71%EV -3.58%E -1.29%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.73%EV -8.10%E -3.35%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-11 16:20
Pinnacle2.77I 36.10%NM 34.41%EV -3.93%E -1.42%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.28%EV -5.44%E -2.18%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.31%EV -4.58%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-11 16:50
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -4.62%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.45%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -5.67%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 16:20
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -4.62%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-11 16:19
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.62%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-11 16:20
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-11 16:40
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-11 16:40
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.35%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-11 16:49
Marathon Bet2.69I 37.17%NM 34.45%EV -6.70%E -2.49%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.13%EV -7.72%E -3.18%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -7.59%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-11 16:39
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-11 16:20
BetUS2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-11 16:50
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-11 16:20
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.76%E -4.58%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-11 16:19
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.51%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-11 16:19
Coolbet2.63I 38.02%NM 36.19%EV -8.78%E -3.34%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.61%EV -1.26%E -0.486%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-11 16:19
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.13%E -3.48%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-11 16:20
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.13%E -3.48%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-11 16:19
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -9.13%E -3.48%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.24%E -4.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-11 16:20
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -9.13%E -3.48%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.24%E -4.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-11 16:20
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -9.13%E -3.48%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.24%E -4.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-11 16:20
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.05%EV -9.13%E -3.48%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -15.24%E -4.92%K -7.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-11 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.96%E -2.84%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-11 16:20
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-11 16:20
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.86%E -3.69%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-11 16:20
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -9.62%E -4.04%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -9.78%E -2.96%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-11 16:20
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.62%E -4.04%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.14%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-11 16:20
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.00%E -4.22%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.51%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-11 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.37%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.00%E -4.22%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -12.51%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-11 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 32.97%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.27%EV -12.66%E -5.50%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.76%EV -21.26%E -7.38%K -11.31%G +0.000%16.7%2026-06-11 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -11.56%E -4.53%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.26%E -0.486%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -11.56%E -4.53%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.26%E -0.486%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 13:50
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -11.56%E -4.53%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.26%E -0.486%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 13:50
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -11.56%E -4.53%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -1.26%E -0.486%K -0.789%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.31%E -1.23%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-11 13:50
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -11.56%E -4.53%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -12.66%E -5.50%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.51%E -3.91%K -5.69%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-11 16:20
BetRivers2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-11 16:20
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-11 16:20
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-11 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-11 16:19
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-11 16:20
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-11 16:20
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-11 16:20
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-11 16:20
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-11 16:20
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -12.66%E -5.50%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.14%E -3.43%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-11 16:20
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -15.03%E -6.13%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -5.06%E -2.02%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.04%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-11 16:40
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -15.03%E -6.13%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -5.82%E -2.35%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -8.41%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-11 16:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.52%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.24%0.6%2026-06-11 16:50
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.52%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.24%0.6%2026-06-11 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-06-11 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.42%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-06-11 16:50