La escuela de los momios

Helsingborgs IF v IK Brage

Inicio: 2026-05-03 13:00 UTC

Final: Helsingborgs IF 2–0 IK Brage

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Predicción 38.49%2.60momio equitativo
EV +0.835%
Ventaja +0.319%
Kelly +0.515%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.85%38.80%38.35%43.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.332.6245.45%42.63%43.01%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Brage (Visitante)

Predicción 34.60%2.89momio equitativo
EV +7.25%
Ventaja +2.34%
Kelly +3.45%
Crecimiento +0.250%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.75%34.31%34.68%36.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.682.673.1041.67%37.27%37.38%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.92%3.72momio equitativo
EV -0.406%
Ventaja -0.110%
Kelly -0.150%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.33%26.89%26.97%28.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.433.443.7033.33%29.15%29.07%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.13%EV -14.94%E -6.76%K -12.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.75%EV +7.25%E +2.34%K +3.45%G +0.250%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -1.75%E -0.480%K -0.661%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-03 10:10
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.71%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -3.13%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 12:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -12.25%E -5.37%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -3.13%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -0.406%E -0.110%K -0.150%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 12:25
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -12.25%E -5.37%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -3.13%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -0.406%E -0.110%K -0.150%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 12:25
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -12.25%E -5.37%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -3.13%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -0.406%E -0.110%K -0.150%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 12:21
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.14%EV -12.25%E -5.37%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.50%EV -3.13%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -0.406%E -0.110%K -0.150%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 12:25
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -15.33%E -6.97%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -3.13%E -1.12%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 12:45
Pinnacle2.49I 40.16%NM 38.33%EV -4.17%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.71%EV -4.86%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.96%EV -4.71%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 12:45
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -4.86%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.10%E -0.861%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 12:25
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -4.86%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.10%E -0.861%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 12:25
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -4.86%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.10%E -0.861%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 12:25
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -4.86%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.10%E -0.861%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 12:25
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -4.86%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.10%E -0.861%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 12:25
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -4.86%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.10%E -0.861%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 12:25
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -4.86%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.10%E -0.861%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 12:25
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -4.86%E -1.77%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -3.10%E -0.861%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 12:20
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -6.86%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -5.90%E -2.17%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:50
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.59%EV -6.86%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.34%EV -5.90%E -2.17%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 12:50
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.79%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 12:55
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -5.71%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -7.14%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-03 12:50
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -9.56%E -4.07%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 12:44
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 40.89%EV -14.18%E -6.36%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -3.10%E -0.861%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 12:25
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -15.33%E -6.97%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 12:25
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.28%EV -6.59%E -2.44%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.65%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 12:45
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -3.78%E -1.51%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -8.32%E -3.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.28%EV -7.67%E -2.24%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 12:55
Marathon Bet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.28%EV -6.86%E -2.84%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.32%E -3.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.77%EV -6.87%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 12:49
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.32%E -3.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 12:55
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.32%E -3.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 12:55
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.56%E -4.07%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -8.32%E -3.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.79%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-03 12:45
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -9.56%E -4.07%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.32%E -3.14%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.17%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 12:55
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.22%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -9.01%E -3.43%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.56%E -5.34%K -7.88%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 12:45
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -5.71%E -2.33%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.49%EV -9.36%E -3.57%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -5.79%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 12:53
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -9.36%E -3.57%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -9.36%E -3.57%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.52%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-03 12:45
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV +0.835%E +0.319%K +0.515%G +0.004%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.05%E -3.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -9.83%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 12:55
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV +0.835%E +0.319%K +0.515%G +0.004%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -10.05%E -3.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -9.83%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 12:55
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.05%E -3.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.79%E -1.65%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 12:49
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -10.05%E -3.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -9.83%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 12:49
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -9.56%E -4.07%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.05%E -3.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 12:35
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.05%E -3.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.17%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 12:45
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.05%E -3.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 12:44
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.05%E -3.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 12:50
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.05%E -3.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 12:50
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.05%E -3.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 12:50
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -7.63%E -3.18%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -10.05%E -3.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 12:50
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 38.59%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.40%EV -10.05%E -3.87%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -16.56%E -5.34%K -7.88%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-03 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -13.41%E -5.96%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.96%EV -13.51%E -5.40%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.30%EV -19.25%E -6.42%K -9.62%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-03 12:55
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -11.48%E -4.99%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.09%EV -16.97%E -7.07%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -11.17%E -3.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-03 12:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.62%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-05-03 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.03%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-05-03 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.03%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-05-03 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.03%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-05-03 12:55