Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

SD Huesca v Albacete

Inicio: 2026-03-07 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

SD Huesca (Local)

Predicción 36.99%2.70momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.747%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.81%37.07%36.94%38.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.462.482.6544.44%40.58%40.32%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Albacete (Visitante)

Predicción 31.87%3.14momio equitativo
EV +3.56%
Ventaja +1.10%
Kelly +1.58%
Crecimiento +0.056%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.65%31.78%31.94%34.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.952.903.2541.67%33.91%34.48%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 31.15%3.21momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -0.906%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.29%31.16%31.12%33.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.702.882.883.1237.04%34.75%34.72%32.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: SD Huesca (Local): 36.99%; Albacete (Visitante): 31.87%; Empate: 31.15%. Para Albacete (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.14. 14 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.56%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.75%EV -8.27%E -3.33%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV +3.56%E +1.10%K +1.58%G +0.056%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -12.79%E -4.57%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.75%EV -8.27%E -3.33%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV +3.56%E +1.10%K +1.58%G +0.056%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -12.79%E -4.57%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.75%EV -8.27%E -3.33%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV +3.56%E +1.10%K +1.58%G +0.056%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -12.79%E -4.57%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.75%EV -8.27%E -3.33%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV +3.56%E +1.10%K +1.58%G +0.056%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -12.79%E -4.57%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.75%EV -8.27%E -3.33%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV +3.56%E +1.10%K +1.58%G +0.056%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -12.79%E -4.57%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:54
1xBet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.99%EV -4.94%E -1.92%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.43%EV +2.92%E +0.906%K +1.31%G +0.038%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.59%EV -11.86%E -4.19%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 15:04
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -10.12%E -4.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV +1.97%E +0.615%K +0.895%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -14.35%E -5.22%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:54
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -10.12%E -4.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV +1.97%E +0.615%K +0.895%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -14.35%E -5.22%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -10.12%E -4.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV +1.97%E +0.615%K +0.895%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -14.35%E -5.22%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -10.12%E -4.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV +1.97%E +0.615%K +0.895%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -14.35%E -5.22%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:54
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.84%EV -10.12%E -4.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV +1.97%E +0.615%K +0.895%G +0.018%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -14.35%E -5.22%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 14:55
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.96%EV -11.23%E -4.68%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.92%EV +0.376%E +0.119%K +0.175%G +0.001%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.13%EV -14.35%E -5.22%K -8.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -11.97%E -5.03%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV +0.376%E +0.119%K +0.175%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -15.91%E -5.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.92%EV -11.97%E -5.03%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.65%EV +0.376%E +0.119%K +0.175%G +0.001%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.43%EV -15.91%E -5.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -1.98%E -0.747%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.95%EV -3.45%E -1.14%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.53%EV -4.38%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 15:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.83%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -4.07%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -3.83%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -4.07%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 15:05
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -3.83%E -1.47%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -9.68%E -3.34%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 14:29
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -9.38%E -3.83%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -9.05%E -3.10%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:24
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -9.38%E -3.83%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.40%E -1.47%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.59%EV -9.05%E -3.10%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 14:24
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.22%EV -5.68%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.17%EV -6.00%E -2.03%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -3.45%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 15:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.00%E -2.03%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:29
Codere (IT)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.46%EV -10.49%E -4.33%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.73%EV -6.00%E -2.03%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -5.68%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -6.32%E -2.15%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -8.43%E -2.87%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 15:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.07%EV -13.08%E -5.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.54%EV -6.63%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.39%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-07 14:51
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -5.68%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.01%E -1.64%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.68%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 15:05
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.68%E -2.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:54
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.91%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.28%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.68%E -3.34%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -11.23%E -4.68%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-07 14:24
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -14.93%E -6.49%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -12.79%E -4.57%K -7.11%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 14:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 38.64%EV -16.03%E -7.06%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.25%EV -7.59%E -2.62%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.11%EV -12.17%E -4.32%K -6.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 15:10
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.56%E -2.19%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 14:30
BetAnything🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.47%EV -6.42%E -2.54%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.04%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -8.74%E -2.98%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-07 15:00
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -8.23%E -2.86%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -10.30%E -3.58%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 15:09
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.59%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.87%EV -8.55%E -2.98%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.54%EV -9.68%E -3.34%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:49
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.08%EV -11.23%E -4.68%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.29%EV -2.83%E -0.906%K -1.33%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 14:29
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 14:50
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -9.38%E -3.83%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.10%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.21%EV -10.30%E -3.58%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-07 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.05%EV -14.93%E -6.49%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.70%EV -11.23%E -3.94%K -6.07%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-07 14:24
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.99%EV -13.08%E -5.56%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.05%EV -10.78%E -3.85%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 31.96%EV -15.28%E -5.62%K -8.89%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-07 14:49
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -12.37%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.12%E -2.75%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-07 14:35
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -9.38%E -3.83%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.37%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -10.30%E -3.58%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 14:50
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.03%EV -11.23%E -4.68%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.32%EV -12.37%E -4.50%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -9.68%E -3.34%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-07 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -13.96%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.68%E -3.34%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 15:09
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -13.96%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.68%E -3.34%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 15:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -13.96%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.68%E -3.34%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 15:10
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.53%E -3.01%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -13.96%E -5.17%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.68%E -3.34%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 15:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.05%EV -16.77%E -7.46%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.07%EV -17.15%E -6.60%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%EV -15.91%E -5.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-07 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 34.81%EV -11.97%E -5.03%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.51%EV -23.52%E -9.80%K -16.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.68%EV -15.91%E -5.89%K -9.36%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-07 14:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 37.02%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.24%0.0%2026-03-07 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-03-07 15:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-03-07 15:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.84%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.08%0.5%2026-03-07 15:10
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17%1.8%2026-03-07 15:10
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.55%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.72%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.72%4.0%2026-03-07 14:50