La escuela de los momios

Helsingborgs IF v IFK Norrkoping

Inicio: 2026-05-31 15:00 UTC

Final: Helsingborgs IF 0–2 IFK Norrkoping

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Predicción 29.05%3.44momio equitativo
EV +0.212%
Ventaja +0.062%
Kelly +0.087%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.90%28.91%29.04%30.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.203.203.4534.48%31.29%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Norrkoping (Visitante)

Predicción 45.18%2.21momio equitativo
EV -4.67%
Ventaja -2.22%
Kelly -4.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.81%45.35%45.18%48.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.032.052.1152.63%49.26%48.78%47.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.78%3.88momio equitativo
EV +6.97%
Ventaja +1.68%
Kelly +2.21%
Crecimiento +0.154%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.49%25.73%25.78%27.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.523.504.1532.26%28.37%28.57%24.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.87%EV -11.90%E -6.10%K -12.53%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV +6.97%E +1.68%K +2.21%G +0.154%7.1%2026-05-31 14:40
Coolbet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.21%EV -4.67%E -2.22%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-30 19:59
Betsson3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV +0.212%E +0.062%K +0.087%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.34%EV -13.26%E -6.91%K -14.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -3.34%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 06:30
Pinnacle3.27I 30.58%NM 29.12%EV -5.02%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.35%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.53%EV -3.86%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-31 14:40
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.45%EV -14.16%E -7.45%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-31 14:40
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.01%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 14:39
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.49%EV -6.93%E -3.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 14:40
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.49%EV -6.93%E -3.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 14:39
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.49%EV -6.93%E -3.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 14:40
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.49%EV -6.93%E -3.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -5.92%E -1.62%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 14:40
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.72%EV -6.93%E -3.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.72%EV -6.93%E -3.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:39
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.72%EV -6.93%E -3.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:39
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -2.69%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.72%EV -6.93%E -3.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-31 14:39
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-31 14:40
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -5.13%E -2.44%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 14:50
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 14:48
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-31 14:40
1xBet3.21I 31.15%NM 29.01%EV -6.76%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -6.03%E -2.90%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 14:40
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -6.93%E -3.37%K -6.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 14:39
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -8.74%E -4.33%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 14:40
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -8.74%E -4.33%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 14:40
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -8.74%E -4.33%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 14:39
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -8.74%E -4.33%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 14:40
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -8.74%E -4.33%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 14:39
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -8.74%E -4.33%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 14:39
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -8.74%E -4.33%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 14:39
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -4.14%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -8.74%E -4.33%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-31 14:39
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -8.50%E -2.70%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-31 14:38
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -5.60%E -1.72%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -9.64%E -4.82%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 14:40
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-31 14:40
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.64%E -4.82%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-31 14:39
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -11.41%E -3.74%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-31 14:40
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 14:40
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.64%E -4.82%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 14:39
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -9.64%E -4.82%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 08:20
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -15.76%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.85%EV -11.90%E -6.10%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-31 14:40
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -7.05%E -2.20%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -11.00%E -5.58%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.11%EV -11.08%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-31 14:39
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-31 14:38
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -9.64%E -4.82%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 14:39
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 14:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 14:39
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 14:40
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 14:30
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 07:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -9.95%E -3.21%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.39%E -3.60%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 07:01
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -11.90%E -6.10%K -12.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-31 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -12.86%E -4.29%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -13.71%E -7.18%K -15.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -20.10%E -6.48%K -9.57%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-31 14:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-05-31 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-05-31 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-05-31 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.95%1.5%2026-05-31 14:50