La escuela de los momios

SD Huesca v Zaragoza

Inicio: 2026-04-26 16:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SD Huesca (Local)

Predicción 36.37%2.75momio equitativo
EV +0.031%
Ventaja +0.011%
Kelly +0.018%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.97%36.40%36.35%37.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.562.552.7543.48%39.09%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Zaragoza (Visitante)

Predicción 31.92%3.13momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -0.975%
Kelly -1.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.63%31.89%31.89%35.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.452.772.803.0440.82%36.10%35.71%32.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.71%3.15momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -0.553%
Kelly -0.816%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.48%31.71%31.76%34.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.932.903.1038.02%34.14%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV +0.031%E +0.011%K +0.018%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -16.05%E -6.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -1.71%E -0.553%K -0.816%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 10:40
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV +0.031%E +0.011%K +0.018%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -16.05%E -6.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -1.71%E -0.553%K -0.816%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 10:39
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV +0.031%E +0.011%K +0.018%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -16.05%E -6.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -1.71%E -0.553%K -0.816%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 10:39
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV +0.031%E +0.011%K +0.018%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -16.05%E -6.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -1.71%E -0.553%K -0.816%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 10:40
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.10%EV +0.031%E +0.011%K +0.018%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.65%EV -16.05%E -6.10%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -1.71%E -0.553%K -0.816%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 10:40
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -1.79%E -0.662%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -18.60%E -7.30%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 10:40
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -1.79%E -0.662%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -18.60%E -7.30%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 10:39
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -1.79%E -0.662%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -18.60%E -7.30%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 10:39
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -1.79%E -0.662%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -18.60%E -7.30%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 10:39
1xBet2.69I 37.17%NM 35.72%EV -2.15%E -0.800%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.82%EV -3.60%E -1.19%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.46%EV -6.15%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 23:50
Pinnacle2.67I 37.45%NM 35.69%EV -2.88%E -1.08%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.34%EV -2.96%E -0.975%K -1.45%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.97%EV -8.37%E -2.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -3.61%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -18.60%E -7.30%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 10:40
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.22%EV -3.61%E -1.36%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -18.60%E -7.30%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 10:40
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -20.20%E -8.08%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 10:39
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -4.33%E -1.65%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -20.20%E -8.08%K -13.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 10:39
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.75%EV -5.06%E -1.94%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -6.48%E -2.21%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 23:45
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 23:09
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.07%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 23:04
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -5.43%E -2.09%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 22:00
Bovada2.59I 38.61%NM 35.68%EV -5.79%E -2.24%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.32%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 22:43
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -6.15%E -2.38%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.07%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 21:59
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -6.15%E -2.38%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -8.07%E -2.80%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.79%EV -7.42%E -2.54%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 22:00
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.15%E -2.38%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -4.88%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -10.59%E -3.76%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 21:54
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 35.96%EV -6.15%E -2.38%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.14%EV -4.88%E -1.64%K -2.46%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.90%EV -10.59%E -3.76%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 21:55
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -5.84%E -1.98%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -1.71%E -0.553%K -0.816%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 22:15
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.24%E -1.41%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:00
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -9.03%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -12.81%E -4.66%K -7.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 22:39
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.25%EV -7.24%E -2.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.64%EV -21.80%E -8.90%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.11%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-22 10:40
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 02:45
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -3.30%E -1.08%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 02:45
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.03%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-24 02:45
FanDuel2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.43%E -2.56%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 21:54
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.62%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 02:48
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.62%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.88%E -1.63%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 23:04
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.59%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.87%EV -8.39%E -2.92%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:54
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.03%E -3.17%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -9.64%E -3.38%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 22:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.62%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 23:09
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.62%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.22%E -4.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 21:50
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -12.22%E -4.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.97%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -12.22%E -4.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.33%EV -9.01%E -3.14%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 21:55
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.97%EV -9.06%E -3.63%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70%EV -12.22%E -4.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.33%EV -9.01%E -3.14%K -4.82%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 21:55
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -10.88%E -4.44%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -12.22%E -4.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -1.71%E -0.553%K -0.816%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 22:45
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -10.88%E -4.44%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -10.62%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 21:59
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -10.88%E -4.44%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -12.22%E -4.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -8.05%E -2.78%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 21:59
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.88%E -4.44%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -10.62%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 21:54
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.02%EV -11.97%E -4.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.70%EV -12.22%E -4.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -14.40%E -5.33%K -8.47%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-23 21:55
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.17%EV -12.70%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.86%EV -10.62%E -3.79%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -8.69%E -3.02%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 21:50
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -12.70%E -5.29%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -12.22%E -4.44%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 21:59
Betclic (FR)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.83%EV -13.43%E -5.64%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.64%EV -11.58%E -4.18%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.53%EV -11.86%E -4.27%K -6.66%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 22:01
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.68%EV -14.52%E -6.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.53%EV -15.41%E -5.82%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.79%EV -11.22%E -4.01%K -6.24%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 21:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.24%EV -16.34%E -7.10%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.06%EV -17.01%E -6.54%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.70%EV -16.61%E -6.32%K -10.19%G +0.000%20.0%2026-04-23 21:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 36.27%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.39%4.4%2026-04-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 36.27%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.39%4.4%2026-04-23 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 36.27%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.34%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.39%4.4%2026-04-23 22:39
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%5.7%2026-04-23 23:25
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 36.16%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.48%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.36%8.0%2026-04-24 00:35
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 33.55%2.58I 38.76%NM 34.59%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%12.1%2026-04-23 20:50