La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Västerås SK v GAIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Västerås SK (Local)
Predicción 30.30%3.30momio equitativo
EV -0.008%
Ventaja -0.002%
Kelly -0.004%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.44%30.37%30.24%31.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.063.053.3035.09%32.70%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
GAIS (Visitante)
Predicción 42.23%2.37momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.690%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.68%42.14%42.32%43.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.182.162.3350.00%45.93%46.30%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.47%3.64momio equitativo
EV -2.48%
Ventaja -0.698%
Kelly -0.972%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.50%27.50%27.45%29.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.353.403.5534.72%29.89%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%EV -0.008%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53%EV -2.48%E -0.698%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%EV -0.008%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53%EV -2.48%E -0.698%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%EV -0.008%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53%EV -2.48%E -0.698%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| 1xBet | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.48%EV -2.43%E -0.755%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.01%EV -4.56%E -2.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.51%EV -8.52%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -3.04%E -0.949%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.23%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Pinnacle | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.25%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.43%EV -4.56%E -2.02%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.32%EV -3.58%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.20%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.20%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| BetUS | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.20%EV -5.41%E -2.41%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.80%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Everygame | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -8.79%E -4.07%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -8.79%E -4.07%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -8.79%E -4.07%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -8.79%E -4.07%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.08%EV -8.79%E -4.07%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| BetRivers | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -4.55%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.80%EV -8.36%E -3.85%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 12:48 |
| Bovada | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.04%EV -5.46%E -1.75%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.40%EV -6.67%E -3.02%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:56 |
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.97%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.20%EV -1.61%E -0.690%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.83%EV -5.23%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| BetAnything | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.21%EV -6.25%E -2.82%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -9.63%E -4.50%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -10.48%E -4.94%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.58%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.96%EV -10.48%E -4.94%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -7.97%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.85%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.05%EV -10.01%E -3.37%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.49%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -10.72%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -5.23%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.75%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -13.43%E -6.55%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -10.61%E -3.60%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -15.54%E -7.77%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.60%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -9.21%E -4.28%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.57%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.92%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.51%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -12.73%E -4.42%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -20.88%E -7.25%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -13.64%E -4.79%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.79%EV -11.32%E -5.39%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.42%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 12:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43% | 1.3% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.62% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.23% | 2.0% | 2026-05-09 13:00 |