Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

GAIS v Kalmar FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 13:00 UTC

Score final : GAIS 3–0 Kalmar FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

GAIS (Local)

Prévision 45.06%2.22cote équitable
EV -4.48%
Avantage -2.11%
Kelly -4.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.26%45.32%45.13%49.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.872.032.052.1253.48%49.18%48.78%47.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kalmar FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.88%3.59cote équitable
EV +10.13%
Avantage +2.57%
Kelly +3.44%
Croissance +0.348%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.41%27.60%27.81%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.053.363.353.9532.79%29.77%29.85%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.06%3.70cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.335%
Kelly -0.462%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.41%27.07%27.06%28.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.353.303.6533.33%29.88%30.30%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : GAIS (Local) : 45.06% ; Kalmar FF (Visiteur) : 27.88% ; Match nul : 27.06%. Pour Kalmar FF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.59. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.95, soit une espérance positive de +10.13%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.18%EV -11.69%E -5.96%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.41%EV +10.13%E +2.57%K +3.44%G +0.348%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV -1.22%E -0.335%K -0.462%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 09:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.64%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%EV +5.95%E +1.57%K +2.13%G +0.126%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%EV -3.93%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 12:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.64%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%EV +5.95%E +1.57%K +2.13%G +0.126%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%EV -3.93%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.64%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.77%EV +5.95%E +1.57%K +2.13%G +0.126%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%EV -3.93%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-30 12:40
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.28%E -3.02%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.77%EV -1.02%E -0.287%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -8.99%E -4.45%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -1.02%E -0.287%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.34%E -2.79%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-30 12:40
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -2.41%E -0.690%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 12:40
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -2.41%E -0.690%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 12:40
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -2.41%E -0.690%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -2.41%E -0.690%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 12:39
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -2.41%E -0.690%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 12:40
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.21%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -3.81%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -3.93%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-30 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 12:20
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 12:20
BetAnything🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.68%EV -4.48%E -2.11%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 12:20
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.64%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.28%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 12:20
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.64%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.28%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-30 12:20
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -7.64%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-30 12:20
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.64%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 12:20
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -12.14%E -6.23%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.05%E -3.71%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 12:40
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -12.14%E -6.23%K -12.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -12.05%E -3.71%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-30 12:39
TABtouch🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.94%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -5.20%E -1.53%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.40%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-30 12:40
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.64%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.57%EV -6.32%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 11:50
Bovada🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -5.83%E -2.79%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-30 12:18
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -13.04%E -6.76%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.40%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-30 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.89%EV -13.04%E -6.76%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.44%EV -6.60%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.40%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-30 12:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-30 12:20
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-30 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -7.64%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.28%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-30 12:30
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -7.99%E -2.42%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 12:20
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 12:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -5.38%E -2.56%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 12:10
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.64%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 12:30
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -7.64%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-30 12:30
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -8.99%E -4.45%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 45.69%EV -15.75%E -8.42%K -18.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.29%EV -9.38%E -2.89%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.02%EV -17.46%E -5.72%K -8.52%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-30 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.99%E -2.35%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 12:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%EV -8.99%E -4.45%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.17%EV -10.15%E -3.06%K -4.38%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-30 12:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.64%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.40%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 11:19
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.64%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.40%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.64%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.40%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 11:20
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -7.64%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -13.40%E -4.19%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 11:20
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.05%E -3.71%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-30 12:20
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -13.94%E -7.30%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.78%E -3.37%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-30 12:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -7.64%E -3.72%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -12.17%E -3.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -6.64%E -1.92%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -9.89%E -4.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -13.57%E -4.38%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -18.81%E -6.27%K -9.41%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-30 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.46%EV -10.79%E -5.45%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -14.96%E -4.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -10.70%E -3.24%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-30 12:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.41%EV -12.59%E -6.49%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.25%EV -14.96%E -4.90%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -14.75%E -4.68%K -6.86%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-30 12:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-30 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-30 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-30 12:30
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.57%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.22%0.7%2026-05-30 12:30
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.00%1.5%2026-05-30 12:30