La escuela de los momios

BK Hacken v IF Brommapojkarna

Inicio: 2026-04-06 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

BK Hacken (Local)

Predicción 55.83%1.79momio equitativo
EV -3.98%
Ventaja -2.31%
Kelly -5.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.98%55.83%55.82%59.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.641.651.7265.36%61.01%60.61%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IF Brommapojkarna (Visitante)

Predicción 20.79%4.81momio equitativo
EV +6.01%
Ventaja +1.18%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.088%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.14%20.80%20.79%22.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.504.505.1025.00%22.24%22.22%19.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.39%4.28momio equitativo
EV +5.24%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.078%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.64%23.37%23.40%25.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.994.004.5030.30%25.04%25.00%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 59.02%EV -7.33%E -4.41%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%EV +6.01%E +1.18%K +1.46%G +0.088%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%EV +5.24%E +1.16%K +1.50%G +0.078%2.1%2026-04-06 11:54
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.02%EV -7.33%E -4.41%K -11.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%EV +6.01%E +1.18%K +1.46%G +0.088%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.77%EV +5.24%E +1.16%K +1.50%G +0.078%2.1%2026-04-06 11:54
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.16%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.14%EV +6.01%E +1.18%K +1.46%G +0.088%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%EV +5.24%E +1.16%K +1.50%G +0.078%2.4%2026-04-06 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.87%EV -10.12%E -6.28%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.34%EV +1.85%E +0.377%K +0.474%G +0.009%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.79%EV +1.73%E +0.398%K +0.517%G +0.009%5.5%2026-04-06 11:54
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -12.35%E -7.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -0.230%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -0.606%E -0.143%K -0.187%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 11:54
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -12.35%E -7.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -0.230%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -0.606%E -0.143%K -0.187%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 11:54
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -12.35%E -7.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -0.230%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -0.606%E -0.143%K -0.187%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 11:54
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -12.35%E -7.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -0.230%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -0.606%E -0.143%K -0.187%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 11:54
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.95%EV -12.35%E -7.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.28%EV -0.230%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.77%EV -0.606%E -0.143%K -0.187%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 11:55
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.10%EV -12.91%E -8.27%K -23.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -0.230%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -0.606%E -0.143%K -0.187%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 11:52
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 59.10%EV -12.91%E -8.27%K -23.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -0.230%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -0.606%E -0.143%K -0.187%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 11:54
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%EV -12.91%E -8.27%K -23.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%EV -0.230%E -0.048%K -0.061%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.78%E -0.423%K -0.555%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 11:54
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%EV -3.98%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -2.31%E -0.491%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%EV -1.78%E -0.423%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 11:54
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.32%EV -3.98%E -2.31%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -2.31%E -0.491%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.07%EV -1.78%E -0.423%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 11:54
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.31%EV -4.53%E -2.65%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.49%EV -2.31%E -0.491%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.20%EV -2.94%E -0.710%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 11:29
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -14.03%E -9.11%K -25.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -2.31%E -0.491%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -1.78%E -0.423%K -0.555%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 11:54
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -14.03%E -9.11%K -25.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -2.31%E -0.491%K -0.624%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -1.78%E -0.423%K -0.555%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 11:54
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 56.22%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.47%EV -2.93%E -0.628%K -0.799%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-06 11:55
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.08%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.34%EV -3.76%E -0.813%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.58%EV -2.48%E -0.594%K -0.781%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 11:29
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -4.39%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 11:55
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -4.39%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:54
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.68%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -4.39%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 11:53
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -4.39%E -0.954%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 11:55
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.74%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.70%EV -5.43%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 11:55
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 55.89%EV -6.21%E -3.70%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.64%EV -5.43%E -1.19%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 11:54
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 11:54
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.62%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 11:54
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.91%EV -6.77%E -4.05%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 11:54
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 11:55
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 11:29
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.17%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.03%EV -7.30%E -1.64%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.80%EV -7.86%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 11:54
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.47%EV -7.33%E -4.41%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -8.54%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 11:54
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.22%EV -10.12%E -6.28%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -8.54%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 11:54
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -5.65%E -3.34%K -8.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 11:55
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 11:54
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 11:54
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 11:54
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -5.09%E -3.00%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 11:54
Bet Victor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.43%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.12%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 11:55
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -10.00%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 11:54
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.83%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -10.62%E -2.47%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -12.30%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 11:54
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.87%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.30%EV -11.66%E -2.74%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 11:54
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.54%EV -8.44%E -5.15%K -13.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.69%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.77%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 11:54
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -12.30%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 11:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.07%EV -12.35%E -7.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.21%EV -12.70%E -3.02%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.72%EV -22.82%E -6.92%K -9.92%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-06 11:54
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.08%EV -12.35%E -7.87%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.09%EV -14.78%E -3.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 23.82%EV -15.11%E -4.16%K -5.74%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-06 11:52
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.79%EV -14.58%E -9.53%K -27.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.82%EV -14.78%E -3.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.39%EV -14.64%E -4.01%K -5.52%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-06 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -16.86%E -4.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -12.30%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-06 11:54
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -16.86%E -4.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -12.30%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-06 11:54
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -16.86%E -4.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -12.30%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-06 11:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.98%EV -7.88%E -4.78%K -12.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -16.86%E -4.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -12.30%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-06 11:54
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -9.56%E -5.90%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -16.86%E -4.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -12.30%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-06 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.91%EV -10.68%E -6.67%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -16.86%E -4.21%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.98%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 11:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-04-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-04-06 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-04-06 11:55
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-04-06 11:55
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.24%2.4%2026-04-06 11:55