Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

IF Brommapojkarna v Malmo FF

Inicio: 2026-08-02 12:00 UTC

Final: IF Brommapojkarna 1–2 Malmo FF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

IF Brommapojkarna (Local)

Predicción 29.50%3.39momio equitativo
EV +0.304%
Ventaja +0.089%
Kelly +0.127%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%29.54%29.55%31.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.153.153.4035.71%31.70%31.75%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Malmo FF (Visitante)

Predicción 44.90%2.23momio equitativo
EV -3.46%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -3.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.47%44.85%44.89%46.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.882.042.052.1553.19%48.96%48.78%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.60%3.91momio equitativo
EV -0.171%
Ventaja -0.044%
Kelly -0.059%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.20%25.61%25.56%26.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.353.593.603.9029.85%27.83%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: IF Brommapojkarna (Local): 29.50%; Malmo FF (Visitante): 44.90%; Empate: 25.60%. Para IF Brommapojkarna (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.39. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.304%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%EV +0.304%E +0.089%K +0.127%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.38%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%EV -0.171%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-02 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%EV +0.304%E +0.089%K +0.127%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.38%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%EV -0.171%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-02 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65%EV +0.304%E +0.089%K +0.127%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.38%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.97%EV -0.171%E -0.044%K -0.059%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-02 11:35
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV +0.304%E +0.089%K +0.127%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.29%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 11:34
1xBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.14%EV -0.286%E -0.085%K -0.120%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.51%EV -6.16%E -2.95%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.35%EV -7.59%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:55
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.65%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.79%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.03%EV -5.29%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-02 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -2.65%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.71%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.20%EV -2.47%E -0.649%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 11:34
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -2.65%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.71%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.20%EV -2.47%E -0.649%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 11:34
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -2.65%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.71%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.20%EV -2.47%E -0.649%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 11:35
BetAnything🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -2.65%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.71%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.20%EV -2.47%E -0.649%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-02 11:35
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -2.65%E -0.802%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 11:25
Pinnacle🎯3.27I 30.58%NM 29.32%EV -3.53%E -1.08%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.44%EV -5.26%E -2.49%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.23%EV -2.73%E -0.719%K -0.975%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-02 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.29%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 11:34
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV -4.12%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -5.29%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 11:34
GTbets🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 29.16%EV -5.01%E -1.55%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.09%EV -4.36%E -2.05%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.75%EV -10.15%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 11:40
DraftKings🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -4.01%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 11:53
Bovada🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.60%E -3.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.29%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 11:45
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 11:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -6.60%E -3.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Everygame🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -6.57%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 11:44
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 11:44
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.57%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 11:45
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.60%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.57%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 11:44
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 11:49
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.57%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.57%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 11:34
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.57%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 11:35
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.81%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -6.57%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -7.07%E -2.24%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.70%EV -11.54%E -5.86%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 11:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -5.29%E -1.43%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 11:20
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 08:45
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 08:49
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:50
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.97%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 11:34
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.97%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 11:34
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.97%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 11:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.97%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 11:34
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-02 11:55
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-02 11:49
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.78%EV -11.99%E -6.12%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -9.13%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 11:35
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.97%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.97%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.97%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 11:20
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -12.97%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-02 11:24
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -12.44%E -6.38%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 08:44
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.22%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 11:34
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.65%EV -12.89%E -6.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 11:35
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.04%EV -10.02%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.65%EV -12.89%E -6.64%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 11:35
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-02 11:34
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.41%E -2.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 11:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -9.13%E -2.57%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 11:35
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.97%E -3.81%K -5.40%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-02 11:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 30.30%EV -12.38%E -4.17%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.47%EV -7.05%E -3.41%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.23%EV -12.20%E -3.56%K -5.02%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-02 11:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 28.99%EV -12.97%E -4.40%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.49%EV -15.58%E -8.29%K -17.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.53%EV -14.25%E -4.25%K -6.06%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-02 11:35
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -17.40%E -6.21%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.68%EV -12.44%E -6.38%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -7.85%E -2.18%K -3.02%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-02 11:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-08-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-08-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-08-02 11:55
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.75%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-08-02 11:55
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.65%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.34%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-08-02 11:55