La escuela de los momios

Malmo FF v IK Sirius

Inicio: 2026-04-23 17:00 UTC

Final: Malmo FF 2–3 IK Sirius

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Malmo FF (Local)

Predicción 38.65%2.59momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.78%38.61%38.71%39.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.382.382.5244.44%42.10%42.02%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Sirius (Visitante)

Predicción 34.48%2.90momio equitativo
EV -0.692%
Ventaja -0.240%
Kelly -0.368%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.51%34.41%34.47%35.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.712.732.8840.00%36.92%36.63%34.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.87%3.72momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.602%
Kelly -0.830%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.83%26.98%26.82%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.373.353.6434.72%29.65%29.85%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 38.17%EV -2.61%E -1.04%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.11%EV -5.52%E -2.01%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -3.27%E -0.907%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 16:05
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -3.38%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 16:54
GTbets2.49I 40.16%NM 37.84%EV -3.77%E -1.51%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.61%EV -4.88%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 11:49
LowVig.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -4.83%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 16:55
BetOnline.ag2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -4.83%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 16:55
BetAnything2.46I 40.65%NM 38.55%EV -4.93%E -2.00%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.36%EV -4.83%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 16:54
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%EV -4.61%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 16:35
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 16:28
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:34
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:44
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -9.66%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 16:54
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -9.66%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 16:54
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -9.66%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 16:54
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.31%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -9.66%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 16:55
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.34%EV -5.70%E -2.34%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.28%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.37%EV -2.19%E -0.602%K -0.830%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 16:50
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -4.61%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:43
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -4.61%E -1.30%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 16:45
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:50
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.35%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 15:50
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -10.35%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 15:45
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -0.692%E -0.240%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -9.98%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -0.692%E -0.240%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -9.98%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:45
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -0.692%E -0.240%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -9.98%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:45
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.58%EV -0.692%E -0.240%K -0.368%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%EV -9.98%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 16:44
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.32%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.40%EV -6.21%E -2.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -4.34%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:55
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:54
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -7.30%E -2.11%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -1.73%E -0.606%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:45
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -1.73%E -0.606%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:45
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -1.73%E -0.606%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:44
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -1.73%E -0.606%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:45
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -1.73%E -0.606%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:45
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.02%E -3.37%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.66%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 16:34
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.44%EV -8.41%E -3.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.77%EV -9.66%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 16:30
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:34
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -1.73%E -0.606%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:44
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -1.73%E -0.606%K -0.933%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:44
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.17%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:39
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:45
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -10.35%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -5.95%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 16:34
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -8.62%E -3.25%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -9.98%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 16:54
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -9.18%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.35%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 15:45
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -10.34%E -4.46%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 16:45
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -10.34%E -4.46%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -3.45%E -1.23%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 16:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -9.66%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 16:25
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -9.31%E -3.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 16:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -9.31%E -3.54%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 16:49
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -9.66%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -9.66%E -3.69%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 16:50
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.58%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.12%EV -10.35%E -3.98%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.30%EV -12.67%E -3.90%K -5.63%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -11.11%E -4.83%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -13.79%E -5.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -22.61%E -7.85%K -12.03%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-23 16:30
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.25%EV -13.04%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -6.90%E -2.55%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -15.36%E -4.88%K -7.14%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 16:45
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.04%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.18%EV -11.38%E -4.43%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.78%EV -11.86%E -3.62%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 16:40
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -13.04%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.13%EV -13.79%E -5.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -8.64%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-23 14:30
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -13.04%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -12.07%E -4.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -11.33%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 16:34
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -13.04%E -5.80%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -13.79%E -5.52%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -9.98%E -2.98%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 16:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-04-23 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-04-23 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-04-23 16:40
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 39.12%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.03%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85%0.6%2026-04-23 16:45
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 39.07%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.95%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.98%1.6%2026-04-23 16:35