La escuela de los momios

Malmo FF v Halmstads BK

Inicio: 2026-05-30 13:00 UTC

Final: Malmo FF 5–2 Halmstads BK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Malmo FF (Local)

Predicción 62.25%1.61momio equitativo
EV -4.14%
Ventaja -2.69%
Kelly -7.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.70%62.17%62.30%65.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.471.491.5474.07%67.85%67.11%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Halmstads BK (Visitante)

Predicción 16.07%6.22momio equitativo
EV +20.55%
Ventaja +2.74%
Kelly +3.16%
Crecimiento +0.650%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.11%16.05%16.10%17.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.875.847.5020.00%17.04%17.11%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.68%4.61momio equitativo
EV +1.89%
Ventaja +0.402%
Kelly +0.510%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.92%21.78%21.60%24.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.204.254.7028.57%23.81%23.56%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.98%EV -7.25%E -4.87%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +20.55%E +2.74%K +3.16%G +0.650%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%EV +1.89%E +0.402%K +0.510%G +0.010%1.7%2026-05-30 12:30
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.98%EV -7.25%E -4.87%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +20.55%E +2.74%K +3.16%G +0.650%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%EV +1.89%E +0.402%K +0.510%G +0.010%1.7%2026-05-30 12:30
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 65.98%EV -7.25%E -4.87%K -14.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +20.55%E +2.74%K +3.16%G +0.650%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%EV +1.89%E +0.402%K +0.510%G +0.010%1.7%2026-05-30 12:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.01%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.92%EV +10.91%E +1.58%K +1.85%G +0.202%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.07%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 20:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -10.36%E -7.20%K -23.55%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.30%EV +4.48%E +0.689%K +0.815%G +0.037%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 12:30
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 64.27%EV -10.99%E -7.68%K -25.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV +2.87%E +0.449%K +0.532%G +0.015%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.78%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 12:30
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 64.27%EV -10.99%E -7.68%K -25.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV +2.87%E +0.449%K +0.532%G +0.015%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.78%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 12:30
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 64.27%EV -10.99%E -7.68%K -25.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV +2.87%E +0.449%K +0.532%G +0.015%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.78%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 12:30
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.27%EV -10.99%E -7.68%K -25.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV +2.87%E +0.449%K +0.532%G +0.015%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.78%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 12:30
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 64.27%EV -10.99%E -7.68%K -25.55%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.36%EV +2.87%E +0.449%K +0.532%G +0.015%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.78%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 12:30
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 64.05%EV -12.23%E -8.67%K -29.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.45%EV +0.462%E +0.074%K +0.088%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 12:30
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 64.05%EV -12.23%E -8.67%K -29.83%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.45%EV +0.462%E +0.074%K +0.088%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -8.95%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 12:30
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 62.96%EV -5.38%E -3.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.12I 16.34%NM 15.64%EV -1.63%E -0.266%K -0.318%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.41%EV -3.10%E -0.693%K -0.893%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 12:50
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 63.49%EV -12.23%E -8.67%K -29.83%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.68%EV -1.95%E -0.319%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 12:30
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -12.85%E -9.18%K -32.13%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -1.95%E -0.319%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-30 12:30
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.65%EV -12.85%E -9.18%K -32.13%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -1.95%E -0.319%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.74%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-30 12:30
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.01%E -3.98%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 12:40
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.01%E -3.98%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 12:40
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.01%E -3.98%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 12:40
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:50
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.61%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 12:39
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.13%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 12:39
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.87%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 07:39
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -6.13%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 15:19
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -6.78%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 12:29
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-30 07:37
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -3.56%E -0.593%K -0.711%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 07:40
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 61.71%EV -4.76%E -3.11%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.03%EV -5.32%E -0.904%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.27%EV -8.08%E -1.91%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 08:40
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -6.77%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 12:40
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -6.77%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 12:39
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 63.51%EV -15.97%E -11.83%K -45.62%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 14.78%EV -6.77%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.71%EV -14.37%E -3.64%K -4.87%G +0.000%16.6%2026-05-30 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.66%EV -4.14%E -2.69%K -7.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.51%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83%EV -5.70%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 12:40
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.45%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.82%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-30 07:39
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.99%EV -6.01%E -3.98%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.71I 17.51%NM 16.39%EV -8.22%E -1.44%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -6.13%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 12:50
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.51%EV -8.50%E -5.78%K -18.08%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.12%EV -8.38%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.37%EV -6.78%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 12:39
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -4.76%E -3.11%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.13%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 08:50
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 61.92%EV -7.25%E -4.87%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.31%EV -6.13%E -1.42%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-30 12:40
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 12:40
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 12:39
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 09:20
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 12:39
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-30 12:48
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.35%EV -7.87%E -5.32%K -16.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 12:50
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.51%EV -8.50%E -5.78%K -18.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 12:30
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -10.36%E -7.20%K -23.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-30 12:30
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -10.36%E -7.20%K -23.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -15.45%E -3.96%K -5.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-30 12:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -10.36%E -7.20%K -23.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -24.13%E -6.89%K -9.65%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-30 08:50
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -8.50%E -5.78%K -18.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -13.20%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-30 12:49
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -7.25%E -4.87%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -16.42%E -3.16%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -6.78%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 12:40
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 08:50
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 08:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -6.63%E -4.42%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-30 08:50
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.84%EV -9.74%E -6.72%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.64%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.52%EV -11.12%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-30 12:39
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -10.36%E -7.20%K -23.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -13.29%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.4%2026-05-30 06:40
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.33%EV -10.99%E -7.68%K -25.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.26%EV -19.63%E -3.93%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.41%EV -16.54%E -4.30%K -5.80%G +0.000%15.9%2026-05-30 12:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-05-30 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-05-30 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-05-30 12:50
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-05-30 12:50
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.88%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.35%1.8%2026-05-30 12:50