La escuela de los momios

Västerås SK v IFK Goteborg

Inicio: 2026-05-31 12:04 UTC

Final: Västerås SK 4–5 IFK Goteborg

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Västerås SK (Local)

Predicción 36.27%2.76momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -0.766%
Kelly -1.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.99%36.24%36.30%37.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.542.532.7042.55%39.30%39.53%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Goteborg (Visitante)

Predicción 36.16%2.77momio equitativo
EV -0.560%
Ventaja -0.203%
Kelly -0.320%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.21%36.14%36.13%37.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.572.562.7542.55%38.96%39.06%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.57%3.63momio equitativo
EV -2.13%
Ventaja -0.600%
Kelly -0.836%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.88%27.62%27.56%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.313.303.5534.72%30.22%30.30%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%EV -2.07%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.80%EV -0.560%E -0.203%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%EV -2.13%E -0.600%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-31 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%EV -2.07%E -0.766%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.80%EV -0.560%E -0.203%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%EV -2.13%E -0.600%K -0.836%G +0.000%1.6%2026-05-31 12:00
BetAnything2.69I 37.17%NM 34.99%EV -2.43%E -0.904%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.06%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 11:59
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 35.47%EV -2.79%E -1.04%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.73%EV -3.81%E -1.43%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 12:00
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -2.79%E -1.04%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.93%EV -7.43%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 12:00
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -2.79%E -1.04%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.93%EV -7.43%E -2.90%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 11:59
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -3.88%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.42%EV -0.560%E -0.203%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-31 11:59
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -3.88%E -1.46%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.42%EV -0.560%E -0.203%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.83%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-31 11:59
Coolbet2.64I 37.88%NM 36.46%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.05%EV -3.45%E -1.29%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -3.51%E -1.00%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 11:59
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.34%EV -4.24%E -1.61%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.48%EV -4.90%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.18%EV -2.68%E -0.760%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-31 11:59
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.45%EV -5.33%E -2.04%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.45%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.10%EV -3.23%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 11:59
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 12:00
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 12:00
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 12:00
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 12:00
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 11:59
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 11:59
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 11:59
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -4.18%E -1.58%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-31 11:59
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 11:59
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-31 12:00
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.69%E -2.19%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-31 11:59
Bovada2.56I 39.06%NM 36.73%EV -7.15%E -2.79%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.02%EV -5.62%E -2.15%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 11:57
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.51%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -4.89%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 12:00
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.51%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-31 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -7.51%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-31 12:00
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.51%E -2.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-31 12:00
Betclic (FR)2.53I 39.53%NM 35.68%EV -8.23%E -3.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.55%EV -10.68%E -4.33%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 11:58
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -8.60%E -3.41%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -5.26%E -2.01%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 11:59
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.67%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-31 11:59
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 12:00
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 12:00
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 12:00
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 11:59
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -5.98%E -2.30%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 12:00
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.27%E -1.84%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-31 11:59
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-31 11:59
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.64%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-31 11:59
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 12:00
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 11:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 11:59
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-31 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-31 11:59
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-31 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.32%E -3.73%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.63%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.74%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-31 11:59
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -11.14%E -4.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.02%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-31 11:59
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -11.14%E -4.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 11:59
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 36.68%EV -11.14%E -4.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.24%EV -7.79%E -3.06%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 12:00
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 36.58%EV -11.14%E -4.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.85%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.57%EV -10.40%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-31 11:51
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -11.14%E -4.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-31 11:59
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.30%EV -11.14%E -4.55%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.80%EV -15.02%E -6.39%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.90%EV -14.54%E -4.69%K -6.92%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-31 11:59
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -12.95%E -5.40%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.36%EV -13.22%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-31 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.95%E -5.40%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -13.22%E -5.51%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.60%E -7.15%K -10.96%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-31 11:59
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -13.67%E -5.75%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -9.60%E -3.84%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -11.78%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-31 11:59
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.53%EV -14.76%E -6.28%K -10.94%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 35.33%EV -12.13%E -4.99%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.15%EV -15.92%E -5.22%K -7.76%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-31 11:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-31 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-31 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.74%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-05-31 12:00
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.34%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-05-31 12:00
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.20%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.67%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-05-31 12:00