La escuela de los momios

Rangers v Hibernian

Inicio: 2026-05-13 19:02 UTC

Final: Rangers 1–2 Hibernian

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rangers (Local)

Predicción 61.18%1.63momio equitativo
EV -4.57%
Ventaja -2.93%
Kelly -8.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.56%61.28%61.21%63.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.521.531.5671.43%65.59%65.36%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hibernian (Visitante)

Predicción 17.16%5.83momio equitativo
EV +2.97%
Ventaja +0.495%
Kelly +0.594%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.66%17.04%17.05%18.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.385.306.0020.00%18.60%18.87%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.66%4.62momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.267%
Kelly -0.342%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.75%21.68%21.74%22.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.294.304.5624.39%23.31%23.26%21.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.39%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.91%EV +2.97%E +0.495%K +0.594%G +0.018%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.70%EV -4.69%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-13 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.07%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.97%E +0.495%K +0.594%G +0.018%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -7.93%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-13 18:59
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV +2.97%E +0.495%K +0.594%G +0.018%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.20%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:57
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV +2.97%E +0.495%K +0.594%G +0.018%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.20%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:59
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -9.46%E -6.39%K -19.71%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV +1.25%E +0.212%K +0.255%G +0.003%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.69%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:59
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.65%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -1.32%E -0.230%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.93%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 18:59
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 61.65%EV -7.62%E -5.05%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -1.32%E -0.230%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 18:59
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.73%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.01%EV -2.87%E -0.507%K -0.615%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.26%EV -1.87%E -0.413%K -0.529%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-13 18:59
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.82%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 17.17%EV -4.24%E -0.760%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.01%EV -1.22%E -0.267%K -0.342%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-13 18:59
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.20%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 18:59
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 19:00
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -2.52%E -0.560%K -0.720%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 19:00
Marathon Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 61.82%EV -7.62%E -5.05%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.97%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -4.69%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-13 18:59
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-13 19:00
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.77%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-13 19:00
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.20%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 19:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -6.20%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 19:00
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -5.61%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -11.18%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 19:00
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.70%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV -7.33%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -5.77%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 19:00
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.70%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV -7.33%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.77%EV -5.77%E -1.33%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-13 19:00
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -7.33%E -1.36%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.93%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 19:00
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 61.22%EV -7.62%E -5.05%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.28%EV -8.19%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 18:59
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 61.22%EV -7.62%E -5.05%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.28%EV -8.19%E -1.53%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.50%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-13 18:59
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.35%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.76%EV -9.05%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 19:00
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.35%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.76%EV -9.05%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.35%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.76%EV -9.05%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.35%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.76%EV -9.05%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 19:00
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 60.97%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 60.97%EV -7.01%E -4.61%K -13.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.71%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.55%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 18:59
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.99%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -9.90%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -2.52%E -0.560%K -0.720%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-13 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.70%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -9.90%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.38%EV -4.69%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-13 19:00
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.24%EV -4.57%E -2.93%K -8.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.90%EV -9.90%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -6.85%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 19:00
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.90%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -6.20%E -1.43%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 19:00
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.90%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.93%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 19:00
Grosvenor1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.90%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.93%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 19:00
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.90%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.93%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 19:00
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -9.90%E -1.89%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%EV -7.93%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.76%E -2.07%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -4.69%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 18:59
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.59%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV -10.76%E -2.07%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -4.69%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-13 18:59
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -5.79%E -3.76%K -10.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.81%EV -10.76%E -2.07%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 18:57
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 60.61%EV -7.62%E -5.05%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.60%EV -10.76%E -2.07%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 19:00
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.57%EV -10.68%E -7.32%K -23.22%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.29%EV -10.76%E -2.07%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.15%EV -7.93%E -1.87%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-13 18:59
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -12.48%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.18%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -12.48%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.18%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 19:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.24%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.72%EV -12.48%E -2.45%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -11.18%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-13 19:00
William Hill1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -5.18%E -3.34%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-13 19:00
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 18:59
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -6.40%E -4.18%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 18:59
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.24%E -5.49%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -9.02%E -2.15%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-13 19:00
NetBet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 61.67%EV -14.35%E -10.25%K -35.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.27%EV -14.19%E -2.84%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.06%EV -11.18%E -2.73%K -3.61%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-13 18:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-13 19:00
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.91%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.01%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%0.9%2026-05-13 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-05-13 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%1.0%2026-05-13 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.44%1.4%2026-05-13 19:00
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.10%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.55%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.36%2.9%2026-05-13 19:00