Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tenerife v Andorra CF

2026-11-02 13:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Tenerife (Local)

Prévision 40.68%2.46cote équitable
EV +1.71%
Avantage +0.683%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.00%40.43%40.65%42.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.272.252.5050.00%44.12%44.44%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Andorra CF (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.80%3.36cote équitable
EV +1.32%
Avantage +0.389%
Kelly +0.551%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.51%30.02%29.82%32.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.043.053.4035.71%32.85%32.79%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.52%3.39cote équitable
EV -4.07%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.63%29.55%29.53%30.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.923.083.083.2534.25%32.45%32.52%30.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Tenerife (Local) : 40.68% ; Andorra CF (Visiteur) : 29.80% ; Match nul : 29.52%. Pour Tenerife (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.46. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.50, pour une espérance positive de +1.71%.

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%EV +1.71%E +0.683%K +1.14%G +0.019%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.39%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV -4.07%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 19:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -0.327%E -0.134%K -0.226%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.07%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 19:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -15.07%E -5.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -5.55%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 19:00
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -16.56%E -5.91%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.55%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-01 19:00
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -2.36%E -0.984%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -16.56%E -5.91%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -8.50%E -2.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 19:00
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.09%EV -2.77%E -1.16%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.48%EV -3.15%E -0.968%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.42%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-01 20:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.45%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 20:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.84%EV -5.62%E -2.42%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -6.13%E -1.94%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -11.45%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 20:10
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.07%E -1.25%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 20:24
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.43%E -2.80%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.50%E -2.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 16:39
Betsson🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -7.24%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -9.98%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 16:30
NordicBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.27%EV -7.24%E -3.18%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -9.98%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 16:31
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.15%E -0.968%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.55%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 20:25
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -4.64%E -1.45%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -5.55%E -1.73%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 16:30
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.59%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.95%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.50%E -2.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 17:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -9.11%E -2.99%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.80%EV -9.98%E -3.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 16:30
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.50%E -2.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 19:10
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.45%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 20:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -11.45%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.45%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-01 16:30
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.45%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-01 16:40
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.46%E -3.76%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.45%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 17:15
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.50%E -2.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 20:25
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.50%E -2.74%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 20:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -10.50%E -4.77%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -7.02%E -2.23%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.88%EV -11.31%E -5.19%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.41%EV -10.57%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 16:28
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.47%EV -12.53%E -5.83%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.53%EV -15.07%E -5.29%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -11.45%E -3.82%K -5.73%G +0.000%14.9%2026-11-01 16:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.99%EV -13.75%E -6.49%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.26%EV -11.49%E -3.87%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.76%EV -13.81%E -4.73%K -7.19%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-01 20:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -14.57%E -6.94%K -13.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV +1.32%E +0.389%K +0.551%G +0.007%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -12.93%E -4.38%K -6.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-01 20:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.24%EV -18.63%E -9.32%K -18.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.13%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.63%EV -12.93%E -4.38%K -6.63%G +0.000%18.4%2026-11-01 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.48%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.75%4.0%2026-11-01 20:30
Matchbook◎2.30I 43.48%NM 41.72%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%4.2%2026-11-01 20:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%4.6%2026-11-01 20:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 41.57%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.54%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.88%4.6%2026-11-01 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%5.5%2026-11-01 20:30
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%6.4%2026-11-01 20:15