La escuela de los momios

Dundee United v Dundee FC

Inicio: 2026-04-26 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dundee United (Local)

Predicción 46.15%2.17momio equitativo
EV -5.40%
Ventaja -2.63%
Kelly -5.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.57%46.17%46.17%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.002.002.0553.19%50.04%50.00%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dundee FC (Visitante)

Predicción 28.38%3.52momio equitativo
EV +3.59%
Ventaja +0.984%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.049%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.98%28.27%28.41%28.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.353.303.6532.79%29.88%30.30%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.47%3.93momio equitativo
EV -0.665%
Ventaja -0.171%
Kelly -0.229%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%25.56%25.42%26.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.583.603.9030.30%27.90%27.78%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.78%E -3.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV +3.59%E +0.984%K +1.36%G +0.049%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -9.58%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 11:25
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.78%E -3.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.07%EV +3.59%E +0.984%K +1.36%G +0.049%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.81%EV -9.58%E -2.70%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-20 11:25
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.70%E -3.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV +2.17%E +0.604%K +0.836%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 11:25
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.70%E -3.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV +2.17%E +0.604%K +0.836%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 11:25
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.70%E -3.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV +2.17%E +0.604%K +0.836%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 11:24
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -7.70%E -3.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV +2.17%E +0.604%K +0.836%G +0.018%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 11:25
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -9.09%E -4.61%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV +0.755%E +0.213%K +0.296%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -12.13%E -3.52%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 11:25
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -9.09%E -4.61%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV +0.755%E +0.213%K +0.296%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -12.13%E -3.52%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 11:25
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -9.09%E -4.61%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV +0.755%E +0.213%K +0.296%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -12.13%E -3.52%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 11:25
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.04%EV -9.09%E -4.61%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV +0.755%E +0.213%K +0.296%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -12.13%E -3.52%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 11:25
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.16%EV -9.55%E -4.87%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV +0.755%E +0.213%K +0.296%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -12.13%E -3.52%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -10.01%E -5.13%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV +0.755%E +0.213%K +0.296%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -12.13%E -3.52%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-20 11:25
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -10.47%E -5.40%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -0.664%E -0.190%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 11:25
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.06%EV -10.47%E -5.40%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -0.664%E -0.190%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 11:25
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -10.93%E -5.67%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -0.664%E -0.190%K -0.266%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 11:25
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 21:49
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -3.50%E -1.03%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 16:35
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -8.63%E -4.36%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -4.92%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -8.63%E -4.36%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -4.92%E -1.47%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 16:30
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 46.81%EV -6.32%E -3.11%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.71%EV -6.06%E -1.83%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.49%EV -1.17%E -0.303%K -0.408%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-20 09:10
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.70%E -3.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -0.665%E -0.171%K -0.229%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 16:05
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 07:24
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 20:04
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.15%EV -6.32%E -3.11%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.46%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:14
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 07:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 04:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 04:15
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 04:10
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 04:10
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -7.24%E -3.60%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -6.27%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 20:10
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.70%E -3.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 13:04
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 13:04
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.70%E -3.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.34%E -1.92%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-20 21:49
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -7.76%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 11:00
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -10.01%E -5.13%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.76%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -0.665%E -0.171%K -0.229%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-21 17:19
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.70%E -3.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.76%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:19
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.70%E -3.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.76%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -5.76%E -1.56%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:19
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -10.01%E -5.13%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.76%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.21%E -0.845%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 17:29
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.47%EV -8.63%E -4.36%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.76%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.03%E -1.93%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-19 13:15
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -7.70%E -3.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.76%E -2.39%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -10.85%E -3.10%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-24 00:10
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.58%EV -8.63%E -4.36%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.18%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 17:15
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 46.58%EV -8.63%E -4.36%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -9.18%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 14:29
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.70%E -3.85%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.18%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 11:55
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -10.01%E -5.13%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.18%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 13:04
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -10.01%E -5.13%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.18%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 12:44
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.18%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 20:35
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.18%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 20:35
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.18%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 20:34
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -5.40%E -2.63%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -9.18%E -2.87%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -13.40%E -3.94%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 20:34
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -10.01%E -5.13%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -12.02%E -3.88%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -8.31%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-18 16:20
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.30%EV -10.93%E -5.67%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.02%E -3.88%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.49%EV -15.95%E -4.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-22 14:40
NetBet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 45.92%EV -13.24%E -7.04%K -15.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.31%EV -13.44%E -4.41%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.77%EV -14.67%E -4.38%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 17:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%2.9%2026-04-23 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%2.9%2026-04-23 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.01%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.58%2.9%2026-04-23 13:35
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 46.67%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%5.0%2026-04-24 00:34
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%10.7%2026-04-23 13:05
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 45.27%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%12.1%2026-04-23 22:05