Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundee FC v St Johnstone

Início: 2026-09-02 18:45 UTC

Final: Dundee FC 1–1 St Johnstone

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundee FC (Local)

Previsão 35.30%2.83odd justa
EV -1.17%
Vantagem -0.418%
Kelly -0.651%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.69%35.40%35.31%37.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.622.622.8040.82%38.19%38.17%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

St Johnstone (Visitante)

Previsão 37.14%2.69odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -0.883%
Kelly -1.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.39%37.12%37.08%38.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.502.502.6342.55%39.98%40.00%38.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.56%3.63odd justa
EV -0.769%
Vantagem -0.213%
Kelly -0.296%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.92%27.48%27.61%28.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.373.353.6031.25%29.72%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Dundee FC (Local): 35.30%; St Johnstone (Visitante): 37.14%; Empate: 27.56%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.63. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.60, com valor esperado de -0.769%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -1.17%E -0.418%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -1.17%E -0.418%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:40
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -1.17%E -0.418%K -0.651%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 18:40
Pinnacle🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.21%EV -2.94%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.81%EV -2.32%E -0.883%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.98%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-02 18:35
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.65%EV -2.94%E -1.07%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-02 18:05
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -0.769%E -0.213%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-02 12:00
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.70%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 11:35
1xBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.96%EV -5.76%E -2.16%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.07%EV -3.81%E -1.47%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.97%EV -1.87%E -0.526%K -0.731%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 18:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.06%EV -6.11%E -2.30%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -6.41%E -2.54%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -7.94%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-02 18:30
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-02 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 15:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 15:20
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 17:50
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 18:09
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 15:40
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:10
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.90%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-02 18:05
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -6.41%E -2.54%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.47%E -2.44%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.84%EV -6.41%E -2.54%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.13%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-02 18:20
Bovada🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.01%EV -6.82%E -2.58%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.97%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-02 18:38
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -7.17%E -2.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-02 18:05
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-02 15:40
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:30
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-02 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 15:40
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-02 18:15
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 17:50
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 17:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 17:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 17:50
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -7.52%E -2.87%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-02 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 18:25
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-02 15:40
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.51%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.93%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-02 18:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -9.75%E -4.01%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-02 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -8.23%E -3.17%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -7.66%E -2.29%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-02 18:15
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 18:25
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 18:25
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 18:25
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 18:25
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.04%E -2.74%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-02 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.42%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-02 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.97%EV -10.00%E -3.92%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.16%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -11.79%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 18:44
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.76%E -4.70%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-02 18:44
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -11.76%E -4.70%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.42%E -3.20%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -11.76%E -4.70%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.79%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -12.47%E -5.03%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -9.75%E -4.01%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.79%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-02 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -12.47%E -5.03%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.51%EV -9.75%E -4.01%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -11.79%E -3.69%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-02 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -13.52%E -5.52%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -3.44%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.28%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-02 18:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-02 18:40
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-09-02 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-09-02 18:40
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.46%2.0%2026-09-02 18:20