La escuela de los momios

Halmstads BK v BK Hacken

Inicio: 2026-07-19 14:30 UTC

Final: Halmstads BK 0–2 BK Hacken

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Halmstads BK (Local)

Predicción 19.34%5.17momio equitativo
EV +12.18%
Ventaja +2.10%
Kelly +2.54%
Crecimiento +0.309%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.73%19.30%19.47%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.884.805.8023.81%20.48%20.83%17.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

BK Hacken (Visitante)

Predicción 59.50%1.68momio equitativo
EV -4.20%
Ventaja -2.61%
Kelly -6.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.29%59.49%59.49%62.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.541.551.6170.92%64.84%64.52%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.15%4.73momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.351%
Kelly -0.447%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.30%21.21%21.05%22.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.304.254.6525.32%23.28%23.53%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.73%EV +12.18%E +2.10%K +2.54%G +0.309%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.19%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV -2.69%E -0.585%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-18 10:35
ATG (SE)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.73%EV +12.18%E +2.10%K +2.54%G +0.309%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.19%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV -2.69%E -0.585%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-18 10:40
Svenska Spel5.80I 17.24%NM 16.73%EV +12.18%E +2.10%K +2.54%G +0.309%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.19%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.09%EV -2.69%E -0.585%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-18 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV +6.38%E +1.16%K +1.42%G +0.091%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.66%EV -10.15%E -6.72%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.41%EV -7.98%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 10:35
Grosvenor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV +6.38%E +1.16%K +1.42%G +0.091%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.66%EV -10.15%E -6.72%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.41%EV -7.98%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 10:35
1xBet5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV +2.71%E +0.510%K +0.628%G +0.017%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.39%E -3.39%K -9.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -10.09%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 14:25
Coolbet5.30I 18.87%NM 18.20%EV +2.51%E +0.474%K +0.584%G +0.015%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.05%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.75%EV -1.63%E -0.351%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-19 13:40
Unibet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV +2.51%E +0.474%K +0.584%G +0.015%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -10.75%E -7.16%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -10.09%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 10:40
Casumo5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV +2.51%E +0.474%K +0.584%G +0.015%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -10.75%E -7.16%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -10.09%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 10:40
Unibet (NL)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV +2.51%E +0.474%K +0.584%G +0.015%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -10.75%E -7.16%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -10.09%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 10:35
betPARX5.30I 18.87%NM 17.30%EV +2.51%E +0.474%K +0.584%G +0.015%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -10.75%E -7.16%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -10.09%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 10:35
BetRivers5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV +0.579%E +0.111%K +0.138%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.77%EV -11.94%E -8.06%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -13.27%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-18 10:40
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 17.58%EV -1.36%E -0.266%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.56%EV -11.94%E -8.06%K -24.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -13.27%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-18 10:40
Virgin Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV -1.36%E -0.266%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.89%EV -13.13%E -8.99%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -13.27%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-18 10:40
LiveScore Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 17.43%EV -1.36%E -0.266%K -0.331%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.89%EV -13.13%E -8.99%K -28.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -13.27%E -3.24%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-18 10:40
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.71%EV -7.77%E -5.01%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -10.09%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-14 22:04
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -3.29%E -0.658%K -0.822%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -8.96%E -5.86%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -8.40%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 12:35
GTbets4.99I 20.04%NM 18.83%EV -3.48%E -0.698%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.47%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.40%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-17 06:45
Pinnacle4.90I 20.41%NM 19.53%EV -5.22%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.44%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.03%EV -3.75%E -0.823%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-19 14:15
Bovada4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -5.22%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.91%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.80%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 14:24
DraftKings4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -5.22%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.91%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -4.80%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 14:05
FanDuel4.90I 20.41%NM 19.06%EV -5.22%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -2.69%E -0.585%K -0.747%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 14:00
Bet Right4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -5.22%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.64%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -10.09%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 12:35
Tipico (DE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -5.22%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -9.56%E -6.29%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -6.92%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 09:35
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.50%EV -5.22%E -1.07%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 60.80%EV -16.10%E -11.42%K -39.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.70%EV -16.44%E -4.16%K -5.57%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-18 10:40
LeoVegas4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.21%EV -4.79%E -3.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.80%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 14:05
BetOnline.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -2.69%E -0.585%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 14:25
LowVig.ag4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -2.69%E -0.585%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 14:25
BetUS4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -2.69%E -0.585%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 14:25
BetAnything4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.79%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -2.69%E -0.585%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 14:25
NordicBet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.09%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -7.98%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 14:20
Betsson4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.09%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -7.98%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 14:20
888sport4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -15.38%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 14:25
William Hill4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -15.38%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 14:25
888sport (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -15.38%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 14:25
Mr Green (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -15.38%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 14:25
betano_uk4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.96%E -5.86%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.15%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 14:24
Bet Victor4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -7.16%E -1.49%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -8.96%E -5.86%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.15%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 14:24
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -8.12%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.97%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%EV -7.98%E -1.83%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-19 14:05
Everygame4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -8.12%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.26%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -6.92%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 14:05
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -8.12%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -7.77%E -5.01%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -4.80%E -1.07%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 14:25
SportsBet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -8.12%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.73%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -6.92%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-19 14:00
Betr (AU)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -8.12%E -1.71%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -9.56%E -6.29%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.15%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 12:35
Unibet (FR)4.65I 21.51%NM 19.33%EV -10.06%E -2.16%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.52%EV -10.15%E -6.72%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -10.09%E -2.37%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 14:05
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.28%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -6.92%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 14:15
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -15.38%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-19 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -8.96%E -5.86%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -8.40%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 14:15
Betclic (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -11.03%E -2.40%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -8.96%E -5.86%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -11.15%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-19 14:05
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -12.96%E -2.88%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.09%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.68%EV -6.92%E -1.57%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-19 14:05
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -12.96%E -2.88%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.05%EV -8.96%E -5.86%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.87%EV -8.40%E -1.94%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-19 14:00
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -16.25%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -8.96%E -5.86%K -16.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.15%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-19 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.25%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -7.77%E -5.01%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.38%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-19 14:15
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.25%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -7.77%E -5.01%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.38%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-19 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.25%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -7.77%E -5.01%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.38%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-19 14:15
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.25%E -3.75%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.29%EV -7.77%E -5.01%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -15.38%E -3.85%K -5.13%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-19 14:15
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 20.45%EV -16.83%E -3.91%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.62%EV -10.75%E -7.16%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -11.15%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-19 14:05
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -18.76%E -4.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33%EV -10.75%E -7.16%K -21.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.15%E -2.65%K -3.48%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-19 14:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-07-19 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-07-19 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-07-19 14:25
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-07-19 14:25
Smarkets5.30I 18.87%NM 18.67%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.71%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%1.1%2026-07-19 14:25