默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sabadell FC v Granada CF

2026-11-21 13:00 UTC — La Liga 2 - Spain

胜负盘

20 家博彩公司 (1 家纳入分析 )

46%

24%

30%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sabadell FC (主队)

预测 46.30%2.16公平赔率

EV -4.16%

优势 -2.01%

Kelly -3.88%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.07

博彩公司预测分布

45.72%46.30%46.30%46.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.761.961.972.0756.82%51.05%50.76%48.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

Granada CF (客队)

预测 24.13%4.14公平赔率

EV -4.70%

优势 -1.19%

Kelly -1.59%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.95

博彩公司预测分布

24.13%24.13%24.13%25.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.403.663.653.9529.41%27.32%27.40%25.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 29.57%3.38公平赔率

EV -3.30%

优势 -1.01%

Kelly -1.45%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.27

博彩公司预测分布

28.43%29.57%29.57%29.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.853.083.083.2735.09%32.45%32.52%30.58%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Sabadell FC (主队)：46.30%；Granada CF (客队)：24.13%；平局：29.57%。对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.38。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为3.27，期望值为-3.30%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	2.07I 48.31%NM 46.36%EV -4.16%E -2.01%K -3.88%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.70%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%	3.27I 30.58%NM 29.35%EV -3.30%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-11-14 13:20
Unibet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -8.32%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-11-14 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -8.32%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-11-14 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -8.32%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-11-14 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -8.32%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-11-14 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.33%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -8.32%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.37%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-11-14 13:05
Betsson🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -8.32%E -4.20%K -8.49%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.32%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-11-14 13:10
NordicBet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -8.32%E -4.20%K -8.49%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.32%E -2.19%K -2.97%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-11-14 13:10
Grosvenor🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -8.79%E -4.46%K -9.06%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -11.94%E -3.27%K -4.51%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-11-14 13:05
TABtouch🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -8.79%E -4.46%K -9.06%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -11.94%E -3.27%K -4.51%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-11-14 13:05
betPARX🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 45.75%EV -8.79%E -4.46%K -9.06%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -11.94%E -3.27%K -4.51%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-11-14 13:04
Virgin Bet🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 45.72%EV -9.25%E -4.72%K -9.63%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.15%E -3.65%K -5.06%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.38%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-11-14 13:05
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 45.72%EV -9.25%E -4.72%K -9.63%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.15%E -3.65%K -5.06%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.38%EV -9.80%E -3.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%	11.6%	2026-11-14 13:05
Casumo🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 46.07%EV -9.71%E -4.98%K -10.22%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -13.15%E -3.65%K -5.06%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-11-14 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 45.88%EV -10.64%E -5.51%K -11.44%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -13.15%E -3.65%K -5.06%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-11-14 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 46.39%EV -12.03%E -6.33%K -13.36%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -15.56%E -4.45%K -6.22%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.43%EV -8.32%E -2.68%K -3.96%G +0.000%	13.5%	2026-11-14 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 45.73%EV -13.42%E -7.17%K -15.42%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 24.79%EV -16.77%E -4.86%K -6.84%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.49%EV -14.24%E -4.91%K -7.49%G +0.000%	16.9%	2026-11-14 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 46.15%EV -13.88%E -7.46%K -16.14%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -17.97%E -5.29%K -7.49%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.61%EV -11.28%E -3.76%K -5.64%G +0.000%	16.5%	2026-11-14 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 46.64%EV -14.34%E -7.75%K -16.87%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 24.31%EV -14.35%E -4.04%K -5.63%G +0.000%	2.97I 33.67%NM 29.05%EV -12.17%E -4.10%K -6.18%G +0.000%	15.9%	2026-11-14 13:09
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 46.83%EV -18.51%E -10.52%K -24.35%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 24.24%EV -17.97%E -5.29%K -7.49%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 28.92%EV -15.72%E -5.51%K -8.50%G +0.000%	21.3%	2026-11-14 13:10

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

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