Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundee United v Rangers

Inicio: 2026-07-31 19:01 UTC

Final: Dundee United 1–1 Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundee United (Local)

Predicción 19.96%5.01momio equitativo
EV +2.78%
Ventaja +0.539%
Kelly +0.669%
Crecimiento +0.019%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.65%19.99%19.95%21.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.694.705.1523.81%21.30%21.28%19.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 56.66%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.77%56.66%56.64%59.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.641.651.7364.52%61.07%60.61%57.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.39%4.28momio equitativo
EV -0.602%
Ventaja -0.142%
Kelly -0.185%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.69%23.35%23.41%24.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.024.004.2526.67%24.88%25.00%23.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Dundee United (Local): 19.96%; Rangers (Visitante): 56.66%; Empate: 23.39%. Para Dundee United (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.01. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.15, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.78%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯5.15I 19.42%NM 18.65%EV +2.78%E +0.539%K +0.669%G +0.019%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.84%EV -4.25%E -2.52%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.51%EV -8.32%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 18:54
Svenska Spel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -0.217%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.64%EV -8.22%E -5.07%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -0.602%E -0.142%K -0.185%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 18:54
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.00%EV -0.217%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.64%EV -8.22%E -5.07%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -0.602%E -0.142%K -0.185%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 18:55
Grosvenor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.93%EV -0.217%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.80%EV -8.78%E -5.46%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.27%EV -0.602%E -0.142%K -0.185%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 19:00
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -0.217%E -0.043%K -0.054%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -8.22%E -5.07%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 15:09
Pinnacle🎯4.91I 20.37%NM 19.53%EV -2.01%E -0.410%K -0.515%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.42%EV -5.39%E -3.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.05%EV -2.71%E -0.651%K -0.857%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 18:55
Unibet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.21%E -0.452%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -9.35%E -5.84%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -1.77%E -0.422%K -0.553%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 19:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.21%E -0.452%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -9.35%E -5.84%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -1.77%E -0.422%K -0.553%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 18:59
Unibet (NL)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -2.21%E -0.452%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -9.35%E -5.84%K -15.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -1.77%E -0.422%K -0.553%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 19:00
Casumo🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.21%E -0.452%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -11.05%E -7.04%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -1.77%E -0.422%K -0.553%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:59
TABtouch🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.21%E -0.452%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -11.05%E -7.04%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -1.77%E -0.422%K -0.553%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:54
betPARX🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -2.21%E -0.452%K -0.567%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.02%EV -11.05%E -7.04%K -19.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -1.77%E -0.422%K -0.553%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 19:00
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -4.21%E -0.877%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.39%E -3.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 18:53
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -4.21%E -0.877%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.10%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -0.602%E -0.142%K -0.185%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 18:14
Tipico (DE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -4.21%E -0.877%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.35%EV -9.35%E -5.84%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-31 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -4.21%E -0.877%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.63%EV -11.62%E -7.45%K -20.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-31 18:59
Unibet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -4.21%E -0.877%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.66%EV -10.48%E -6.64%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-31 18:39
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.17%EV -5.39%E -3.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -1.77%E -0.422%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-31 16:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 16:29
Everygame🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 16:59
betano_uk🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 18:53
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-31 18:54
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -12.18%E -7.86%K -22.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 19:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -12.18%E -7.86%K -22.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -12.18%E -7.86%K -22.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-31 19:00
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.16%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.73%EV -5.39%E -3.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 18:05
LeoVegas🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.10%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.57%EV -5.39%E -3.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.33%EV -5.28%E -1.30%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 18:50
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 19:00
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -4.82%E -2.87%K -7.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.11%E -1.00%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 16:29
SportsBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.07%EV -5.39%E -3.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -8.79%E -2.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-31 18:50
Marathon Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.84%EV -6.20%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -7.08%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-31 18:45
BetUS🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.42%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -7.62%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 18:10
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -5.39%E -3.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -1.77%E -0.422%K -0.553%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 16:29
BetOnline.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.39%E -3.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.16%EV -5.39%E -3.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 18:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-31 19:00
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61%EV -7.08%E -4.32%K -11.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-31 16:30
888sport🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -5.39%E -3.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:55
William Hill🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -5.39%E -3.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -5.39%E -3.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.48%EV -5.39%E -3.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 18:55
PlayUp🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -9.96%E -2.59%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 18:20
Bovada🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -8.22%E -5.07%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-31 18:59
Codere (IT)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -8.78%E -5.46%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-31 17:29
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 17:00
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -6.52%E -3.95%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 18:49
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -5.39%E -3.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-31 18:49
Coral🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.77%EV -1.99%E -1.15%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 18:09
Neds🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.21%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 19.95%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.64%EV -12.18%E -7.86%K -22.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -12.30%E -3.28%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-31 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -3.69%E -2.17%K -5.26%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 18:10
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.53%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.16%EV -4.25%E -2.52%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.45%E -1.61%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-31 18:09
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -16.18%E -3.85%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.19%EV -8.22%E -5.07%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.13%E -2.93%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-31 18:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets5.10I 19.61%NM 19.54%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%0.3%2026-07-31 19:00
Matchbook5.10I 19.61%NM 19.54%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.18%0.3%2026-07-31 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-07-31 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%0.7%2026-07-31 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%1.74I 57.47%NM 57.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%0.7%2026-07-31 19:00
Kalshi5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.73%1.1%2026-07-31 19:00