La escuela de los momios

Kalmar FF v Halmstads BK

Inicio: 2026-05-10 12:02 UTC

Final: Kalmar FF 2–0 Halmstads BK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kalmar FF (Local)

Predicción 56.50%1.77momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -3.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.93%56.39%56.57%57.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.631.621.7365.36%61.21%61.73%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Halmstads BK (Visitante)

Predicción 18.09%5.53momio equitativo
EV +1.28%
Ventaja +0.229%
Kelly +0.279%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.64%18.15%18.05%19.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.075.065.6022.22%19.72%19.74%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.41%3.94momio equitativo
EV -0.903%
Ventaja -0.231%
Kelly -0.311%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.44%25.46%25.38%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.613.653.9031.25%27.71%27.40%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.35%EV -3.38%E -1.98%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.51%EV +1.28%E +0.229%K +0.279%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%EV -0.903%E -0.231%K -0.311%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-10 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 57.49%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.45%EV +1.28%E +0.229%K +0.279%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.06%EV -0.903%E -0.231%K -0.311%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 12:00
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.52%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -0.526%E -0.096%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.25%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -9.59%E -6.00%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -0.526%E -0.096%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-10 11:59
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -9.59%E -6.00%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -0.526%E -0.096%K -0.117%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-10 11:59
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.24%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.41%EV -0.706%E -0.129%K -0.157%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.35%EV -4.21%E -1.12%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.20%E -3.74%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.62%EV -2.33%E -0.432%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -3.44%E -0.906%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 12:00
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -3.24%E -0.605%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 11:58
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.58%EV -3.24%E -0.605%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 11:59
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.95%EV -6.20%E -3.74%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -4.14%E -0.782%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -4.71%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:59
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.95%EV -6.20%E -3.74%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -4.14%E -0.782%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -4.71%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:59
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 56.95%EV -6.20%E -3.74%K -9.40%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.84%EV -4.14%E -0.782%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -4.71%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 11:59
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.36%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -4.14%E -0.782%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 11:59
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.36%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -4.14%E -0.782%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 11:59
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 57.36%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -4.14%E -0.782%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 12:00
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 57.36%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -4.14%E -0.782%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 12:00
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 57.36%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.53%EV -4.14%E -0.782%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 12:00
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -5.05%E -0.961%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -4.71%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 12:00
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.71%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.04%EV -5.05%E -0.961%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.25%EV -4.71%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 11:59
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.05%E -0.961%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 11:59
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -5.05%E -0.961%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 11:59
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -5.05%E -0.961%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 11:46
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.61%EV -5.05%E -0.961%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.98%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-10 12:00
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 57.37%EV -9.59%E -6.00%K -15.99%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -5.05%E -0.961%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -7.25%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-10 12:00
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.74%EV -2.25%E -1.30%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -5.95%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV -4.71%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 11:59
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV -5.95%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -3.44%E -0.906%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-10 12:00
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.58%EV -10.72%E -6.79%K -18.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -5.95%E -1.14%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -7.25%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 11:59
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.97%EV -3.94%E -2.32%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.73%EV -8.12%E -1.60%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.30%EV -4.46%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 11:59
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 55.63%EV -4.51%E -2.67%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.62%EV -8.66%E -1.72%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -7.25%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 11:59
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.57%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.11%EV -7.25%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 11:59
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.57%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 11:59
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.57%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 11:59
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -9.57%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 11:59
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.52%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.20%EV -9.57%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 11:59
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -9.57%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 12:00
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -9.57%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-10 12:00
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -11.29%E -7.19%K -19.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -9.57%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 12:00
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.37%EV -13.55%E -8.86%K -25.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -9.57%E -1.91%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.08%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 12:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -11.38%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.25%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.46%EV -5.07%E -3.02%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -11.38%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.25%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 11:59
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -11.38%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 12:00
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.47%EV -9.59%E -6.00%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.44%EV -11.38%E -2.32%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 11:59
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.11%EV -10.16%E -6.39%K -17.22%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.40%EV -12.28%E -2.53%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-10 11:59
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 55.64%EV -7.33%E -4.47%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -13.19%E -2.75%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-10 12:00
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -6.77%E -4.10%K -10.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -14.09%E -2.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 12:00
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.21%EV -11.29%E -7.19%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.58%EV -14.09%E -2.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.21%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-10 12:00
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.48%EV -12.98%E -8.43%K -24.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.31%EV -14.09%E -2.97%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.21%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-10 11:58
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 55.68%EV -9.03%E -5.61%K -14.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.07%EV -14.99%E -3.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.25%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-10 12:00
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -16.80%E -3.65%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 11:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -16.80%E -3.65%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 11:59
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -16.80%E -3.65%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 11:59
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -16.80%E -3.65%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -5.64%E -3.38%K -8.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -16.80%E -3.65%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-10 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.20%EV -9.59%E -6.00%K -15.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.20%EV -16.80%E -3.65%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.60%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-10 12:00
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -8.46%E -5.22%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -18.61%E -4.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-10 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.36%EV -11.29%E -7.19%K -19.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.97%EV -18.61%E -4.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.67%EV -18.69%E -5.84%K -8.50%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-10 11:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-10 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.21%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-10 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.00%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-05-10 12:00
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.00%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.28%1.4%2026-05-10 12:00
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-05-10 12:00