La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Leganés v CD Mirandés
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Leganés (Local)
Predicción 44.13%2.27momio equitativo
EV -4.23%
Ventaja -1.95%
Kelly -3.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.23%44.19%44.06%45.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.082.102.1752.36%48.10%47.62%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
CD Mirandés (Visitante)
Predicción 28.84%3.47momio equitativo
EV -0.504%
Ventaja -0.146%
Kelly -0.206%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.03%28.84%28.85%30.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.193.203.4534.72%31.39%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.03%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -0.749%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%26.98%27.10%28.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.363.353.6034.72%29.72%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.84%EV -4.23%E -1.95%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -2.70%E -0.749%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.57%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.40%EV -2.23%E -0.659%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.04%EV -3.78%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.75%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.54%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -9.16%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.60%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.80%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.80%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%EV -4.83%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.72%EV -3.78%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.83%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.75%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.83%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -6.75%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.75%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.75%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.75%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.75%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.23%EV -6.75%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -9.16%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.54%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -9.16%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.95%E -0.572%K -0.811%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.83%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -10.60%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.80%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.60%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -10.60%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.45%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -13.48%E -4.49%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.45%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.45%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.45%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.45%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.21%E -3.95%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -9.45%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Bovada | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.53%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.27%E -1.93%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.45%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -9.09%E -4.41%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.80%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.83%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -4.83%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -9.16%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -10.80%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -10.60%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.45%E -2.82%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.92%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -10.60%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.04%EV -9.99%E -3.00%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.16%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.80%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.13%EV -9.97%E -4.89%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.16%E -2.91%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -10.80%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.94%EV -10.41%E -5.13%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -0.504%E -0.146%K -0.206%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.75%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -4.83%E -1.46%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.80%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -7.71%E -2.41%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -10.80%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -12.04%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -6.75%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.60%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.80%E -3.27%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.24%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.54%EV -10.60%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -12.16%E -3.74%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -10.60%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -13.51%E -4.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.09%EV -12.62%E -6.37%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -12.04%E -3.95%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -13.51%E -4.22%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -13.94%E -7.15%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -10.60%E -3.42%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -8.10%E -2.38%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-31 18:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 42.99%EV -15.71%E -8.22%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -16.94%E -5.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 28.51%EV -22.16%E -7.69%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 21.8% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.85% | 0.7% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.21% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.16% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.64% | 1.5% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.94% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79% | 2.3% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17% | 3.1% | 2026-05-31 19:00 |