L’École des cotes

Kalmar FF v Västerås SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kalmar FF (Local)

Prévision 42.83%2.34cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -1.62%
Kelly -2.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.82%42.86%42.84%44.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.032.152.152.2549.26%46.52%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Västerås SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.77%3.60cote équitable
EV +6.93%
Avantage +1.80%
Kelly +2.43%
Croissance +0.168%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.34%27.71%27.74%29.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.393.303.8533.90%29.49%30.30%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.40%3.40cote équitable
EV -1.51%
Avantage -0.450%
Kelly -0.641%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.04%29.43%29.42%30.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.113.103.3535.71%32.19%32.26%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.93%EV -4.50%E -2.02%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%EV +6.93%E +1.80%K +2.43%G +0.168%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.62%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-05 11:24
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 43.93%EV -4.50%E -2.02%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%EV +6.93%E +1.80%K +2.43%G +0.168%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.62%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-05 11:24
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 43.93%EV -4.50%E -2.02%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%EV +6.93%E +1.80%K +2.43%G +0.168%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.62%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-05 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.00%EV -7.50%E -3.47%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV +4.15%E +1.11%K +1.51%G +0.063%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 11:25
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.21%E -4.34%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV +1.37%E +0.376%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:25
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.21%E -4.34%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV +1.37%E +0.376%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:25
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.21%E -4.34%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV +1.37%E +0.376%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:25
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.21%E -4.34%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV +1.37%E +0.376%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:24
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -9.21%E -4.34%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV +1.37%E +0.376%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 11:25
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV +1.37%E +0.376%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 11:24
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV +1.37%E +0.376%K +0.517%G +0.007%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 11:25
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.71%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 11:34
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.71%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 11:34
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 43.71%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.59%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-05 11:34
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -0.018%E -0.005%K -0.007%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-05 11:24
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.61%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.95%EV -1.13%E -0.317%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.43%EV -4.15%E -1.27%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 11:45
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -1.41%E -0.396%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 11:25
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.48%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -1.41%E -0.396%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 11:25
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -2.80%E -0.799%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 11:10
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.20%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.55%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.25%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-05 11:40
BetUS2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.50%E -3.47%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-05 11:40
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.18%E -1.21%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.39%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 11:35
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 11:09
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 11:09
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.68%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.66%EV -1.51%E -0.450%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-05 11:39
Bovada2.22I 45.05%NM 42.24%EV -4.93%E -2.22%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.96%E -2.08%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -7.39%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 11:18
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:49
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:49
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:34
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 11:49
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-05 11:10
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-05 11:48
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:35
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:35
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:34
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:34
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 11:10
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.94%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 11:24
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.15%EV -7.07%E -3.26%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.04%EV -1.80%E -0.539%K -0.770%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:49
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.39%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 11:49
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 11:40
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -14.74%E -5.08%K -7.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 11:08
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -12.21%E -5.95%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-05 11:35
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 11:50
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -13.90%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 11:24
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.90%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.90%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 11:09
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.90%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -13.90%E -4.49%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 11:09
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -16.68%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-05 11:24
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 42.41%EV -13.06%E -6.43%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70%EV -16.68%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 28.89%EV -12.39%E -4.16%K -6.26%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-05 11:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -16.68%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -17.68%E -6.31%K -9.82%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-05 11:10
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.84%EV -12.21%E -5.95%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.08%EV -18.07%E -6.13%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.08%EV -13.27%E -4.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-05 11:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.35%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-04-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-04-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-04-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.05%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.38%1.3%2026-04-05 11:50
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.42%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.10%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.49%2.5%2026-04-05 11:50