La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

Falkenbergs FF v Östersunds FK

Inicio: 2026-09-18 17:00 UTC

Final: Falkenbergs FF 0–0 Östersunds FK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Predicción 39.13%2.56momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.88%39.38%39.17%42.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.352.352.4846.51%42.55%42.55%40.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Östersunds FK (Visitante)

Predicción 31.66%3.16momio equitativo
EV +4.49%
Ventaja +1.36%
Kelly +1.95%
Crecimiento +0.087%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.79%31.46%31.56%33.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.632.852.833.3038.02%35.13%35.40%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 29.20%3.42momio equitativo
EV +2.21%
Ventaja +0.631%
Kelly +0.884%
Crecimiento +0.020%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.58%29.16%29.27%30.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.003.143.153.5033.33%31.83%31.75%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Falkenbergs FF (Local): 39.13%; Östersunds FK (Visitante): 31.66%; Empate: 29.20%. Para Östersunds FK (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.16. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.49%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -12.34%E -5.51%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV +4.49%E +1.36%K +1.95%G +0.087%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 12:30
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.56%EV -5.68%E -2.36%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.46%EV -0.897%E -0.287%K -0.421%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.98%EV -7.14%E -2.24%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -15.86%E -7.38%K -13.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -1.85%E -0.596%K -0.879%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 15:15
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-18 11:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -2.95%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -10.93%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:27
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -2.95%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -10.93%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:30
BetUS🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.88%EV -2.95%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.32%EV -5.01%E -1.67%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -10.93%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 15:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.15%EV -8.03%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.98%EV -5.96%E -2.01%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 29.87%EV -10.06%E -3.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Betsson🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.58%EV -4.51%E -1.85%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.91%EV -6.60%E -2.24%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.51%EV -6.84%E -2.15%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 11:14
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.29%EV -5.29%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -7.23%E -2.47%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.08%EV -10.06%E -3.26%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 15:29
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -8.03%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -0.711%E -0.209%K -0.296%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-18 11:08
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:34
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -11.95%E -5.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV +2.21%E +0.631%K +0.884%G +0.020%7.5%2026-09-14 22:49
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 11:15
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 14:40
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.03%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-18 12:06
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 15:25
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.18%E -2.82%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 10:50
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.81%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 10:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -8.81%E -3.06%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 10:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -9.13%E -3.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 10:50
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -9.13%E -3.18%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 10:50
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.35%EV -8.03%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.62%EV -9.76%E -3.43%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-18 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.12%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 05:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.12%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 05:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.12%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 05:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -4.12%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.63%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 05:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.03%EV -8.03%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 11:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -5.09%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 14:05
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -8.03%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 15:24
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 15:30
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.35%E -4.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-18 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -8.03%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -12.93%E -4.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 11:24
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.14%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.93%E -4.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.55%E -2.05%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 11:25
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -11.95%E -5.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -12.93%E -4.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 11:05
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -12.93%E -4.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -12.39%E -4.13%K -6.20%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 05:20
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 05:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 05:20
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 05:20
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 05:20
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV -8.01%E -2.54%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 05:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -13.90%E -6.32%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -14.51%E -5.37%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-18 14:04
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.01%EV -8.82%E -3.78%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.42%EV -16.09%E -6.07%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -9.47%E -3.06%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-18 05:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.04%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.27%EV -16.73%E -6.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -10.93%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-18 05:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.04%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.27%EV -16.73%E -6.36%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -10.93%E -3.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-18 05:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.77%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.89%1.4%2026-09-18 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%1.9%2026-09-18 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%1.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.67%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%1.9%2026-09-18 15:30