La escuela de los momios

Real Racing Club de Santander v Albacete

Inicio: 2026-03-21 15:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Real Racing Club de Santander (Local)

Predicción 57.09%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.95%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -4.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.01%57.07%57.13%58.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.621.621.7069.44%61.75%61.73%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Albacete (Visitante)

Predicción 19.79%5.05momio equitativo
EV +1.33%
Ventaja +0.259%
Kelly +0.322%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.40%19.80%19.77%21.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.604.605.1223.81%21.76%21.74%19.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.12%4.33momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.409%
Kelly -0.535%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.13%23.12%23.10%25.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.903.904.2530.30%25.63%25.64%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.37%EV -5.80%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.81%EV +1.33%E +0.259%K +0.322%G +0.004%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.82%EV -2.43%E -0.576%K -0.755%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-21 15:10
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.26%EV -6.94%E -4.26%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.80%EV -0.059%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.94%EV -4.28%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-21 15:10
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.20%EV -5.80%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -1.74%E -0.409%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 14:54
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.20%EV -5.80%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.60%EV -1.74%E -0.409%K -0.535%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-21 14:54
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.43%EV -4.66%E -2.79%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.18%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 14:39
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.09%E -5.02%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:50
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -10.37%E -6.60%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -1.05%E -0.210%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-21 15:09
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.27%EV -5.80%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.05%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 14:35
Marathon Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.55%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:09
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 57.37%EV -8.09%E -5.02%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.38%EV -8.67%E -2.20%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 15:10
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.69%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.23%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 14:48
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -8.09%E -5.02%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -5.01%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:49
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.17%EV -4.66%E -2.79%K -6.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.10%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -2.89%E -0.689%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 14:39
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -8.09%E -5.02%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:25
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-21 15:05
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -10.37%E -6.60%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-21 14:49
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -10.37%E -6.60%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -6.00%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 14:50
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -7.98%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:50
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -7.98%E -1.72%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.88%EV -6.36%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 14:50
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -2.95%E -1.73%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:04
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -2.95%E -1.73%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:04
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -2.95%E -1.73%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:04
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -2.95%E -1.73%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:04
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -2.95%E -1.73%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 15:09
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -5.80%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 15:10
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:49
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.15%EV -10.94%E -7.01%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.72%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -5.21%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-21 15:10
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.82%EV -10.37%E -6.60%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -8.97%E -1.95%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -5.80%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 15:09
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -5.80%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.52%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 14:44
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -5.23%E -3.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:04
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -5.23%E -3.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:04
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -5.23%E -3.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:04
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.38%EV -5.23%E -3.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -5.80%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 15:04
LeoVegas1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -6.37%E -3.89%K -9.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 15:04
Codere (IT)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -8.09%E -5.02%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:49
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-21 14:09
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.53%EV -13.79%E -9.14%K -27.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -10.94%E -2.43%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-21 15:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.80%EV -10.37%E -6.60%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.04%EV -11.93%E -2.68%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.80%EV -10.37%E -6.60%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.04%EV -11.93%E -2.68%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 14:49
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -5.80%E -3.52%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -12.92%E -2.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-21 14:14
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -12.92%E -2.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 15:04
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.55%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -12.92%E -2.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-21 15:04
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 56.51%EV -9.80%E -6.20%K -16.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -12.92%E -2.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -10.99%E -2.85%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-21 15:04
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.89%EV -17.79%E -12.35%K -40.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 18.95%EV -12.92%E -2.94%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.16%EV -16.77%E -4.66%K -6.45%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-21 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.04%EV -12.65%E -8.27%K -23.87%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.45%EV -14.31%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.52%EV -23.70%E -7.18%K -10.31%G +0.000%18.8%2026-03-21 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 14:14
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -7.52%E -4.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-21 14:14
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.17%EV -8.09%E -5.02%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-21 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.17%EV -8.09%E -5.02%K -13.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -13.30%E -3.55%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-21 14:14
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -8.66%E -5.41%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.14%E -3.20%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-21 14:05
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.45%EV -10.94%E -7.01%K -19.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -16.88%E -4.02%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -9.83%E -2.52%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-21 14:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.07%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-03-21 15:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.07%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-03-21 15:09
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.07%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-03-21 15:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 58.76%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.96%1.3%2026-03-21 15:00
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.39%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.40%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.6%2026-03-21 14:55
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.21%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.46%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-03-21 15:05