La escuela de los momios

Helsingborgs IF v IK Oddevold

Inicio: 2026-05-13 17:00 UTC

Final: Helsingborgs IF 2–2 IK Oddevold

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Predicción 36.27%2.76momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.29%36.51%36.25%38.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.522.502.6842.55%39.64%40.00%37.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Oddevold (Visitante)

Predicción 35.79%2.79momio equitativo
EV +1.99%
Ventaja +0.699%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.42%35.53%35.78%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.582.602.8541.67%38.69%38.46%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.94%3.58momio equitativo
EV -4.99%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -2.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.08%27.96%27.97%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.303.4034.72%30.60%30.30%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -10.41%E -4.22%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.42%EV +1.99%E +0.699%K +1.08%G +0.021%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-13 16:41
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.92%EV -4.97%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.12%EV -4.09%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -9.18%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 16:31
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.92%EV -4.97%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.12%EV -4.09%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -9.18%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 16:32
BetUS2.62I 38.17%NM 35.92%EV -4.97%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.12%EV -4.09%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -9.18%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 16:25
BetAnything2.62I 38.17%NM 35.92%EV -4.97%E -1.90%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.12%EV -4.09%E -1.53%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -9.18%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 16:31
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 35.64%EV -2.80%E -1.04%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.77%EV -4.45%E -1.67%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.59%EV -6.67%E -2.00%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-13 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.51%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.51%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:55
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.51%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:55
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.51%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:56
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -14.77%E -6.28%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -5.17%E -1.95%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-13 16:25
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 16:55
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 16:55
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 16:55
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 16:55
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 16:55
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 16:56
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.10%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 16:55
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -11.14%E -4.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.84%EV -5.88%E -2.24%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 19:20
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -6.43%E -2.49%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:40
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -6.43%E -2.49%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.75%EV -6.24%E -2.38%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:35
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -3.89%E -1.47%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 16:45
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.70%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 16:40
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -5.70%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.39%E -1.91%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 16:35
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.70%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -7.22%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 16:55
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.70%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 16:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 16:25
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -6.06%E -2.34%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.63%EV -6.96%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.59%EV -9.46%E -2.92%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 16:45
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.74%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.99%E -1.47%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-13 16:40
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.51%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -8.74%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-13 16:46
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -8.74%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-13 16:30
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -7.51%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.74%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 16:26
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -7.51%E -2.95%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -8.74%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.14%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 16:50
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -11.14%E -4.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -8.74%E -3.43%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-13 16:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 16:40
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.78%E -2.36%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 16:40
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -9.18%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-13 16:39
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.14%E -4.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -11.14%E -4.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-13 16:31
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 16:25
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 16:26
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 16:25
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.33%E -3.73%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -10.53%E -4.21%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -13.37%E -4.31%K -6.37%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-13 16:26
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -11.14%E -4.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -12.32%E -5.03%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -9.18%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-13 16:41
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.95%E -5.40%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -14.11%E -5.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-13 16:41
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.95%E -5.40%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -14.11%E -5.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.58%E -3.31%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-13 16:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.95%E -5.40%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.11%E -5.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -19.52%E -6.78%K -10.38%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-13 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-05-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-05-13 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.22%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.79%0.7%2026-05-13 16:50
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.16%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%0.9%2026-05-13 16:55