La escuela de los momiosEspañol
IF Elfsborg v IFK Goteborg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IF Elfsborg (Local)
Predicción 41.85%2.39momio equitativo
EV +0.439%
Ventaja +0.183%
Kelly +0.314%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.03%41.72%41.85%42.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.032.222.232.4049.26%45.02%44.84%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IFK Goteborg (Visitante)
Predicción 28.56%3.50momio equitativo
EV +1.40%
Ventaja +0.395%
Kelly +0.550%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.29%28.90%28.45%32.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.163.153.5535.71%31.67%31.75%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.59%3.38momio equitativo
EV +3.55%
Ventaja +1.01%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.050%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.08%29.38%29.70%30.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.163.153.5035.71%31.61%31.75%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.86%EV +0.439%E +0.183%K +0.314%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.13%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%EV +3.55%E +1.01%K +1.42%G +0.050% | 2.0% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.86%EV +0.439%E +0.183%K +0.314%G +0.001% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.13%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%EV +3.55%E +1.01%K +1.42%G +0.050% | 2.0% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.06%EV -0.398%E -0.167%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.02%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.92%EV +3.55%E +1.01%K +1.42%G +0.050% | 2.3% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Coolbet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.73%EV -1.23%E -0.523%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.00%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +0.593%E +0.174%K +0.247%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.83%EV -2.49%E -1.07%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.19%EV -12.88%E -4.22%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +0.593%E +0.174%K +0.247%G +0.001% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| BetRivers | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -20.02%E -7.15%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV +0.593%E +0.174%K +0.247%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 11:45 |
| GTbets | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.05%EV -5.00%E -2.20%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.19%EV -6.60%E -2.02%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.75%EV -1.77%E -0.534%K -0.765%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.37%E -0.717%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -2.37%E -0.717%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -2.37%E -0.717%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -2.37%E -0.717%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -2.37%E -0.717%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -4.58%E -2.01%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -2.37%E -0.717%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -5.84%E -2.59%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -15.74%E -5.33%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -2.37%E -0.717%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| TABtouch | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -5.84%E -2.59%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -15.74%E -5.33%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -2.37%E -0.717%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.66%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -6.68%E -2.99%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -17.16%E -5.92%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.73%EV -6.68%E -2.99%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -17.16%E -5.92%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -3.84%E -1.18%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.84%E -2.59%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.84%E -2.59%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -15.74%E -5.33%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -5.32%E -1.66%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.39%EV -5.42%E -2.40%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.29%EV +0.260%E +0.074%K +0.104%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.32%EV -6.51%E -2.06%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.84%EV -2.91%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%EV +1.40%E +0.395%K +0.550%G +0.008% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.84%EV -2.91%E -1.25%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.34%EV +1.40%E +0.395%K +0.550%G +0.008% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.09%EV -5.84%E -2.59%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -2.88%E -0.848%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.06%EV -6.80%E -2.16%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| 1xBet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -6.68%E -2.99%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.14%EV -4.88%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.84%EV -7.10%E -2.26%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| BetUS | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.68%E -2.99%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -2.88%E -0.848%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV -6.68%E -2.99%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -2.88%E -0.848%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.84%E -2.59%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.84%E -2.59%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:53 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.84%E -2.59%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -2.88%E -0.848%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -2.88%E -0.848%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 11:53 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -18.59%E -6.52%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.33%EV -8.28%E -2.67%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.93%E -3.60%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.12%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.17%E -2.21%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.02%E -4.66%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.12%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-06 11:53 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.12%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.24%E -3.75%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 42.37%EV -15.05%E -7.41%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.67%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 28.96%EV -12.13%E -4.08%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-06 11:52 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.84%EV -14.21%E -6.93%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.08%EV -15.74%E -5.33%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.08%EV -12.72%E -4.31%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.82%EV -12.12%E -5.77%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -14.31%E -4.77%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.61%EV -17.16%E -6.13%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-04-06 11:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.91% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61% | 2.4% | 2026-04-06 11:55 |