La escuela de los momios

Dundee FC v Hibernian

Inicio: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dundee FC (Local)

Predicción 28.97%3.45momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -0.616%
Kelly -0.875%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.00%29.02%28.95%30.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.203.203.3835.09%31.23%31.25%29.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Hibernian (Visitante)

Predicción 43.46%2.30momio equitativo
EV -4.40%
Ventaja -2.00%
Kelly -3.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.41%43.41%43.47%44.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.132.142.2052.63%46.85%46.73%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.57%3.63momio equitativo
EV -1.56%
Ventaja -0.437%
Kelly -0.607%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.35%27.57%27.57%28.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.383.403.5733.33%29.56%29.41%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.38I 29.59%NM 28.62%EV -2.08%E -0.616%K -0.875%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.97%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.41%EV -2.66%E -0.754%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:54
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 14:55
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -6.13%E -2.84%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 14:55
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -6.13%E -2.84%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 14:56
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -7.00%E -3.27%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -7.00%E -3.27%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:56
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -7.00%E -3.27%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.90%EV -7.00%E -3.27%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -4.40%E -1.33%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 14:55
1xBet3.27I 30.58%NM 29.33%EV -5.27%E -1.61%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.80%EV -4.83%E -2.21%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.87%EV -1.56%E -0.437%K -0.607%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:56
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:55
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.94%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 14:55
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -5.85%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 14:50
BetOnline.ag3.24I 30.86%NM 29.25%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.67%EV -5.70%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.49%E -0.997%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 14:55
LowVig.ag3.24I 30.86%NM 29.25%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.67%EV -5.70%E -2.63%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.49%E -0.997%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -6.14%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.79%EV -7.44%E -3.49%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:55
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 14:55
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 14:55
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:55
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.92%EV -7.87%E -3.71%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.99%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:55
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:55
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.57%E -3.06%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 14:56
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.68%EV -8.31%E -3.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:55
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 28.80%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 43.68%EV -8.31%E -3.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -9.61%E -4.62%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 14:56
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.30%E -2.28%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.85%EV -9.61%E -4.62%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-28 14:56
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.49%E -0.997%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -3.49%E -0.997%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 14:55
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -4.87%E -1.41%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 14:55
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.40%E -2.00%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Sky Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.49%E -0.997%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 14:55
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.19%E -3.29%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.91%E -5.32%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 14:55
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -11.64%E -3.82%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.67%EV -7.44%E -3.49%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 14:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -14.54%E -4.93%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -8.74%E -4.16%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -10.38%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 14:55
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 29.59%EV -15.41%E -5.28%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.41%EV -13.52%E -6.79%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -11.76%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-28 14:55
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 28.99%EV -17.44%E -6.12%K -9.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.48%EV -17.43%E -9.18%K -19.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.54%EV -17.28%E -5.76%K -8.64%G +0.000%21.1%2026-02-28 14:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.40%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-02-28 14:55
Smarkets3.50I 28.57%NM 28.07%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.65%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-02-28 14:55