La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Degerfors IF v IK Sirius
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Degerfors IF (Local)
Predicción 27.68%3.61momio equitativo
EV +2.41%
Ventaja +0.651%
Kelly +0.893%
Crecimiento +0.022%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.17%27.61%27.64%29.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.7033.33%29.59%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IK Sirius (Visitante)
Predicción 44.71%2.24momio equitativo
EV -3.43%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -2.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.16
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.62%44.76%44.72%46.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.052.052.1652.36%48.80%48.78%46.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.61%3.62momio equitativo
EV -0.589%
Ventaja -0.163%
Kelly -0.226%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.54%27.63%27.64%28.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.353.383.6033.33%29.87%29.63%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.39%EV +2.41%E +0.651%K +0.893%G +0.022% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.49%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%EV -0.589%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.39%EV +2.41%E +0.651%K +0.893%G +0.022% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.49%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%EV -0.589%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.39%EV +2.41%E +0.651%K +0.893%G +0.022% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.49%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.12%EV -0.589%E -0.163%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -0.358%E -0.099%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.38%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 12:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -0.358%E -0.099%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.38%EV -5.22%E -2.46%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-04 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -0.358%E -0.099%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.40%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| Pinnacle | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -3.13%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.62%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.97%EV -5.28%E -1.54%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| FanDuel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -3.13%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| Everygame | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -3.13%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 12:44 |
| Unibet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.13%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.13%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| BetRivers | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.13%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.13%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| Grosvenor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.13%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.13%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| betPARX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.13%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -3.13%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 05:35 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -3.13%E -0.893%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -11.93%E -6.05%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| GTbets | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.78%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.99%EV -4.77%E -2.24%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.23%EV -2.80%E -0.795%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-02 03:34 |
| DraftKings | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.10%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 12:43 |
| Bovada | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.01%E -3.37%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 12:43 |
| BetUS | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.01%E -3.37%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 12:44 |
| BetAnything | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -7.01%E -3.37%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 12:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -11.93%E -6.05%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -4.51%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -11.93%E -6.05%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 12:40 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.40%EV -3.43%E -1.59%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-04 12:25 |
| NordicBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 12:44 |
| Betsson | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 12:45 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 12:44 |
| SportsBet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -5.89%E -1.73%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| 1xBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -7.28%E -2.17%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.98%EV -4.77%E -2.24%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.05%EV -7.77%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.88%E -1.80%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 12:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 17:53 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.63%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 12:24 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.63%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 12:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.63%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 12:24 |
| William Hill | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.11%E -2.91%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.63%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 12:25 |
| Paddy Power | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.63%E -3.64%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| PlayUp | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.66%E -2.62%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -9.69%E -4.80%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 12:45 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 12:00 |
| Bet Victor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 12:43 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -14.40%E -4.64%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.42%EV -10.05%E -3.09%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.96%EV -14.61%E -7.65%K -16.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.62%EV -17.16%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-04 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-03 17:54 |
| Neds | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-03 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-03 17:54 |
| Coral | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-03 17:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -11.43%E -3.57%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -12.82%E -6.57%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-04 12:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -12.81%E -4.07%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -8.35%E -4.07%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 12:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.31%EV -15.58%E -5.11%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.28%EV -12.82%E -6.57%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.41%EV -13.01%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-04 12:38 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -16.96%E -5.65%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -10.59%E -5.29%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-04 12:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.33%EV -16.96%E -5.65%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 44.26%EV -14.16%E -7.38%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -14.40%E -4.64%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-04-04 12:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 12:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 12:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 12:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 1.1% | 2026-04-04 12:45 |
| Smarkets | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.90% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.65% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 12:44 |