La escuela de los momios

Halmstads BK v Örgryte IS

Inicio: 2026-05-23 13:00 UTC

Final: Halmstads BK 2–0 Örgryte IS

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Halmstads BK (Local)

Predicción 45.92%2.18momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.810%
Kelly -1.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.20%45.96%45.94%47.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.012.002.1453.48%49.85%50.00%46.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Örgryte IS (Visitante)

Predicción 27.10%3.69momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.294%
Kelly -0.405%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.98%27.12%27.08%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.383.353.6532.26%29.62%29.85%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.98%3.71momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.419%
Kelly -0.577%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.61%26.92%26.98%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.393.403.6533.33%29.52%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.81%EV -1.73%E -0.810%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.79%EV -6.49%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 12:39
GTbets2.13I 46.95%NM 44.20%EV -2.19%E -1.03%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 17:20
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.09%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.14%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%EV -1.53%E -0.419%K -0.577%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 12:49
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.09%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.14%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%EV -1.53%E -0.419%K -0.577%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 12:49
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 46.09%EV -2.65%E -1.25%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.14%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%EV -1.53%E -0.419%K -0.577%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 12:49
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.28%EV -3.57%E -1.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.17%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 12:19
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 46.34%EV -4.95%E -2.39%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.57%EV -2.16%E -0.598%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.09%EV -4.50%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-23 12:40
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 12:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 12:50
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.87%E -2.86%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-23 12:19
BetUS2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -6.33%E -3.10%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 12:50
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.94%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -1.07%E -0.294%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 12:49
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.94%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -1.07%E -0.294%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 12:49
BetAnything2.02I 49.50%NM 46.94%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.98%EV -1.07%E -0.294%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 12:49
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.47%EV -4.06%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 12:49
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 12:49
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 12:49
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 12:49
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 12:50
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 12:49
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.24%E -3.59%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.62%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 12:49
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 46.71%EV -7.70%E -3.83%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 12:49
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -2.43%E -0.675%K -0.934%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 12:50
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 12:39
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 12:39
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.14%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 12:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.88%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 12:39
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.91%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 12:39
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -11.91%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -5.58%E -1.59%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-23 12:39
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 12:49
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 12:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 12:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 12:50
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 12:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-23 12:49
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 12:39
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 12:40
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 12:50
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -11.91%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 12:47
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -11.91%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -11.91%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 12:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -11.91%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 12:39
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -8.16%E -4.08%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -11.91%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-23 12:39
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 45.20%EV -9.54%E -4.84%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -11.91%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-23 12:49
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -10.00%E -5.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.20%E -2.75%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -6.93%E -2.01%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 12:49
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.13%EV -10.00%E -5.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-23 12:49
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 45.13%EV -10.00%E -5.10%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.32%E -3.79%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-23 12:50
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.85%E -2.31%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -2.88%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 12:49
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.56%E -3.20%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.27%E -2.43%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 12:49
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-23 12:50
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -10.46%E -5.36%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.55%EV -11.84%E -6.16%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -8.66%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.92%EV -10.43%E -3.14%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-23 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.30%E -6.44%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -15.98%E -5.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -19.07%E -6.36%K -9.53%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-23 12:39
Winamax (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -12.75%E -6.71%K -14.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -13.27%E -4.15%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -10.97%E -3.32%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-23 12:49
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 45.26%EV -13.21%E -6.99%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -15.98%E -5.15%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.15%EV -15.02%E -4.77%K -6.99%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-23 12:49
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.30%EV -14.13%E -7.56%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -11.91%E -3.67%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.06%EV -13.67%E -4.27%K -6.21%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-23 12:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-05-23 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-05-23 12:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-05-23 12:50
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-05-23 12:50
Smarkets2.10I 47.62%NM 46.99%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-05-23 12:49