La escuela de los momios

IF Brommapojkarna v Västerås SK

Inicio: 2026-04-26 14:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IF Brommapojkarna (Local)

Predicción 40.43%2.47momio equitativo
EV -2.97%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.00%40.38%40.48%42.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.272.302.4048.78%44.02%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Västerås SK (Visitante)

Predicción 32.12%3.11momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.669%
Kelly -0.995%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.20%32.19%32.11%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.842.853.0538.46%35.17%35.09%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.45%3.64momio equitativo
EV +0.209%
Ventaja +0.057%
Kelly +0.079%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.19%27.44%27.41%29.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.373.403.6534.72%29.65%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%EV -2.97%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%EV +0.209%E +0.057%K +0.079%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 10:19
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 40.69%EV -2.97%E -1.24%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55%EV -3.65%E -1.22%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%EV +0.209%E +0.057%K +0.079%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-23 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -5.00%E -2.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.16%E -0.323%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 10:20
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%EV -5.00%E -2.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.16%E -0.323%K -0.448%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 10:20
Coolbet2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%EV -4.59%E -1.95%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.04%E -0.669%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 16:39
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -9.04%E -4.02%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.25%E -1.78%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 22:35
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.02%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:20
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.02%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:19
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.02%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:20
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.02%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:19
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.02%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:19
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.02%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:19
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.02%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.91%E -1.12%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 10:19
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 40.32%EV -5.40%E -2.31%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.42%EV -6.54%E -2.25%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.27%EV -5.01%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 15:05
Bovada2.34I 42.74%NM 40.24%EV -5.40%E -2.31%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.47%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 11:09
BetUS2.34I 42.74%NM 40.24%EV -5.40%E -2.31%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.47%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 13:15
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.64%EV -7.82%E -3.43%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -5.28%E -1.53%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 10:20
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.05%EV -5.40%E -2.31%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.40%EV -6.11%E -1.79%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 22:54
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -5.00%E -2.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 10:55
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -5.00%E -2.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 10:55
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -3.78%E -1.59%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:00
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.02%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 10:59
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.02%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 22:30
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -7.02%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-24 01:25
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.04%E -4.02%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 10:19
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.04%E -4.02%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 10:19
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -13.08%E -6.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -6.65%E -1.96%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 22:35
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.02%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 12:45
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.92%EV -5.40%E -2.31%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.77%EV -5.57%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:30
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 39.92%EV -5.40%E -2.31%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.77%EV -5.57%E -1.90%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 11:30
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -5.00%E -2.13%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.86%E -2.36%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 10:54
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -7.02%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 11:00
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.02%E -3.05%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.46%E -2.97%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 10:54
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.04%E -4.02%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 22:30
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.04%E -4.02%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 22:30
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.04%E -4.02%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 22:30
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.04%E -4.02%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 22:30
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.04%E -4.02%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.50%E -2.60%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 21:08
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.04%E -4.02%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 11:00
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.04%E -4.02%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.07%E -3.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 10:54
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 40.52%EV -11.87%E -5.44%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.71%EV -13.28%E -4.92%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -9.40%E -2.85%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 10:19
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.52%EV -7.82%E -3.43%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 10:55
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.06%E -5.03%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-24 01:25
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.06%E -5.03%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-24 01:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.06%E -5.03%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-24 01:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.06%E -5.03%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-24 01:25
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.06%E -5.03%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-23 14:34
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -13.08%E -6.08%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -13.28%E -4.92%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-22 22:35
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%EV -17.12%E -8.35%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.37%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.55%EV -10.77%E -3.31%K -4.79%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 06:50
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.65%EV -16.31%E -7.88%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 31.58%EV -12.32%E -4.51%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 26.77%EV -11.60%E -3.60%K -5.22%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-22 22:33
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.17%EV -17.12%E -8.35%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.46%EV -16.49%E -6.34%K -10.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.37%EV -12.15%E -3.80%K -5.52%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-22 22:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.00%EV -11.06%E -5.03%K -9.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.20%EV -11.68%E -4.25%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.79%EV -20.93%E -7.27%K -11.13%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-22 23:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%4.5%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%4.5%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.11%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.34%4.5%2026-04-24 03:30
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%8.7%2026-04-24 03:35
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 39.41%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.75%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%12.3%2026-04-23 17:00