Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hibernian v Hearts

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hibernian (Local)

Prévision 33.21%3.01cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.40%33.21%33.17%34.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.792.802.9038.46%35.80%35.71%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Hearts (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.51%2.60cote équitable
EV -4.49%
Avantage -1.81%
Kelly -3.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.52%38.48%38.54%39.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.402.402.4844.44%41.65%41.67%40.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.28%3.54cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.290%
Kelly -0.407%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.13%28.30%28.28%29.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.303.303.5033.33%30.33%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hibernian (Local) : 33.21% ; Hearts (Visiteur) : 38.51% ; Match nul : 28.28%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.54. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.50, pour une espérance de -1.02% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -3.70%E -1.28%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -4.49%E -1.81%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.64%EV -5.82%E -1.75%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 15:35
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -4.37%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 13:33
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.88%EV -4.70%E -1.64%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 20:04
1xBet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.78%EV -5.03%E -1.76%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.11%EV -5.26%E -2.14%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.11%EV -8.94%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.36%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -1.02%E -0.290%K -0.407%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.31%EV -5.36%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.56%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -1.02%E -0.290%K -0.407%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 15:35
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.36%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-21 16:05
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.77%EV -5.36%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.92%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 15:33
Marathon Bet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.36%E -1.88%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.26%EV -6.03%E -2.47%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.99%EV -8.94%E -2.77%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -5.69%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.97%EV -6.03%E -2.47%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.62%EV -5.69%E -2.01%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.97%EV -6.03%E -2.47%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 11:30
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.36%E -2.25%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -6.80%E -2.81%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:35
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.36%E -2.25%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -6.80%E -2.81%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 15:34
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.98%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.83%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -1.02%E -0.290%K -0.407%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 20:30
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -2.43%E -0.704%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -2.43%E -0.704%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 15:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -2.43%E -0.704%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 15:35
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.37%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -2.43%E -0.704%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-16 15:35
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 20:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:04
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 20:04
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 15:35
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 15:35
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 15:35
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 15:35
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 20:04
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 17:19
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-21 17:29
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.26%EV -7.18%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 15:35
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.26%EV -7.18%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 14:29
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 15:35
Everygame🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 15:38
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 12:05
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 12:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 12:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -7.02%E -2.51%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 12:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 10:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.97%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.14%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:35
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.62%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.67%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 22:50
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -9.49%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 15:34
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 21:29
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -6.67%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.33%EV -10.27%E -4.41%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-16 15:35
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.26%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -10.65%E -4.59%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.26%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -10.65%E -4.59%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 15:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.26%EV -8.68%E -3.16%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.43%EV -10.65%E -4.59%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.31%EV -5.26%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 15:35
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -10.34%E -3.83%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 15:34
NetBet (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 32.92%EV -13.00%E -4.96%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.33%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 10:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -13.66%E -5.26%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.24%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -10.91%E -3.46%K -5.08%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-20 15:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.72%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-04-24 00:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.72%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-04-24 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.72%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-04-24 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 32.72%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.01%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%2.5%2026-04-24 00:05
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 31.48%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.66%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.86%11.1%2026-04-24 00:34