La escuela de los momios

Halmstads BK v IF Brommapojkarna

Inicio: 2026-05-04 17:00 UTC

Final: Halmstads BK 1–3 IF Brommapojkarna

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Halmstads BK (Local)

Predicción 32.07%3.12momio equitativo
EV -3.78%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.13%32.10%32.11%33.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.862.883.0037.74%34.94%34.78%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IF Brommapojkarna (Visitante)

Predicción 38.78%2.58momio equitativo
EV -3.05%
Ventaja -1.22%
Kelly -2.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.39%38.75%38.73%40.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.382.382.5046.51%42.10%42.02%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.14%3.43momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.706%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.51%29.15%29.16%30.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.173.173.3534.72%31.59%31.50%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.10%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.15%EV -4.60%E -1.87%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.75%EV -2.37%E -0.706%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-04 16:15
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 16:04
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.26%EV -3.82%E -1.54%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 16:15
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.26%EV -3.82%E -1.54%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 16:15
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -3.78%E -1.26%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.26%EV -3.82%E -1.54%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.12%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 16:15
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 32.09%EV -4.10%E -1.37%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.38%EV -3.05%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.53%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 16:20
GTbets2.95I 33.90%NM 31.98%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.99%EV -6.15%E -2.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-01 00:00
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 16:49
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.70%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 22:11
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -5.38%E -1.82%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-04 08:35
Bovada2.93I 34.13%NM 32.04%EV -6.02%E -2.05%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -4.60%E -1.87%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:12
BetUS2.93I 34.13%NM 32.04%EV -6.02%E -2.05%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.16%EV -4.60%E -1.87%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:14
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.91%EV -6.34%E -2.17%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.15%E -2.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 16:15
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.91%EV -6.34%E -2.17%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.51%EV -6.15%E -2.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.58%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-04 16:15
1xBet2.91I 34.36%NM 32.18%EV -6.66%E -2.29%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.38%EV -5.38%E -2.20%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.45%EV -7.32%E -2.30%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 16:20
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 17:03
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.98%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-04 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -7.62%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 16:50
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -7.62%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 16:45
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -7.62%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 16:50
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 32.54%EV -7.62%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.05%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-04 16:50
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -7.62%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -3.05%E -1.22%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 16:15
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.62%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 16:15
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.62%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 16:15
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.62%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 16:20
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.62%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -7.62%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 22:10
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -7.62%E -2.65%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 22:10
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.03%EV -7.94%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.31%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 16:50
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -7.94%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 22:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -7.94%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 22:11
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -7.70%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-30 23:59
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -7.70%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -7.70%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-30 23:59
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -7.70%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-30 23:59
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -7.70%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.95%EV -7.70%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-04 16:45
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.87%E -3.77%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 00:00
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -8.59%E -3.01%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.42%EV -8.87%E -3.77%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.07%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-03 17:09
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.92%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.73%EV -7.70%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -5.28%E -1.62%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-04 16:55
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -8.87%E -3.77%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 17:09
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 17:05
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.06%EV -9.64%E -4.14%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 16:50
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.06%EV -9.64%E -4.14%K -7.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-04 16:50
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-04 05:55
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-04 12:00
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -10.19%E -3.64%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -7.70%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.01%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-04 16:50
Betclic (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 32.21%EV -11.15%E -4.03%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.65%EV -12.74%E -5.66%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.14%EV -7.61%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-04 16:35
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -11.79%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.33%EV -7.70%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.74%E -2.11%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-04 16:39
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.79%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.80%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 23:35
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -11.79%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.70%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.57%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-04 16:50
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.79%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.74%E -5.66%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -11.79%E -4.29%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -16.62%E -7.73%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-04 16:35
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -13.40%E -4.96%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -12.74%E -5.66%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -13.40%E -4.96%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -12.74%E -5.66%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -16.06%E -5.58%K -8.54%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-04 16:50
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.83%EV -15.00%E -5.66%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.55%EV -14.68%E -6.67%K -12.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.62%EV -8.20%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-03 23:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%0.6%2026-05-04 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%0.6%2026-05-04 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%0.6%2026-05-04 16:35
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%0.6%2026-05-04 16:45
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.75%1.8%2026-05-04 16:25