La escuela de los momios

Dundee FC v Dundee United

Inicio: 2026-03-15 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Dundee FC (Local)

Predicción 38.32%2.61momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.30%38.35%38.34%40.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.392.402.5445.45%41.79%41.67%39.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dundee United (Visitante)

Predicción 33.13%3.02momio equitativo
EV -2.26%
Ventaja -0.767%
Kelly -1.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.88%33.21%33.03%34.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.822.802.9540.00%35.52%35.71%33.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.55%3.50momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.438%
Kelly -0.617%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.24%28.45%28.64%29.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.293.303.4534.48%30.38%30.30%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -2.66%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.84%EV -3.26%E -1.11%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.41%EV -6.94%E -2.13%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 13:50
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 38.25%EV -3.05%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.03%EV -2.92%E -0.998%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.72%EV -3.80%E -1.13%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 13:55
LowVig.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.86%EV -3.43%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 13:45
BetOnline.ag2.52I 39.68%NM 37.86%EV -3.43%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.08%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 13:45
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.95%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -5.57%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:35
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 13:55
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 13:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -4.20%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -8.89%E -3.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 13:34
Marathon Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -4.96%E -2.00%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.21%EV -6.90%E -2.46%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 13:55
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -6.11%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -3.92%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 13:40
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.85%EV -6.11%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.16%EV -4.91%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 13:35
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -6.11%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -3.92%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 13:35
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -6.11%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.57%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 13:28
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.11%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.89%E -3.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 13:55
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.11%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.89%E -3.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 13:55
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.11%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.89%E -3.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 13:55
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.11%E -2.50%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.89%E -3.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 13:55
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -7.26%E -3.00%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.57%E -2.33%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:55
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.42%EV -7.26%E -3.00%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.97%EV -6.57%E -2.33%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 13:55
Bovada2.41I 41.49%NM 38.26%EV -7.65%E -3.17%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 13:55
BetUS2.41I 41.49%NM 38.26%EV -7.65%E -3.17%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 13:55
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.25%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -5.57%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 13:40
Betr (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 13:50
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 13:30
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:35
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:35
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 13:50
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 13:30
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 13:30
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.89%E -3.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 13:55
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.65%E -2.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 13:35
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -8.03%E -3.35%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -13.19%E -5.04%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.22%E -2.22%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 13:34
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -8.80%E -3.70%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -5.57%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -4.37%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 13:40
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 38.35%EV -9.56%E -4.05%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.91%EV -8.89%E -3.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.08%E -3.20%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 13:40
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -2.26%E -0.767%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -1.51%E -0.438%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:45
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -9.95%E -4.23%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -2.26%E -0.767%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -1.51%E -0.438%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 13:45
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -10.71%E -4.60%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -3.92%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -1.51%E -0.438%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 13:40
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -10.71%E -4.60%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -3.92%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -1.51%E -0.438%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 13:40
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -10.71%E -4.60%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -3.92%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -1.51%E -0.438%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 13:40
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.34%EV -10.71%E -4.60%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -3.92%E -1.35%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -1.51%E -0.438%K -0.617%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 13:40
Casumo2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -11.10%E -4.78%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -4.58%E -1.59%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 13:50
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -11.10%E -4.78%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -4.58%E -1.59%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 13:50
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -11.10%E -4.78%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -4.58%E -1.59%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 13:45
betPARX2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -11.10%E -4.78%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -4.58%E -1.59%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 13:45
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -11.86%E -5.16%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.57%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -2.94%E -0.864%K -1.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -12.63%E -5.54%K -9.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -5.57%E -1.96%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -4.37%E -1.30%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 13:45
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -13.78%E -6.12%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 13:45
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -13.78%E -6.12%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -7.23%E -2.58%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -5.79%E -1.76%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 13:45
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.33%EV -13.78%E -6.12%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.92%EV -13.19%E -5.04%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.75%EV -14.36%E -4.79%K -7.18%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-15 13:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -15.69%E -7.13%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -8.89%E -3.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -11.50%E -3.71%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 13:40
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.90%EV -15.69%E -7.13%K -13.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.35%EV -17.17%E -6.87%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 28.75%EV -17.21%E -5.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-15 13:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-15 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.06%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-03-15 13:55
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.80%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.26%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.94%2.3%2026-03-15 13:55
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.99%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%3.1%2026-03-15 13:30