La escuela de los momios

SD Eibar v SD Huesca

Inicio: 2026-04-19 16:32 UTC

Final: SD Eibar 2–1 SD Huesca

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SD Eibar (Local)

Predicción 58.24%1.72momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -2.00%
Kelly -5.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.39%58.12%58.22%59.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.471.581.581.6668.03%63.34%63.29%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SD Huesca (Visitante)

Predicción 16.15%6.19momio equitativo
EV +0.636%
Ventaja +0.102%
Kelly +0.122%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.03%16.18%16.15%18.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.695.756.2320.83%17.57%17.39%16.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.61%3.91momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -0.709%
Kelly -0.962%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.69%25.70%25.63%27.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.533.553.8032.26%28.31%28.17%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 58.52%EV -6.82%E -4.26%K -11.36%G +0.000%6.23I 16.05%NM 15.03%EV +0.636%E +0.102%K +0.122%G +0.001%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.45%EV -9.35%E -2.64%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 16:29
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -5.65%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -1.46%E -0.240%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -5.65%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -1.46%E -0.240%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 16:30
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.07%EV -5.65%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.42%EV -1.46%E -0.240%K -0.287%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.75%EV -5.65%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -3.08%E -0.513%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -3.97%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 16:29
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.65%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -3.08%E -0.513%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 16:30
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -5.65%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.08%E -0.513%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.38%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:30
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -5.65%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.08%E -0.513%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.38%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:30
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -5.65%E -3.49%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -3.08%E -0.513%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -10.38%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 16:29
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 59.31%EV -8.56%E -5.45%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.52%EV -3.08%E -0.513%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 16:29
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.56%E -5.45%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -3.08%E -0.513%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.38%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 16:30
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.56%E -5.45%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -3.08%E -0.513%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.38%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 16:30
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.56%E -5.45%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -3.08%E -0.513%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.38%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 16:30
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.56%E -5.45%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -3.08%E -0.513%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.38%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-19 16:30
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -9.73%E -6.28%K -17.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -3.08%E -0.513%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 16:30
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.20%EV -3.32%E -2.00%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.34%EV -6.15%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.45%EV -8.07%E -2.25%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 16:29
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -6.82%E -4.26%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -6.31%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.79%E -1.87%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 16:29
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.26%EV -6.82%E -4.26%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV -6.31%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.95%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 16:28
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.10%EV -9.15%E -5.86%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -6.31%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -11.66%E -3.38%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -9.73%E -6.28%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -6.31%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 16:30
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.03%EV -9.73%E -6.28%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.51%EV -6.31%E -1.09%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-19 16:30
Bovada1.63I 61.35%NM 57.60%EV -5.07%E -3.11%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -7.12%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.00%EV -7.40%E -4.65%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -7.12%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -2.69%E -0.709%K -0.962%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 16:30
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.46%EV -6.82%E -4.26%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.12%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-19 16:29
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 58.41%EV -7.40%E -4.65%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.15%EV -7.12%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 16:30
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 58.20%EV -7.40%E -4.65%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -7.12%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:30
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.18%EV -6.82%E -4.26%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.91%EV -7.12%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 16:31
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -8.56%E -5.45%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -7.12%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.38%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 16:30
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -8.56%E -5.45%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -7.12%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.38%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 16:29
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.24%EV -9.15%E -5.86%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -7.12%E -1.24%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.38%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 16:30
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.48%EV -7.98%E -5.05%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.21%EV -7.92%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:29
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.48%EV -7.98%E -5.05%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.21%EV -7.92%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -6.53%E -1.79%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 16:29
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -8.56%E -5.45%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -9.54%E -1.70%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 16:30
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -6.23%E -3.87%K -10.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 16:30
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.63%EV -6.82%E -4.26%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 16:30
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.56%E -5.45%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 16:30
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -6.82%E -4.26%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 16:30
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.73%E -6.28%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.73%E -6.28%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.73%E -6.28%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.73%E -6.28%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 16:29
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.89%E -7.12%K -20.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -7.81%E -2.17%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.51%EV -10.89%E -7.12%K -20.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.28%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -9.09%E -2.56%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 16:29
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.78%EV -12.64%E -8.43%K -25.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -11.16%E -2.03%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -10.38%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-19 16:30
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.96%EV -10.31%E -6.70%K -19.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.53%EV -12.77%E -2.36%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -10.38%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 16:26
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 57.81%EV -14.39%E -9.79%K -30.61%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.04%EV -14.39%E -2.71%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -16.78%E -5.16%K -7.46%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-19 16:31
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.66%EV -6.82%E -4.26%K -11.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -16.00%E -3.08%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -10.38%E -2.96%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 16:31
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.39%EV -5.07%E -3.11%K -8.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.23%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-19 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.63%EV -9.73%E -6.28%K -17.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -19.23%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 16:31
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.06%EV -12.64%E -8.43%K -25.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.82%EV -19.23%E -3.85%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.12%EV -20.62%E -6.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%18.9%2026-04-19 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.75%EV -7.98%E -5.05%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.35%EV -22.46%E -4.68%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.91%EV -12.94%E -3.80%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-19 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.03%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%1.0%2026-04-19 16:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-04-19 16:31
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.77%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-04-19 16:31
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%2.0%2026-04-19 16:31
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.25%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.18%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%2.9%2026-04-19 16:31
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.70%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%6.6%2026-04-19 16:31