La escuela de los momios

Rangers v Dundee United

Inicio: 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rangers (Local)

Predicción 71.61%1.40momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -1.92%
Kelly -7.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.16%71.69%71.52%75.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.291.291.3681.97%77.82%77.52%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dundee United (Visitante)

Predicción 11.05%9.05momio equitativo
EV +16.02%
Ventaja +1.53%
Kelly +1.69%
Crecimiento +0.270%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.87%11.08%11.04%12.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.008.888.5010.5014.29%11.26%11.76%9.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 17.34%5.77momio equitativo
EV +4.02%
Ventaja +0.670%
Kelly +0.804%
Crecimiento +0.032%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.88%17.23%17.44%18.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.455.506.0020.83%18.35%18.18%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -9.05%E -7.13%K -33.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +16.02%E +1.53%K +1.69%G +0.270%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +4.02%E +0.670%K +0.804%G +0.032%4.9%2026-04-04 13:54
Svenska Spel1.27I 78.74%NM 75.04%EV -9.05%E -7.13%K -33.52%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.08%EV +16.02%E +1.53%K +1.69%G +0.270%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.88%EV +4.02%E +0.670%K +0.804%G +0.032%4.9%2026-04-04 13:54
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.78%EV -9.77%E -7.75%K -37.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +16.02%E +1.53%K +1.69%G +0.270%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV +0.551%E +0.095%K +0.115%G +0.001%6.1%2026-04-04 13:20
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 74.78%EV -9.77%E -7.75%K -37.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +16.02%E +1.53%K +1.69%G +0.270%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV +0.551%E +0.095%K +0.115%G +0.001%6.1%2026-04-04 13:20
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.78%EV -9.77%E -7.75%K -37.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +16.02%E +1.53%K +1.69%G +0.270%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV +0.551%E +0.095%K +0.115%G +0.001%6.1%2026-04-04 13:19
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.78%EV -9.77%E -7.75%K -37.56%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +16.02%E +1.53%K +1.69%G +0.270%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV +0.551%E +0.095%K +0.115%G +0.001%6.1%2026-04-04 13:20
Casumo1.24I 80.65%NM 75.08%EV -11.20%E -9.03%K -46.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV +16.02%E +1.53%K +1.69%G +0.270%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV +0.551%E +0.095%K +0.115%G +0.001%7.4%2026-04-04 13:54
Grosvenor1.24I 80.65%NM 75.08%EV -11.20%E -9.03%K -46.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV +16.02%E +1.53%K +1.69%G +0.270%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV +0.551%E +0.095%K +0.115%G +0.001%7.4%2026-04-04 13:54
TABtouch1.24I 80.65%NM 75.08%EV -11.20%E -9.03%K -46.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV +16.02%E +1.53%K +1.69%G +0.270%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV +0.551%E +0.095%K +0.115%G +0.001%7.4%2026-04-04 13:54
betPARX1.24I 80.65%NM 75.08%EV -11.20%E -9.03%K -46.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV +16.02%E +1.53%K +1.69%G +0.270%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.05%EV +0.551%E +0.095%K +0.115%G +0.001%7.4%2026-04-04 13:54
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 74.65%EV -11.20%E -9.03%K -46.66%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV +10.50%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.122%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -0.316%E -0.055%K -0.067%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -11.92%E -9.69%K -51.81%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV +10.50%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.122%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.00%EV -0.316%E -0.055%K -0.067%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.63%EV -12.63%E -10.35%K -57.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV +10.50%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.122%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -2.92%E -0.521%K -0.634%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 13:19
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.63%EV -12.63%E -10.35%K -57.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV +10.50%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.122%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -2.92%E -0.521%K -0.634%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 13:20
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.63%EV -12.63%E -10.35%K -57.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV +10.50%E +1.05%K +1.17%G +0.122%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.26%EV -2.92%E -0.521%K -0.634%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 13:20
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 73.97%EV -6.90%E -5.31%K -23.01%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.87%EV +7.63%E +0.783%K +0.873%G +0.067%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.16%EV +3.15%E +0.530%K +0.637%G +0.020%4.0%2026-04-04 13:49
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.11%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.27%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.96%EV +6.08%E +0.633%K +0.707%G +0.043%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.93%EV +4.02%E +0.670%K +0.804%G +0.032%4.6%2026-04-04 13:49
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.11%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.27%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.96%EV +6.08%E +0.633%K +0.707%G +0.043%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.93%EV +4.02%E +0.670%K +0.804%G +0.032%4.6%2026-04-04 13:49
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -8.33%E -6.51%K -29.77%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV +4.97%E +0.524%K +0.585%G +0.029%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -0.316%E -0.055%K -0.067%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 13:20
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.12%EV -5.47%E -4.14%K -17.09%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.58%EV -0.550%E -0.061%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 13:19
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.37%EV -4.75%E -3.57%K -14.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -0.550%E -0.061%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 13:19
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -0.550%E -0.061%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -0.316%E -0.055%K -0.067%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 13:19
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.43%EV -9.05%E -7.13%K -33.52%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -0.550%E -0.061%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.35%EV -8.12%E -1.53%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 13:39
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -10.48%E -8.39%K -41.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -0.550%E -0.061%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 13:54
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -10.48%E -8.39%K -41.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -0.550%E -0.061%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 13:54
Betr (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.62%EV -6.90%E -5.31%K -23.01%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.64%EV -3.31%E -0.379%K -0.427%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 13:20
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -4.75%E -3.57%K -14.41%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -6.08%E -0.715%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 13:53
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -6.90%E -5.31%K -23.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -6.08%E -0.715%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -0.316%E -0.055%K -0.067%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-04 13:29
Sky Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -7.62%E -5.91%K -26.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -6.08%E -0.715%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 13:55
Bet Right1.30I 76.92%NM 71.40%EV -6.90%E -5.31%K -23.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -6.08%E -0.715%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 13:20
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 72.51%EV -8.33%E -6.51%K -29.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.92%EV -6.08%E -0.715%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -2.92%E -0.521%K -0.634%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-04 13:55
Bovada1.28I 78.13%NM 72.18%EV -8.33%E -6.51%K -29.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.87%EV -6.08%E -0.715%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.95%EV -5.52%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 13:51
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 72.66%EV -9.05%E -7.13%K -33.52%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -6.08%E -0.715%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.48%EV -2.92%E -0.521%K -0.634%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-04 13:40
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.90%E -5.31%K -23.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -6.08%E -0.715%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 13:44
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.90%E -5.31%K -23.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -6.08%E -0.715%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 13:44
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.90%E -5.31%K -23.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -6.08%E -0.715%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 13:44
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -6.90%E -5.31%K -23.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -6.08%E -0.715%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-04 13:44
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 71.25%EV -5.47%E -4.14%K -17.09%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.33%EV -8.29%E -0.998%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -6.38%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:44
NordicBet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.25%EV -5.47%E -4.14%K -17.09%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.33%EV -8.29%E -0.998%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -6.38%E -1.18%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 13:44
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.45%EV -2.61%E -1.92%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.18I 12.22%NM 11.71%EV -9.61%E -1.17%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.84%EV -6.90%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 13:50
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -4.75%E -3.57%K -14.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -11.60%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 13:53
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -4.75%E -3.57%K -14.41%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -11.60%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 13:30
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 70.92%EV -6.90%E -5.31%K -23.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -11.60%E -1.45%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.56%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 13:44
BetMGM1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -4.04%E -3.01%K -11.88%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -17.13%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -8.98%E -1.71%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 13:54
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -6.90%E -5.31%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -17.13%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:49
NetBet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 70.84%EV -12.63%E -10.35%K -57.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.52%EV -17.13%E -2.28%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.64%EV -15.05%E -3.07%K -3.86%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-04 13:44
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.14%EV -6.90%E -5.31%K -23.01%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.32%EV -18.23%E -2.46%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.54%EV -9.85%E -1.89%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-04 13:39
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.36%EV -10.48%E -8.39%K -41.93%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.05%EV -19.34%E -2.65%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -13.32%E -2.66%K -3.33%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-04 13:30
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.10%EV -4.75%E -3.57%K -14.41%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -20.44%E -2.84%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -4.65%E -0.845%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 13:49
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -4.75%E -3.57%K -14.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -22.65%E -3.24%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -16.79%E -3.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -4.75%E -3.57%K -14.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -22.65%E -3.24%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -16.79%E -3.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -4.75%E -3.57%K -14.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -22.65%E -3.24%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -16.79%E -3.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:54
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -4.75%E -3.57%K -14.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -22.65%E -3.24%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -16.79%E -3.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-04 13:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 75.05%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.98%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.97%0.2%2026-04-04 13:30
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%NM 74.02%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%0.8%2026-04-04 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.02%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%0.8%2026-04-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.02%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%0.8%2026-04-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.02%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.45%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%0.8%2026-04-04 13:30
Matchbook1.33I 75.19%NM 74.17%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.39%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.44%1.4%2026-04-04 13:55