La escuela de los momios

Leganés v SD Huesca

Inicio: 2026-05-18 18:30 UTC

Final: Leganés 0–0 SD Huesca

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leganés (Local)

Predicción 50.87%1.97momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -3.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.73%50.87%50.80%53.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.791.801.9159.52%55.81%55.56%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SD Huesca (Visitante)

Predicción 22.34%4.48momio equitativo
EV +5.00%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +1.35%
Crecimiento +0.068%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.19%22.31%22.37%23.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.164.204.7028.57%24.03%23.81%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.78%3.73momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -0.993%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%26.82%26.83%28.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.413.453.6034.72%29.34%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.31%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.19%EV +5.00%E +1.06%K +1.35%G +0.068%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.50%EV -4.11%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 18:25
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.63%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.41%EV +0.754%E +0.167%K +0.215%G +0.002%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.97%EV -4.11%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-18 18:15
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV +0.530%E +0.118%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 18:05
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.04%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV +0.530%E +0.118%K +0.152%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-18 18:05
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 17:30
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 17:30
Unibet (NL)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 17:35
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 17:35
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 52.19%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -4.91%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 17:35
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.01%EV -9.95%E -5.62%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -1.70%E -0.387%K -0.501%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 18:25
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%EV -9.95%E -5.62%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -2.82%E -0.648%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 17:35
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%EV -9.95%E -5.62%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -2.82%E -0.648%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 17:35
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%EV -9.95%E -5.62%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -2.82%E -0.648%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 17:30
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%EV -9.95%E -5.62%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%EV -2.82%E -0.648%K -0.842%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 17:30
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.19%EV -3.34%E -1.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-18 17:50
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 18:15
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 18:25
BetAnything1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -8.93%E -4.99%K -11.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.10%EV -10.46%E -5.94%K -13.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.32%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 17:35
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -3.94%E -0.916%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-18 17:30
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -7.41%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.80%EV -6.79%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.20%EV -11.99%E -6.93%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.25%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-18 17:30
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 52.20%EV -11.99%E -6.93%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.25%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-18 17:30
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.19%EV -7.41%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 17:35
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.70%EV -4.86%E -2.60%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 17:58
Mr Green (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 18:25
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.66%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-18 18:25
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.71%EV -2.83%E -1.48%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-18 17:40
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.57%E -0.993%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-18 14:45
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.80%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 18:18
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.82%EV -13.51%E -7.95%K -19.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -8.41%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-18 17:35
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -7.41%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -9.52%E -2.35%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 18:15
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.58%EV -7.41%E -4.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.73%EV -9.52%E -2.35%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 18:15
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-18 18:05
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 14:45
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.88%E -3.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-18 18:00
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.52%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.73%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-18 18:15
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.32%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-18 18:20
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -14.29%E -4.47%K -6.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-18 18:00
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-18 18:25
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 51.63%EV -14.53%E -8.65%K -21.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -10.64%E -2.66%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.69%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-18 18:05
Betclic (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 50.74%EV -10.46%E -5.94%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -11.76%E -2.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -10.27%E -3.07%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-18 18:15
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.93%E -2.63%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-18 17:34
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.61%EV -8.43%E -4.68%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.03%EV -6.25%E -1.79%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-18 18:15
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -6.90%E -3.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -14.29%E -4.47%K -6.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-18 18:00
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-18 18:25
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-18 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-18 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.53%EV -10.97%E -6.27%K -14.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.67%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.61%E -3.52%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-18 18:25
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.55%EV -9.44%E -5.30%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%EV -13.99%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.08%EV -7.59%E -2.20%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-18 18:15
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 50.61%EV -12.50%E -7.26%K -17.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.61%EV -13.99%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -12.95%E -3.98%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-18 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 47.73%EV -11.99%E -6.93%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.59%EV -21.81%E -6.23%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.67%EV -22.86%E -7.94%K -12.16%G +0.000%21.1%2026-05-18 18:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.18%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-05-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.18%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-05-18 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.90I 52.63%NM 52.18%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-05-18 18:25
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.60%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.09%1.1%2026-05-18 18:25
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.58%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.48%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%1.7%2026-05-18 18:25
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 51.92%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.52%1.9%2026-05-18 18:25