Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

GIF Sundsvall v IK Oddevold

Inicio: 2026-05-02 15:00 UTC

Final: GIF Sundsvall 1–3 IK Oddevold

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

GIF Sundsvall (Local)

Predicción 30.11%3.32momio equitativo
EV +0.268%
Ventaja +0.080%
Kelly +0.115%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.65%30.29%30.03%32.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.003.003.3336.36%33.34%33.33%30.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IK Oddevold (Visitante)

Predicción 40.64%2.46momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.854%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.41

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.53%40.51%40.72%41.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.282.282.4146.51%43.83%43.86%41.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.25%3.42momio equitativo
EV +0.912%
Ventaja +0.264%
Kelly +0.372%
Crecimiento +0.003%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.62%29.21%29.25%31.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.163.203.4534.48%31.65%31.25%28.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: GIF Sundsvall (Local): 30.11%; IK Oddevold (Visitante): 40.64%; Empate: 29.25%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.42. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.45, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.912%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -12.68%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.53%EV -2.06%E -0.854%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV +0.912%E +0.264%K +0.372%G +0.003%5.0%2026-05-01 11:40
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -0.551%E -0.162%K -0.230%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -11.17%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -2.01%E -0.601%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -11.17%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -2.01%E -0.601%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 09:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -11.17%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -2.01%E -0.601%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 09:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -11.17%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -4.50%E -1.91%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.08%EV -2.01%E -0.601%K -0.857%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 09:20
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -6.06%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.43%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-02 14:55
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.68%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 09:20
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.68%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 09:20
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.68%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 09:20
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.68%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 09:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.68%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 09:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.68%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 09:20
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.68%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 09:21
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.68%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 14:25
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -12.68%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 09:21
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.75%EV -13.28%E -4.61%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.11%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-02 08:00
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -13.28%E -4.61%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -4.94%E -1.52%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-02 14:25
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -6.06%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.90%EV -6.94%E -3.03%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.09%EV -5.82%E -1.81%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 14:50
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -6.53%E -2.84%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 14:25
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 14:25
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 14:25
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 14:25
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -8.16%E -2.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.97%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 14:47
LiveScore Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -14.18%E -4.98%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 08:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -14.18%E -4.98%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-02 14:25
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -15.69%E -5.60%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -6.40%E -2.00%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 14:25
Pinnacle🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.65%EV +0.268%E +0.080%K +0.115%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.77%EV -4.90%E -2.10%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.58%EV -8.74%E -2.80%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 14:50
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-02 04:06
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -11.17%E -3.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 14:55
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -15.69%E -5.60%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-02 14:25
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -17.20%E -6.25%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -12.62%E -5.87%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -9.33%E -3.01%K -4.44%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-02 14:25
Marathon Bet🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.31%EV -4.85%E -1.54%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.62%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -9.91%E -3.22%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -4.09%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 14:30
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -4.09%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 14:29
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -4.09%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 14:36
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -3.65%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.82%EV -4.09%E -1.73%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -10.79%E -3.54%K -5.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 14:30
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 09:20
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -12.68%E -4.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -10.59%E -4.81%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -12.25%E -4.08%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-02 14:25
Everygame🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -5.15%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -13.71%E -4.65%K -7.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-02 14:36
PlayUp🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -6.66%E -2.15%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -7.34%E -3.22%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 14:35
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-02 14:45
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-02 14:44
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-02 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -9.67%E -3.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.56%E -3.80%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -15.18%E -5.23%K -7.99%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-02 14:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%1.0%2026-05-02 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%1.0%2026-05-02 14:50
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.71%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.02%1.0%2026-05-02 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.58%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.08%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.34%1.4%2026-05-02 14:35