L’École des cotes

Falkenbergs FF v Örebro SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-14 13:00 UTC

Score final : Falkenbergs FF 1–1 Örebro SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prévision 50.94%1.96cote équitable
EV -3.73%
Avantage -1.97%
Kelly -4.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.61%51.01%50.89%53.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.801.801.8958.82%55.42%55.56%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Örebro SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.78%4.39cote équitable
EV +0.244%
Avantage +0.056%
Kelly +0.072%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.67%22.76%22.95%24.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.963.954.4027.78%25.25%25.32%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.28%3.81cote équitable
EV +1.18%
Avantage +0.306%
Kelly +0.414%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.76%26.23%26.16%28.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.533.553.8533.33%28.32%28.17%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.57%EV -9.33%E -5.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.67%EV +0.244%E +0.056%K +0.072%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV +1.18%E +0.306%K +0.414%G +0.005%4.9%2026-06-14 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -7.29%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.135%E -0.035%K -0.048%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:20
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -7.29%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.135%E -0.035%K -0.048%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:20
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -7.29%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.135%E -0.035%K -0.048%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:20
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.71%EV -7.29%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -0.135%E -0.035%K -0.048%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 12:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -2.76%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 12:39
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.33%E -5.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.15%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -2.76%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 12:20
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.33%E -5.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.15%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -2.76%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 12:20
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.33%E -5.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.15%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -2.76%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 12:20
LeoVegas1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.33%E -5.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.15%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -2.76%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 12:20
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.33%E -5.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.15%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -2.76%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 12:20
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.33%E -5.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.15%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -2.76%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 12:20
Virgin Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.33%E -5.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.15%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -2.76%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 12:20
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -9.33%E -5.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.15%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -2.76%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 12:20
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -9.84%E -5.56%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -11.15%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -2.76%E -0.747%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-14 12:20
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 12:50
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -9.84%E -5.56%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 12:49
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.15%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 16:40
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -14.56%E -3.88%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-14 04:10
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -9.33%E -5.24%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -13.43%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-14 04:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -13.41%E -7.89%K -19.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 12:40
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 51.51%EV -11.37%E -6.53%K -15.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -13.43%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -5.39%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-14 12:21
1xBet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.81%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.08%EV -7.73%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.11%EV -5.92%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 12:50
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.43%EV -4.75%E -2.54%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 12:50
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.56%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.09%EV -7.73%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 12:50
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.56%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.09%EV -7.73%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-14 12:50
Bovada1.82I 54.95%NM 50.63%EV -7.29%E -4.01%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-14 12:50
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 51.33%EV -9.84%E -5.56%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-14 04:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -10.86%E -6.21%K -14.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -8.87%E -2.22%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.02%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-14 12:50
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.37%EV -3.73%E -1.97%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.88%EV -0.895%E -0.206%K -0.267%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.75%EV -9.86%E -2.87%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 12:50
BetOnline.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.79%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.03%E -0.473%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 12:50
LowVig.ag1.84I 54.35%NM 50.79%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.03%E -0.473%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 12:50
BetAnything1.84I 54.35%NM 50.79%EV -6.28%E -3.41%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -2.03%E -0.473%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-14 12:50
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -2.03%E -0.473%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-14 12:50
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 49.84%EV -5.26%E -2.83%K -6.11%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.89%EV -7.73%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-14 12:50
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.31%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 12:40
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -14.56%E -3.88%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-14 12:50
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -14.56%E -3.88%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-14 12:50
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -17.98%E -4.99%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-14 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -17.98%E -4.99%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-14 12:50
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -10.86%E -6.21%K -14.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.43%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -10.65%E -3.13%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-06-14 12:50
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -14.56%E -3.88%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 12:50
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -14.56%E -3.88%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -5.77%E -3.12%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -14.56%E -3.88%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-14 12:50
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 50.66%EV -12.39%E -7.20%K -17.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -13.43%E -3.53%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-14 12:50
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.77%EV -6.79%E -3.71%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -6.59%E -1.61%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-14 12:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.17%EV -8.31%E -4.62%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -14.56%E -3.88%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -14.59%E -4.49%K -6.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-14 12:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.61%EV -11.88%E -6.87%K -16.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.36%EV -17.98%E -4.99%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.03%EV -21.16%E -7.05%K -10.58%G +0.000%18.9%2026-06-14 12:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.92I 52.08%NM 51.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%1.1%2026-06-14 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.7%2026-06-14 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.7%2026-06-14 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.7%2026-06-14 12:50