L’École des cotes

SD Eibar v Córdoba

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 16:30 UTC

Score final : SD Eibar 2–0 Córdoba

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SD Eibar (Local)

Prévision 57.33%1.74cote équitable
EV -4.26%
Avantage -2.55%
Kelly -6.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.37%57.37%57.36%59.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.601.611.6769.44%62.49%62.11%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Córdoba (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.75%5.06cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.253%
Kelly -0.316%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.91%19.74%19.70%21.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.254.694.755.0023.53%21.33%21.05%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.92%4.36cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.386%
Kelly -0.503%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.77%22.89%22.94%24.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.933.904.2929.41%25.47%25.64%23.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.26%E -2.55%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.99%EV -6.20%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.66%EV -3.83%E -0.787%K -0.990%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.32%EV -1.66%E -0.386%K -0.503%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 16:20
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -5.21%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 16:19
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -5.41%E -3.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -11.14%E -2.48%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Unibet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -1.26%E -0.253%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -1.26%E -0.253%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -1.26%E -0.253%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 16:10
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -1.26%E -0.253%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 16:10
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.19%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -1.26%E -0.253%K -0.316%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 16:10
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.44%EV -5.98%E -3.65%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -16.07%E -3.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -2.57%E -0.605%K -0.791%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.34%EV -6.55%E -4.02%K -10.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -1.26%E -0.253%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 16:00
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -6.55%E -4.02%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.19%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:20
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 57.33%EV -6.55%E -4.02%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -7.19%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:20
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -1.26%E -0.253%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-24 16:00
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -10.15%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -2.57%E -0.605%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-24 16:19
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.48%EV -6.20%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:20
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.10%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.48%EV -6.20%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -9.45%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-24 16:19
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -11.14%E -2.48%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 16:20
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -11.14%E -2.48%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-24 16:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -14.49%E -3.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -14.49%E -3.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -6.20%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.20%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 15:59
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.20%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-24 16:00
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 57.22%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.16%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.16%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 16:20
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 57.22%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -9.16%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.75%EV -7.16%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 16:20
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -3.24%E -0.661%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -3.24%E -0.661%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -3.24%E -0.661%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 16:10
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -3.24%E -0.661%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 16:10
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -6.20%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 16:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.49%E -3.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 16:19
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -7.70%E -4.78%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.49%E -3.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-24 16:20
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.16%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-24 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.21%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 16:10
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 57.00%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -5.21%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.89%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-24 16:10
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.88%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -9.16%E -1.99%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-24 16:20
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.49%E -3.35%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-24 15:50
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.27%E -5.17%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.14%E -2.48%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 16:19
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -9.42%E -5.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -11.14%E -2.48%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-24 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -9.42%E -5.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -6.20%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 16:10
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%EV -9.42%E -5.96%K -16.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -6.20%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -14.03%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-24 16:10
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.21%EV -10.57%E -6.77%K -18.87%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.61%EV -10.15%E -2.23%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.18%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -11.14%E -7.19%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -1.26%E -0.253%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.01%E -1.47%K -1.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 16:10
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.98%EV -11.14%E -7.19%K -20.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -6.20%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.77%EV -3.72%E -0.885%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 16:10
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.16%EV -11.71%E -7.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -7.19%E -1.53%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.12%EV -16.33%E -4.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-24 16:10
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 56.88%EV -11.71%E -7.61%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.37%EV -15.09%E -3.51%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.75%EV -11.74%E -3.05%K -4.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-24 16:20
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.47%EV -12.29%E -8.03%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -13.11%E -2.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -10.60%E -2.72%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-24 16:19
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.78%EV -12.29%E -8.03%K -23.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.74%EV -13.11%E -2.98%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.48%EV -15.18%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-24 16:19
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -14.01%E -9.34%K -28.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -1.26%E -0.253%K -0.316%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 16:20
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -14.01%E -9.34%K -28.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -5.21%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -8.30%E -2.08%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-24 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.35%EV -17.45%E -12.12%K -39.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.35%EV -11.14%E -2.48%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.29%EV -22.06%E -6.49%K -9.19%G +0.000%21.1%2026-05-24 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.45%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.01%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.59%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-05-24 16:20
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.23%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.35%3.0%2026-05-24 16:20