La escuela de los momios

IF Elfsborg v BK Hacken

Inicio: 2026-05-25 17:00 UTC

Final: IF Elfsborg 1–1 BK Hacken

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IF Elfsborg (Local)

Predicción 34.62%2.89momio equitativo
EV +3.85%
Ventaja +1.28%
Kelly +1.93%
Crecimiento +0.074%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.61%34.48%34.58%35.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.703.0040.00%37.06%37.04%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

BK Hacken (Visitante)

Predicción 38.15%2.62momio equitativo
EV -3.85%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -2.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.78%38.31%38.17%40.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.142.382.402.5246.73%41.97%41.67%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.23%3.67momio equitativo
EV -0.612%
Ventaja -0.168%
Kelly -0.231%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.07%27.22%27.25%29.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.363.403.6534.72%29.77%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.72%EV +3.85%E +1.28%K +1.93%G +0.074%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.39%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%EV -0.612%E -0.168%K -0.231%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 16:30
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 32.72%EV +3.85%E +1.28%K +1.93%G +0.074%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.39%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%EV -0.612%E -0.168%K -0.231%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 16:30
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.72%EV +3.85%E +1.28%K +1.93%G +0.074%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.39%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%EV -0.612%E -0.168%K -0.231%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 16:40
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.16%EV +0.388%E +0.134%K +0.204%G +0.001%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.74%EV -7.67%E -3.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%EV -3.33%E -0.939%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -1.34%E -0.471%K -0.726%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.22%EV -11.48%E -4.95%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 16:40
Pinnacle2.81I 35.59%NM 34.14%EV -2.73%E -0.971%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.53%EV -5.00%E -2.01%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 16:50
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.07%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.25%E -5.32%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.07%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.25%E -5.32%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 16:30
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.07%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.25%E -5.32%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 16:40
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.07%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.25%E -5.32%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 16:30
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -3.07%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -12.25%E -5.32%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-25 16:40
Bovada2.76I 36.23%NM 34.03%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 16:40
1xBet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.81%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.25%EV -6.90%E -2.83%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -9.05%E -2.71%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 16:49
GTbets2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -4.80%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -7.29%E -3.00%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-21 21:19
Betsson2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -4.80%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -7.67%E -3.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 16:19
NordicBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -4.80%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -7.67%E -3.17%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 16:19
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -4.80%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 16:40
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -4.80%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -14.15%E -6.29%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 16:30
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -4.80%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -14.15%E -6.29%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 16:30
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 32.61%EV -4.80%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -14.92%E -6.69%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-25 16:29
LowVig.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.56%EV -5.15%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.58%EV -3.85%E -1.53%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 16:20
BetOnline.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 34.56%EV -5.15%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.58%EV -3.85%E -1.53%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 16:20
BetUS2.74I 36.50%NM 34.56%EV -5.15%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.58%EV -3.85%E -1.53%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 16:19
BetAnything2.74I 36.50%NM 34.56%EV -5.15%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.58%EV -3.85%E -1.53%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 16:20
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 16:20
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 16:20
FanDuel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -4.62%E -1.85%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 16:29
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 16:20
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 16:20
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -16.06%E -7.30%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -6.53%E -2.42%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -16.06%E -7.30%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-25 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-25 16:30
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.25%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.82%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -8.96%E -3.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-25 16:20
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -8.96%E -3.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-25 16:20
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.64%EV -8.96%E -3.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 40.11%EV -18.35%E -8.58%K -16.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.25%EV -14.23%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-25 16:30
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -9.30%E -3.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-25 16:20
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.30%E -3.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 16:20
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.30%E -3.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 16:19
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.30%E -3.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 16:20
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.78%EV -9.30%E -3.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.19%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.03%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 16:20
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.30%E -3.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-25 16:30
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.30%E -3.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.14%E -3.07%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-25 16:30
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -9.30%E -3.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.58%E -4.04%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -9.30%E -3.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.58%E -4.04%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -10.00%E -3.84%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.52%E -2.66%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 16:40
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -10.00%E -3.84%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 16:38
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -10.00%E -3.84%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 16:40
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -10.00%E -3.84%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -10.34%E -4.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -4.70%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-25 16:19
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.61%EV -10.00%E -3.84%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -10.34%E -4.40%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.10%EV -9.60%E -2.89%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 16:30
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -10.00%E -3.84%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -9.19%E -3.86%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -12.87%E -4.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-25 16:29
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -11.73%E -4.60%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.43%E -3.51%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.42%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-25 16:40
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -13.46%E -5.38%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -12.25%E -5.32%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -11.50%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-25 16:20
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -13.46%E -5.38%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -14.15%E -6.29%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -8.78%E -2.62%K -3.74%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-25 16:20
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.43%EV -13.46%E -5.38%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -14.15%E -6.29%K -11.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.32%EV -14.23%E -4.52%K -6.62%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-25 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -13.46%E -5.38%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.78%EV -12.25%E -5.32%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.38%EV -21.58%E -7.49%K -11.48%G +0.000%18.2%2026-05-25 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-05-25 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.47%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.8%2026-05-25 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-05-25 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 34.86%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.38%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-05-25 16:40
Smarkets2.84I 35.21%NM 34.76%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-05-25 16:40