La escuela de los momiosEspañol
SD Huesca v Real Sociedad B
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SD Huesca (Local)
Predicción 40.19%2.49momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -1.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.85%40.26%40.19%44.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.232.252.4250.00%44.87%44.44%41.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Real Sociedad B (Visitante)
Predicción 31.12%3.21momio equitativo
EV +4.26%
Ventaja +1.27%
Kelly +1.81%
Crecimiento +0.077%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.88%31.07%31.12%32.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.033.003.3536.36%32.99%33.33%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.68%3.49momio equitativo
EV -0.464%
Ventaja -0.134%
Kelly -0.188%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.47
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.27%28.67%28.69%30.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.753.203.203.4736.36%31.26%31.25%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV +4.26%E +1.27%K +1.81%G +0.077% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.91%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 17:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV +4.26%E +1.27%K +1.81%G +0.077% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.91%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 17:54 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV +4.26%E +1.27%K +1.81%G +0.077% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.91%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV +4.26%E +1.27%K +1.81%G +0.077% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -3.91%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-11 17:54 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -15.59%E -7.43%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +2.70%E +0.818%K +1.17%G +0.032% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.77%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 17:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -15.59%E -7.43%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +2.70%E +0.818%K +1.17%G +0.032% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.77%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -15.59%E -7.43%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +2.70%E +0.818%K +1.17%G +0.032% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.77%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 17:55 |
| betPARX | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -15.59%E -7.43%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV +2.70%E +0.818%K +1.17%G +0.032% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.77%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-11 17:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.86%EV -16.40%E -7.88%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV +1.14%E +0.352%K +0.509%G +0.006% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.77%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-11 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.86%EV -16.40%E -7.88%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV +1.14%E +0.352%K +0.509%G +0.006% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.77%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-11 17:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -17.60%E -8.59%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -0.411%E -0.129%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-11 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -17.60%E -8.59%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -0.411%E -0.129%K -0.187%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-11 17:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.19%EV -3.13%E -1.30%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.55%EV -1.34%E -0.424%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.26%EV -5.05%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-11 18:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.06%EV -19.61%E -9.81%K -19.61%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -1.97%E -0.625%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.97%EV -9.64%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-11 17:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -9.16%E -4.05%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.56%EV -3.21%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.39%EV -0.464%E -0.134%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 18:24 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.48%EV -5.54%E -2.36%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -5.34%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-11 17:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-11 15:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.52%E -1.14%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 18:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV -3.53%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -5.08%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -6.77%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-11 18:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.85%EV -2.73%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.08%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.85%EV -2.73%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.08%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 18:04 |
| BetAnything | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.85%EV -2.73%E -1.13%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -5.08%E -1.67%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-11 18:04 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.53%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -5.34%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-11 18:17 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.34%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-11 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.77%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-11 17:55 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.77%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 18:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -6.77%E -2.08%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-11 17:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-11 17:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-11 18:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -6.64%E -2.21%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-11 15:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.44%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.29%EV -7.26%E -2.44%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.27%EV -1.90%E -0.555%K -0.784%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-11 16:54 |
| Bovada | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.92%EV -7.15%E -3.10%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.26%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-11 18:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -8.19%E -2.78%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-11 15:55 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -6.75%E -2.91%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -9.13%E -3.13%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 18:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.69%EV -6.75%E -2.91%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.53%EV -9.13%E -3.13%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-11 18:24 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -7.55%E -3.28%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-11 18:18 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-11 17:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -9.64%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-11 18:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -9.75%E -3.36%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -13.95%E -4.65%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-11 18:19 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-11 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.37%E -3.60%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-11 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.68%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-11 15:55 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -10.68%E -3.72%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-11 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -9.56%E -4.25%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -11.30%E -3.97%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.34%E -1.62%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-11 18:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.29I 43.67%NM 39.52%EV -7.96%E -3.47%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.75%EV -11.30%E -3.97%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -9.64%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-11 18:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.26%EV -10.77%E -4.85%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -11.30%E -3.97%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -9.64%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-11 18:24 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.86%E -4.59%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -8.21%E -2.57%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-11 15:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.49%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.43%EV -13.79%E -4.98%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.08%E -3.57%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-11 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -11.57%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -14.42%E -5.24%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -9.64%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-11 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.21%EV -13.58%E -6.32%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.44%EV -14.42%E -5.24%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.35%EV -12.51%E -4.10%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-11 18:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.57%EV -15.59%E -7.43%K -14.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.22%EV -14.42%E -5.24%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.22%EV -21.12%E -7.68%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-05-11 18:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 42.03% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 28.79% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 29.19% | -4.8% | 2026-05-11 18:24 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 41.00% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.97% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.02% | -0.0% | 2026-05-11 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.12% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81% | 0.6% | 2026-05-11 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-11 18:24 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.01% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-05-11 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.56% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-05-11 18:24 |