La escuela de los momios

BK Hacken v Hammarby IF

Inicio: 2026-05-31 12:00 UTC

Final: BK Hacken 3–2 Hammarby IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

BK Hacken (Local)

Predicción 31.75%3.15momio equitativo
EV +0.009%
Ventaja +0.003%
Kelly +0.004%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.51%31.76%31.76%33.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.882.883.1538.17%34.67%34.78%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hammarby IF (Visitante)

Predicción 42.75%2.34momio equitativo
EV +0.042%
Ventaja +0.018%
Kelly +0.031%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.52%42.74%42.76%43.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.162.152.3450.00%46.33%46.51%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.50%3.92momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.476%
Kelly -0.643%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.49%25.50%25.48%27.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.573.603.8532.26%28.01%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 33.86%EV -11.10%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.52%EV +0.042%E +0.018%K +0.031%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -5.66%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-31 07:09
Pinnacle3.01I 33.22%NM 31.84%EV -4.44%E -1.47%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.40%EV -3.38%E -1.49%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.76%EV -5.15%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-31 11:40
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV +0.009%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.50%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV -1.83%E -0.476%K -0.643%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-31 11:50
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV +0.009%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.50%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV -1.83%E -0.476%K -0.643%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-31 11:50
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%EV +0.009%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.50%EV -3.81%E -1.69%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV -1.83%E -0.476%K -0.643%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-31 11:50
BetAnything2.83I 35.34%NM 33.13%EV -10.15%E -3.59%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.86%EV -4.23%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-31 08:40
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.14%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.32%EV -3.11%E -0.818%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-31 11:39
1xBet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.27%EV -3.48%E -1.15%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.62%EV -4.66%E -2.09%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.11%EV -7.19%E -1.97%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-31 11:50
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.98%EV -5.09%E -2.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.21%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 11:50
Betsson2.90I 34.48%NM 32.14%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.98%EV -5.09%E -2.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -8.21%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-31 11:50
GTbets2.86I 34.97%NM 32.46%EV -9.20%E -3.22%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.82%EV -5.09%E -2.29%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 25.72%EV -7.95%E -2.20%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 07:50
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.66%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-31 11:49
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.38%E -1.17%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-31 11:10
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.66%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 11:50
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -8.21%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-31 11:10
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -11.10%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -6.93%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-31 11:50
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -11.10%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.21%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-31 11:50
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -13.31%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 11:40
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -13.31%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 11:40
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -13.31%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 11:40
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -5.94%E -2.70%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -13.31%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-31 11:40
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.92%EV -6.37%E -2.91%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.75%EV -6.93%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-31 11:48
LowVig.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -1.58%E -0.509%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.58%EV -7.23%E -3.33%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -6.93%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 11:40
BetOnline.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.51%EV -1.58%E -0.509%K -0.752%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.58%EV -7.23%E -3.33%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.91%EV -6.93%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-31 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.57%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.92%EV -7.23%E -3.33%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -6.93%E -1.90%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-31 11:50
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.34%E -2.15%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.58%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -3.11%E -0.818%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 11:50
Everygame3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.17%E -1.04%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.21%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-31 11:40
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -4.75%E -1.58%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.21%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-31 11:40
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -5.66%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-31 11:40
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.56%E -2.97%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.21%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-31 11:49
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.48%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 11:50
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.48%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 11:50
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.48%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 11:50
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.48%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 11:50
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -7.93%E -2.73%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -9.48%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-31 11:50
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.03%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -8.21%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-31 11:50
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.10%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.76%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-31 11:50
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.10%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.31%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-31 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.10%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.31%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-31 11:10
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.10%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.31%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-31 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.10%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -8.08%E -3.76%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -13.31%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-31 11:10
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.82%EV -8.88%E -3.09%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -10.22%E -4.87%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -5.66%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-31 11:50
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.10%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.22%E -4.87%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -5.66%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-31 11:10
Betclic (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.95%EV -10.22%E -4.87%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -9.48%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-31 11:39
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.14%EV -11.10%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.86%EV -10.22%E -4.87%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -8.21%E -2.28%K -3.16%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-31 11:40
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.22%E -4.87%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -10.76%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 11:50
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.79%EV -10.22%E -4.87%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -10.76%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-31 11:50
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -9.52%E -3.34%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -10.22%E -4.87%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -12.03%E -3.49%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-31 11:50
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -12.69%E -4.61%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -10.22%E -4.87%K -9.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -10.76%E -3.07%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-31 11:40
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -11.10%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.47%EV -11.07%E -5.32%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -13.31%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-31 11:10
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -11.10%E -3.97%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.47%EV -11.07%E -5.32%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -13.31%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-31 11:10
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.49%EV -14.28%E -5.29%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.79%EV -12.36%E -6.03%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.71%EV -9.48%E -2.67%K -3.72%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-31 11:10
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 32.80%EV -16.82%E -6.42%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.92%EV -12.36%E -6.03%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.28%EV -13.31%E -3.91%K -5.54%G +0.000%16.4%2026-05-31 11:39
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.69%EV -14.28%E -5.29%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.78%EV -14.49%E -7.25%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.54%EV -14.58%E -4.35%K -6.20%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-31 11:39
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.56%EV -14.28%E -5.29%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.61%EV -14.49%E -7.25%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.82%EV -15.86%E -4.80%K -6.89%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-31 11:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.05%EV -14.28%E -5.29%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.91%EV -14.49%E -7.25%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.04%EV -20.96%E -6.76%K -9.98%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-31 11:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-05-31 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-31 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-31 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-31 11:50
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 32.26%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.60%1.6%2026-05-31 11:50