La escuela de los momios

Helsingborgs IF v GIF Sundsvall

Inicio: 2026-06-21 13:00 UTC

Final: Helsingborgs IF 5–2 GIF Sundsvall

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Predicción 48.25%2.07momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -3.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.58%48.74%48.17%53.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.861.882.0058.48%53.72%53.19%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

GIF Sundsvall (Visitante)

Predicción 24.61%4.06momio equitativo
EV +13.19%
Ventaja +2.87%
Kelly +3.66%
Crecimiento +0.483%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.72%24.21%24.68%25.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.893.764.6029.41%25.72%26.56%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.14%3.68momio equitativo
EV +1.79%
Ventaja +0.478%
Kelly +0.651%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.42%27.05%27.15%29.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.403.403.7534.72%29.43%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.86%EV -14.60%E -8.25%K -18.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.72%EV +13.19%E +2.87%K +3.66%G +0.483%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.42%EV +1.79%E +0.478%K +0.651%G +0.012%4.9%2026-06-21 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -13.64%E -7.62%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV +7.04%E +1.62%K +2.10%G +0.148%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.923%E -0.253%K -0.348%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -13.64%E -7.62%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV +7.04%E +1.62%K +2.10%G +0.148%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.923%E -0.253%K -0.348%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 12:29
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -13.64%E -7.62%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV +7.04%E +1.62%K +2.10%G +0.148%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.923%E -0.253%K -0.348%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 12:29
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 52.58%EV -13.64%E -7.62%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV +7.04%E +1.62%K +2.10%G +0.148%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -0.923%E -0.253%K -0.348%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 12:29
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -15.57%E -8.89%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV +4.58%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -3.64%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 12:30
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -15.57%E -8.89%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV +4.58%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -3.64%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 12:30
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -15.57%E -8.89%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV +4.58%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -3.64%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 12:29
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -15.57%E -8.89%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV +4.58%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -3.64%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 12:30
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -15.57%E -8.89%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV +4.58%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -3.64%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 12:30
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -15.57%E -8.89%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV +4.58%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -3.64%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 12:29
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -15.57%E -8.89%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV +4.58%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -3.64%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 12:30
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -15.57%E -8.89%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV +4.58%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -3.64%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 12:29
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 52.64%EV -16.05%E -9.22%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV +4.58%E +1.08%K +1.41%G +0.065%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -3.64%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-21 12:29
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.75%EV -17.50%E -10.23%K -24.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV +3.35%E +0.798%K +1.05%G +0.035%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-21 12:29
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -9.29%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.10%EV -0.341%E -0.084%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -6.35%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-19 05:30
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.52%EV -6.88%E -3.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.53%EV -2.06%E -0.519%K -0.693%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -9.07%E -2.71%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-21 12:50
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-21 12:38
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-21 12:09
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -13.15%E -7.31%K -16.44%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -4.03%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-21 12:39
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.99%E -2.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.01%EV -4.18%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-21 12:40
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-21 12:38
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -12.19%E -6.70%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -6.49%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-21 12:50
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -7.36%E -3.83%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.51%EV -6.99%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-21 12:49
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 12:49
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.92%E -3.03%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-21 12:49
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -8.33%E -4.38%K -9.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-21 12:39
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -11.71%E -6.40%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -7.72%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-21 12:10
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.35%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.59%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -4.99%E -1.43%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-21 12:50
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 12:49
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 12:49
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.50%E -1.75%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-21 12:50
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 12:48
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-21 12:49
PlayUp1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -9.29%E -4.94%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -8.95%E -2.42%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-21 12:50
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.71%E -2.27%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-21 12:49
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-21 12:39
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.42%E -3.16%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-21 12:39
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-21 12:50
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-21 12:49
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-21 12:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-21 12:50
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -10.74%E -5.81%K -12.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.14%E -4.11%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.1%2026-06-21 12:40
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -11.71%E -6.40%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -15.85%E -5.11%K -7.55%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-21 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -11.71%E -6.40%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -11.41%E -3.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -21.82%E -7.58%K -11.61%G +0.000%17.1%2026-06-21 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.88%E -3.96%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-21 12:40
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.85%E -4.11%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.88%E -3.96%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-21 12:39
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.05%EV -9.78%E -5.23%K -11.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -16.34%E -4.80%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.78%E -3.62%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-21 12:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-06-21 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-06-21 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-06-21 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-06-21 12:49