Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundee FC v Hibernian

Início: 2026-08-30 14:00 UTC

Final: Dundee FC 1–2 Hibernian

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Dundee FC (Local)

Previsão 28.81%3.47odd justa
EV +0.275%
Vantagem +0.079%
Kelly +0.111%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.23%28.88%28.84%30.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.173.203.4834.72%31.53%31.25%28.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Hibernian (Visitante)

Previsão 43.81%2.28odd justa
EV -2.30%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -1.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.62%43.77%43.75%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.022.142.152.2349.50%46.74%46.62%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.37%3.65odd justa
EV -1.46%
Vantagem -0.404%
Kelly -0.560%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.88%27.35%27.42%28.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.393.393.6031.25%29.52%29.50%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Dundee FC (Local): 28.81%; Hibernian (Visitante): 43.81%; Empate: 27.37%. Para Dundee FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.47. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.48, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.275%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV +0.275%E +0.079%K +0.111%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.24%E -2.92%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.58%EV -4.74%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -0.590%E -0.171%K -0.241%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -7.99%E -3.81%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -0.590%E -0.171%K -0.241%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -7.99%E -3.81%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 13:55
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.03%E -0.597%K -0.846%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 13:47
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -2.03%E -0.597%K -0.846%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 13:48
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.03%E -0.597%K -0.846%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.99%E -3.81%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 13:44
Pinnacle🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 28.61%EV -2.61%E -0.771%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.15%EV -4.05%E -1.85%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.24%EV -2.82%E -0.796%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 13:45
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.12%E -3.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.56%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:55
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.12%E -3.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.56%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:55
SportsBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.04%EV -3.47%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.73%EV -7.99%E -3.81%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -5.56%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 13:45
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.99%E -3.81%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 13:55
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.99%E -3.81%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -5.49%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.98%EV -7.12%E -3.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.59%EV -7.48%E -2.21%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 13:55
DraftKings🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.56%E -1.61%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 13:45
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -10.19%E -4.97%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -1.46%E -0.404%K -0.560%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 13:45
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -8.87%E -4.26%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 13:55
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.99%E -3.81%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 13:55
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.99%E -3.81%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.99%E -3.81%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.99%E -3.81%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 13:55
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.87%E -4.26%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 13:55
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -4.93%E -2.27%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -1.46%E -0.404%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 13:50
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 13:40
betfred_uk🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -1.46%E -0.404%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 13:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 13:50
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.99%E -3.81%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 13:55
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.99%E -3.81%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-30 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -1.46%E -0.404%K -0.560%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 13:50
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.37%EV -7.12%E -3.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 13:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.54%EV -8.43%E -4.03%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 13:50
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -10.19%E -4.97%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 13:40
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 13:40
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 13:45
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.99%E -3.81%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -4.19%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-30 13:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -2.30%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 13:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -2.30%E -1.03%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 13:20
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -11.50%E -5.69%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-30 13:55
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 13:20
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 13:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 13:20
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 13:20
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 13:20
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -3.61%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -8.30%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 13:19
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.99%E -3.81%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.93%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -15.00%E -5.08%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.79%EV -4.93%E -2.27%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -9.67%E -2.93%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 13:20
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.55%EV -15.00%E -5.08%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.72%EV -5.37%E -2.48%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -11.04%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-30 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -16.44%E -5.67%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -5.80%E -2.70%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.04%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.69%EV -17.01%E -5.91%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.69%EV -7.12%E -3.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 13:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.69%EV -17.01%E -5.91%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.69%EV -7.12%E -3.36%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.62%EV -12.41%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 13:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-08-30 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-30 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.65I 27.40%NM 27.11%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-08-30 13:55
Kalshi◎3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.60%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.68%1.0%2026-08-30 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-08-30 13:55
Matchbook◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.79%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-08-30 13:55