La escuela de los momios

Falkenbergs FF v IK Oddevold

Inicio: 2026-05-30 13:02 UTC

Final: Falkenbergs FF 2–1 IK Oddevold

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Predicción 37.23%2.69momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -0.942%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.29%37.56%37.27%41.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.452.452.6245.45%40.80%40.82%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Oddevold (Visitante)

Predicción 34.51%2.90momio equitativo
EV +3.53%
Ventaja +1.18%
Kelly +1.76%
Crecimiento +0.062%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.86%34.37%34.44%35.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.652.653.0041.67%37.74%37.74%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.26%3.54momio equitativo
EV +1.75%
Ventaja +0.486%
Kelly +0.674%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.19%28.08%28.30%30.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.233.253.6034.72%30.97%30.82%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.84%EV -12.89%E -5.51%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.86%EV +3.53%E +1.18%K +1.76%G +0.062%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -1.08%E -0.307%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-30 12:58
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.44%EV -2.47%E -0.942%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.10%EV -3.37%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.47%EV -8.42%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 12:59
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.84%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -3.37%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:59
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 36.84%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -3.37%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 13:00
BetUS2.56I 39.06%NM 36.84%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -3.37%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:59
BetAnything2.56I 39.06%NM 36.84%EV -4.70%E -1.84%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -3.37%E -1.20%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 12:59
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -3.21%E -1.24%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.10%E -1.85%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:59
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.48%EV -5.45%E -2.14%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.19%EV -6.48%E -2.39%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -10.68%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-30 12:59
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -7.68%E -3.10%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.82%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -2.49%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-30 12:59
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.82%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 12:59
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -6.82%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 12:59
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -18.10%E -8.23%K -15.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -6.82%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV +1.75%E +0.486%K +0.674%G +0.012%10.3%2026-05-30 13:00
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -6.82%E -2.53%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -15.21%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 12:59
1xBet2.59I 38.61%NM 36.11%EV -3.58%E -1.38%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.76%EV -7.17%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.13%EV -9.27%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 12:59
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.55%E -3.23%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 13:00
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -8.55%E -3.23%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 13:00
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -8.55%E -3.23%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 13:00
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -8.55%E -3.23%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 12:59
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -8.55%E -3.23%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 13:00
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -8.55%E -3.23%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 13:00
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 37.85%EV -9.54%E -3.93%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.70%EV -8.55%E -3.23%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.45%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 12:59
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -8.55%E -3.23%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 12:59
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.55%E -3.23%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 12:59
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.55%E -3.23%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.55%E -3.23%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 13:00
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.55%E -3.23%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 13:00
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -9.24%E -3.51%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.25%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 12:45
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 12:58
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-30 12:59
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -15.21%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-30 12:59
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -15.21%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-30 13:00
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -15.21%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-30 13:00
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -9.59%E -3.66%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -15.21%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-30 12:59
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -10.28%E -3.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -1.08%E -0.307%K -0.430%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 13:00
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -10.28%E -3.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 13:00
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -10.28%E -3.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 13:00
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.93%E -2.77%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.28%E -3.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-30 12:59
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -11.40%E -4.79%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -10.28%E -3.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-30 12:59
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -10.28%E -3.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-30 12:59
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -10.28%E -3.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-30 13:00
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 37.90%EV -12.52%E -5.33%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.26%EV -10.28%E -3.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-30 13:00
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -10.28%E -3.95%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -15.21%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-30 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 37.79%EV -13.64%E -5.88%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -12.00%E -4.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-30 13:00
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.12%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.99%EV -12.00%E -4.71%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.89%EV -18.03%E -6.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-30 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -13.73%E -5.49%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 13:00
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -8.80%E -3.59%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -13.73%E -5.49%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 13:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.57%EV -14.38%E -6.25%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.56%EV -13.73%E -5.49%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-30 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -10.66%E -4.44%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -17.18%E -7.16%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.60%E -6.46%K -9.89%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-30 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.37%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.11%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-05-30 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.37%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.11%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-05-30 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 36.62%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.30%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.08%2.7%2026-05-30 13:00