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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Celtic v Rangers

Inicio: 2026-09-20 11:00 UTC

Final: Celtic 0–1 Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Celtic (Local)

Predicción 42.97%2.33momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.510%
Kelly -0.902%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.27%42.96%42.99%44.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.172.3048.78%45.97%46.08%43.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 30.69%3.26momio equitativo
EV +1.29%
Ventaja +0.390%
Kelly +0.560%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.08%30.71%30.65%32.58%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.803.003.003.3035.71%33.34%33.33%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 26.34%3.80momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.328%
Kelly -0.448%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.03%26.34%26.36%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.533.553.7530.30%28.32%28.17%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Celtic (Local): 42.97%; Rangers (Visitante): 30.69%; Empate: 26.34%. Para Rangers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.26. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.29%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.63%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.08%EV +1.29%E +0.390%K +0.560%G +0.007%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 10:49
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.16%EV -5.90%E -2.69%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.49%EV +0.674%E +0.205%K +0.296%G +0.002%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.35%EV -3.34%E -0.910%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-20 10:44
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -1.78%E -0.557%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-20 10:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.20%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -3.32%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 10:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.20%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -3.32%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 10:49
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.20%EV -6.33%E -2.90%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -3.32%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 10:54
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 10:44
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 10:54
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 10:44
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 10:54
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 10:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -11.91%E -5.81%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 10:44
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 10:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 10:49
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -4.85%E -1.56%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 10:49
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 10:54
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 10:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 07:35
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 07:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.09%EV -7.19%E -3.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.62%EV -6.69%E -2.20%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.29%EV -6.76%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 07:35
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 07:34
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -1.23%E -0.328%K -0.448%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 10:47
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 09:49
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -2.55%E -0.689%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 07:34
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -9.77%E -4.65%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -2.55%E -0.689%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 10:54
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 10:53
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 10:39
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.91%E -5.81%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 10:43
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -1.17%E -0.510%K -0.902%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -9.45%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 10:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.45%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 10:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -9.45%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 10:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -9.45%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 10:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.58%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -9.45%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -3.87%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -9.45%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 10:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -9.45%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 10:54
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -9.45%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-20 07:35
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -5.47%E -2.49%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 10:54
Casumo🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -6.76%E -3.11%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 10:54
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -6.76%E -3.11%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 10:54
Unibet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -6.76%E -3.11%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 10:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -6.76%E -3.11%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 10:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -6.76%E -3.11%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 10:54
TABtouch🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -6.76%E -3.11%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 10:54
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.38%EV -6.76%E -3.11%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 10:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.18%EV -7.19%E -3.33%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.42%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.41%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 07:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.89%EV -11.06%E -5.34%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -11.77%E -3.51%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 10:44
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.18%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 10:54
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.27%EV -3.32%E -1.48%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.58%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.50%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 10:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.33%EV -8.05%E -3.76%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -12.52%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.82%E -2.23%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 10:54
BetRivers🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.82%EV -7.62%E -3.54%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 10:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.16%EV -8.91%E -4.20%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.91%EV -9.13%E -2.65%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 10:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -11.91%E -5.81%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -13.08%E -3.96%K -5.69%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-20 10:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-09-20 10:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-09-20 10:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-09-20 10:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-09-20 10:54
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45%0.8%2026-09-20 10:54
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%2.0%2026-09-20 10:54