A Escola das Odds

Leganés v SD Eibar

Início: 2026-03-08 17:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Leganés (Local)

Previsão 35.40%2.82odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.442%
Kelly -0.689%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.33%35.47%35.29%37.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.552.552.7942.55%39.21%39.22%35.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

SD Eibar (Visitante)

Previsão 32.57%3.07odd justa
EV -2.29%
Vantagem -0.762%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.53%32.53%32.61%33.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.822.803.0040.00%35.51%35.71%33.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 32.03%3.12odd justa
EV +0.891%
Vantagem +0.283%
Kelly +0.415%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.82%32.00%32.10%33.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.902.903.1540.00%34.44%34.48%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV +0.891%E +0.283%K +0.415%G +0.004%6.5%2026-03-08 16:40
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV +0.891%E +0.283%K +0.415%G +0.004%6.5%2026-03-08 16:40
Unibet (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV +0.891%E +0.283%K +0.415%G +0.004%6.5%2026-03-08 16:40
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV +0.891%E +0.283%K +0.415%G +0.004%6.5%2026-03-08 16:39
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV +0.891%E +0.283%K +0.415%G +0.004%6.5%2026-03-08 16:40
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.12%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.01%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.88%EV -0.710%E -0.229%K -0.338%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-08 17:24
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 16:40
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 11:34
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 11:35
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 11:34
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.53%EV -13.98%E -5.75%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.90%EV -2.31%E -0.758%K -1.13%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 16:40
1xBet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.99%EV -6.54%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.54%EV -4.89%E -1.68%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.46%EV -3.27%E -1.08%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 17:25
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -7.17%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 17:24
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 16:34
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -15.04%E -6.27%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-08 16:39
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -15.04%E -6.27%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -3.91%E -1.30%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-08 16:40
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -7.17%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 17:24
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.60%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.62%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-08 16:35
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -5.51%E -1.87%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 16:35
Pinnacle2.79I 35.84%NM 34.70%EV -1.23%E -0.442%K -0.689%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.38%EV -2.61%E -0.874%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.93%EV -5.83%E -1.98%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-08 17:20
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -8.15%E -2.89%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -6.48%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 17:25
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.87%EV -8.15%E -2.89%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -6.48%E -2.22%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 16:34
LowVig.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -2.29%E -0.762%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 17:05
BetOnline.ag2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -2.29%E -0.762%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 17:04
BetAnything2.70I 37.04%NM 35.32%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -2.29%E -0.762%K -1.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.89%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 17:05
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -2.65%E -0.964%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 17:25
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -7.12%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 17:25
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.18%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 17:25
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 17:08
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -7.76%E -2.69%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 16:35
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.75%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.14%EV -8.08%E -2.81%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 16:35
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.73%E -3.82%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 16:34
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.87%EV -11.41%E -4.19%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.37%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 16:45
Betclic (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 35.99%EV -12.21%E -4.92%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.69%EV -11.08%E -4.06%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.32%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 17:04
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.92%EV -13.27%E -5.42%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -13.69%E -5.16%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.88%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 16:35
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -15.04%E -6.27%K -10.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -12.06%E -4.47%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -8.72%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-08 17:09
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.33%EV -6.54%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.83%EV -4.57%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.84%EV -9.04%E -3.18%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 17:25
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.19%E -2.34%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -3.92%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 17:05
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 17:25
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 17:25
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.32%E -3.69%K -5.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 17:05
Bovada2.64I 37.88%NM 35.00%EV -6.54%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.53%EV -4.57%E -1.56%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.47%EV -11.60%E -4.20%K -6.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 17:24
SportsBet2.62I 38.17%NM 34.90%EV -7.25%E -2.77%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.86%EV -6.52%E -2.27%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.92%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 17:20
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -6.20%E -2.15%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -11.92%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 17:24
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -7.17%E -2.52%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 17:19
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.58%EV -7.96%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.30%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-08 17:19
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-08 17:04
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.21%EV -12.56%E -5.09%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.57%EV -13.04%E -4.88%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.52%E -5.01%K -7.95%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-08 17:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.33%EV -11.50%E -4.60%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.33%EV -18.57%E -7.43%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.33%EV -19.93%E -7.97%K -13.28%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-08 17:19
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.16%EV -16.81%E -7.15%K -12.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.78%EV -15.32%E -5.89%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.05%EV -19.93%E -7.97%K -13.28%G +0.000%21.0%2026-03-08 17:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.87%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.66%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.47%0.3%2026-03-08 17:25
Kalshi2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-03-08 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.01%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.13%1.3%2026-03-08 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.10%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.20%1.8%2026-03-08 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.10%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.20%1.8%2026-03-08 17:25
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.84%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.98%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.18%2.5%2026-03-08 17:25